Hillary Hatred On the Left

When I was younger I bought into a lot of Noise Machine lies about Democrats, even though I still voted for them. I think this goes for a lot of other Democrats as well. In particular, I am thinking of Hillary Clinton hatred among the netroots. Sometimes I wonder who hates Hillary Clinton more, wingnuts or blogosphere commenters:

Today, the following rumor surfaced:

"You don't have to take it from us about Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton 's desire to run for president," says Washington Whispers. "Her brothers, Hugh and Tony Rodham, say it's true. Friends tell us that the two are cheering Sis on and say she's making all the moves to get ready for the race -- presuming she is re-elected by New Yorkers in 2006."
Now, just watch the heads explode over at dailykos.

First, diarist GregNYC writes (linked above):
She's got loads of negatives.
Actually, her favorable / unfavorble ratio is not that bad at all, and has even been improving recently. Certainly, her ratio is better than Kerry's, and comparable to Edwards's. In fact, she has as good or better favorable ratio as any Democrat eligible to run for President.

Next, HowardBeade:

To put it into perspective, Hillary has a lot in common with Nader, in that they are both %100 UNELECTABLE.
Since when? An Opinion Dynamics poll in December showed her with a clear lead on Bill Frist, who is probably the Republican frontrunner, and a double-digit lead on Jeb Bush. I like any Democrat who has a double-digit lead on a Bush. A Q-poll from December showed her losing to Guliani by only 45-43. All polling shows her getting crushed by McCain, but that goes for any Democrat. Clearly, she fares very well in head-to-head matchups with every other well-known Republican.

Jen Atlanta writes:

It's the right blogosphere that wants her to run.
If that is true, then this information from the Q-poll is difficult to decipher:
Would you like Hillary Rodham Clinton to run for President in 2008 or not?
     Rep     Dem
Yes   18      67
No    75      28
Paleo writes:
The thought of Clinton running and winning the nomination brings smiles to the faces of every Republican. She can't win. Plus, I wouldn't support her even if she could. The last thing we need is a reprise of the DLC/"third way" 90s, which led to us becoming the minority party.
While I never liked the way in which Clinton's trade and other policies worked against labor and working people, Hillary's voting record is very progressive. In fact, she ranks eighth among all Senators according to Progressive Punch, including 1st among "Health Care," "Housing" and "Corporate Subsidies." She ranks second on "Government Checks on Corporate Power," and third on "Aid to Less Advantaged People at Home and Abroad." She is tied for eighth on "Labor Rights." This is not the voting record of a corporate tool--it is the voting record of one of the greatest opponents of corporate power we have. The only area where she clearly strikes out on being a progressive is "War and Peace," which admittedly is a top issue for many these days. In her overall rankings, she is ranked as more progressive than liberal icons such as Frank Lautenberg, Tom Harkin, Charles Schumer, Patty Murray, Patrick Leahy, Barbara Milkulski, and, yes, Russ Feingold, who actually ranks behind everyone listed here.

jiacinto writes:

1) Too many people hate her:

While Hilary has a lot of supporters there are also many people who don't like her. She is a polarizing influence. At the outset a good 40-45% of the electorate WILL not vote for her under ANY circumstances.

2) She would motivate the GOP like no one else:

She would motivate the far right. They would be super-motivated to come out and vote against her in droves. She brings lots of negatives and there are people who still want to take her down electorally.

3) She represents the past/her husband's adminsistration:

Rightly or wrongly any race with her in it would bring back the issues of her husband's administration. Whitewater, Lewisnky, Travelgate, and anythingelsegate would be the issue of the campaign. They would attack her for her role in the health care debacle.

4) She would lose all the red states:

She would not win one red state. She would hold onto the states Kerry and Gore both won, but she would not be able to win one red state. She would not sell in that part of the country and not get the electoral votes to win.

Oookkayyy:
  • 1. Polarizing figures have done horribly in recent Presidential elections. Just horrible.

  • 2. Since when has the blogosphere become afraid of pissing off Republicans? And to think we criticize Democrats for not fighting hard enough.

  • 3. Yeah, those Clinton years sucked. And he wasn't popular at all during them.

  • 4. We know this based on what? Her leads in the polls? Her husband's success in the red states?
So to summarize, I'd like it if we stopped swallowing right wing lies about Hillary Clinton, including:
  • Everyone hates her.

  • She is unelectable.

  • Republicans want her to run; Democrats don't.

  • She is not a progressive.

  • People did not like the Clinton years
And I would also like it if we stopped being so hypocritical about demanding that our leadership fight hard against Republicans but grow squeamish at the thought of their most hated figure being our standard bearer. Quite frankly, I really like anyone who can piss off Republicans as much as Hillary does.

Now, I have big personal plans for the 2008 Presidential race. In particular, I would like to hold a certain Mathew Gross-esque position for the candidate I decide upon. I have not decided whom I want to work for yet, although I am nearly certain that I do not want it to be Hillary. However, that does not mean that I can stomach it when the netroots swallows Limbaugh-esque lies about her. It has to stop. I for one refuse to carry water on behalf of the Noise Machine.


Display:


the dem Hillary haters are just afraid (none / 0)

she will lead to a third loss in a row. I think that kind of thinking is the first step of a self-fulfilling prophecy. We simple cannot pick our candidate by worrying about what the Repubs will think. We just did that - we pick a "war hero" who we thougth the Repubs would like. They will HATE whoever we pick. We have to pick the person who best represents our party's beliefs and run with honesty. Don't you think that Independents and moderate Republicans saw right through us? We were/are the party that said this war in Iraq is a collosal mess and never should have been started. Why did we pick someone who voted for the war? And could never clearly articulate his position, and voted against the appropriations bill as an act of desparation to stay in the primary race? Was that "presidential"?
by SF Bay on Mon Jan 17, 2005 at 08:17:02 PM EST

none of these... (none / 0)

None of these are what worry me about Hillary.  I just haven't seen any evidence that she's a reform democrat.

Of course, in fairness, I haven't seen much of her one way or the other.

by joshyelon on Mon Jan 17, 2005 at 08:22:56 PM EST

That's true (none / 0)

And that is the main reason she is not currently on my radar among candidates I plan to support in the primaries.
by Chris Bowers on Mon Jan 17, 2005 at 08:28:19 PM EST
[ Parent ]

I suspect..... (none / 0)

That Hillary has much lower negatives among the non-faithful dems than does Dean.

She is more liberal than Bill so I am a little unsure about her being moderate myself but I have more confidence in her than in Dean.

by donkeykong on Mon Jan 17, 2005 at 08:25:58 PM EST

funniest thing i've ever read (3.00 / 2)

thanks for linking to that DK thread.  it absolutely cracked me up.

hey btw, i spoke briefly w/jerome this evening.  guess what?  he & maya are at the hospital, so chris, you better be prepared to hold down the fort for a few days.  ;)

Visit us at TexasKAOS, where we're taking Texas back!
by annatopia on Mon Jan 17, 2005 at 08:38:05 PM EST

Re: funniest thing i've ever read (none / 0)

Wow! I hope everything goes well. They will be in my thoughts.
by Chris Bowers on Mon Jan 17, 2005 at 08:51:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]

it'll be all good (none / 0)

you just better get to work on your next few posts.  :^P

seriously though, great job with this entry.  i never bought into the hillary hatred - really, i do like her.  i was severely disappointed over her justification for her IWR vote, but bygones and all that.  as long as she has a plan for getting out, then i'll consider her.  and i don't care who she runs against in a primary - if she makes it to the general i'd happily support her.

Visit us at TexasKAOS, where we're taking Texas back!
by annatopia on Mon Jan 17, 2005 at 09:00:14 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: funniest thing i've ever read (none / 0)

Chris,

What was the result of the book club vote? I need to order the book and I can't remember the top two vote getters. What's on tap?

by Gary Boatwright on Mon Jan 17, 2005 at 09:27:35 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: funniest thing i've ever read (none / 0)

Sorry about that. I forget to post the winners! I'll puit it up on the front page to clarify.
by Chris Bowers on Mon Jan 17, 2005 at 10:04:32 PM EST
[ Parent ]

HRC (none / 0)

I don't support HRC because she's a carpetbagging Senator who moved for the sole purpose of running for office.  People made a big deal that she didnt get a prime speaking role at the DNC.

She comes from a Republican family and people are saying she's a liberal?  She switched parties--I know that--years ago.

I posted in November my case against HRC on my blog.

The Kentucky Democrat
by kydem on Mon Jan 17, 2005 at 08:38:44 PM EST

funny you should say this (none / 0)

i honestly wouldn't have expected that.  considering that her husband governed from the DLC center (check yer sig) and her family was of the goldwater strain of republicans,  why would you - a self proclaimed dlc member - say no to her?

the mind boggles.

Visit us at TexasKAOS, where we're taking Texas back!
by annatopia on Mon Jan 17, 2005 at 08:49:17 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: funny you should say this (none / 0)

tv time, i'll expand later
The Kentucky Democrat
by kydem on Mon Jan 17, 2005 at 09:01:00 PM EST
[ Parent ]

is it everwood tonight? (none / 0)

what crack is the wb offering up this evening?

;)

i look forward to your response.  if it's easier, just link the post on your site and i'll go read it.

Visit us at TexasKAOS, where we're taking Texas back!
by annatopia on Mon Jan 17, 2005 at 09:11:19 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: is it everwood tonight? (none / 0)

everwood, it is.  7th Heaven was a rerun.  Those two and Summerland (not to meant the Amanda Bynes show) are the only ones I bother to watch on the WB.

anyway, i've been typing this during commercial.

Took me awhile to find the link without adding up the hits on my own blog (over 10,400 according to sitemeter).

the case against hilary

btw, nice blog.  it's on my blogroll.

The Kentucky Democrat
by kydem on Mon Jan 17, 2005 at 09:48:13 PM EST
[ Parent ]

the cartbagger issue (none / 0)

This is from your blog:
I can never forgive her for carpetbagging. Carpetbagging is moving from one state to another just to run for office--and that's why I'm staying in KY except for when I intern or run for the Presidency

It seems that this "carpetbagging" issue is over-riding everything. Do you think it's not permissable to ever move from one state to another and run for elected office in the new state? And, the Clinton's lived in Washington DC for 8 years. They had to move somewhere. It sounds like the only place acceptable would have been Arkansas. Why?

by SF Bay on Mon Jan 17, 2005 at 09:56:20 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: the cartbagger issue (none / 0)

They still retained their voting registration in Arkansas.  However, if they had political ambitions for most of their life (e.g. dana seum stephenson).  For me, I've made my political ambitions clear from the get go--though now I am considering acting and performing comedy.  New York State is similar to Illinois in which you only need to live in a state for a short period.

While the Clintons lived in DC, Bill was elected by the people.  He vactioned at Camp David and I think spent some time in Arkansas during the time as well.

The Kentucky Democrat
by kydem on Mon Jan 17, 2005 at 10:03:41 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Carpetbagging (none / 0)

Call someone who moves to Kentucky that. As a New Yorker for most of my life, I didn't mind.
by Chris Bowers on Mon Jan 17, 2005 at 08:50:29 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Carpetbagging (none / 0)

did you know they wanted California and when Feinstein heard this, she was pissed!
The Kentucky Democrat
by kydem on Mon Jan 17, 2005 at 09:00:33 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Carpetbagging (none / 0)

As a New Yorker for most of my life, I didn't mind.

Nor do I, which is why we elected her.

I think it's pretty unfair to characterize the opposition to Hillary on the left as "hatred," since I believe it has its origin not in a dislike of her person or policies, but in a sincere belief that she's much too divisive a figure to win election as President -- and we're all pretty sick of losing at this point.  Now, your facts and figures present an alternative to that perception, but it's nonetheless true that there's abundant anecdotal evidence, available for any political observer to see, that a lot of people don't like her, or, in any event, wouldn't vote for her.  

I'm still inclined to think that's true enough to take her out of the running, but I don't say that out of hatred or dislike (and my head certainly isn't exploding) -- I think she's an extremely intelligent and able person who's doing a decent job of being my Senator -- I say it because I want to win the next one, and I don't think she can do it.

unfutz
by Ed Fitzgerald on Mon Jan 17, 2005 at 09:52:55 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Carpetbagging (none / 0)

How many people in NY, esp. NYC, are even from (meaning born and bred in) NY?
Minister Al-X: Proselytizing for Reality.
by Reverend AlX on Tue Jan 18, 2005 at 11:00:06 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: HRC (none / 0)

She switched parties? And you're holding that AGAINST her? Seems to me she saw the light!! And she did marry a Democrat who became the President. I would say her Deomocratic bonifides are fine.
About the carpetbagger business. The New Yorkers seem OK with it. Why does it upset you so much? And, any run for President will be for the whole country right? She was born here wasn't she?
by SF Bay on Mon Jan 17, 2005 at 08:50:59 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: HRC (none / 0)

i'm not upset at her for switching parties but why did they have to move to a state with easy laws for ballot access for a US Senate race?
The Kentucky Democrat
by kydem on Mon Jan 17, 2005 at 09:04:36 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: HRC (none / 0)

So she COULD run. Why else? Having lived in the White House for 8 years, they could move to any state and not be carpetbagging in my opinion.
by SF Bay on Mon Jan 17, 2005 at 09:08:26 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: HRC (none / 0)

So are you opposed to all carpetbaggers or just this carpetbagger in particular? Would you have been opposed to RFK running for Senate from New York in 64?

Of all the reasons to oppose Hillary (and the reasons are legion) this is the oddest one I have heard.

I'm semi-agnostic on Hillary in '08 myself. I think she should run. I doubt I would vote for someone who went to Yale Law School but didn't tell her husband to veto the Defense of Marriage Act in 1996. If she wins the nomination then she deserves it. But I want the process reformed by then, by DNC Chair Howard Dean and his Deputy, Simon Rosenberg.

by MadProfessah on Mon Jan 17, 2005 at 09:27:35 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: RFK (3.00 / 1)

RFK is a different story.  I'm a big Kennedy fan.  I don't know if I could ever find it on my heart to vote for HRC in the primaries or the general election.  I would have voted for RFK.
The Kentucky Democrat
by kydem on Mon Jan 17, 2005 at 09:59:27 PM EST
[ Parent ]

carpetbagger? (none / 0)

So I guess in 1968 you wouldn't have supported that carpetbagger RFK either...
by LionelEHutz on Mon Jan 17, 2005 at 10:30:19 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: carpetbagger? (none / 0)

No, I am a big Kennedy fan.  I would have supported Bobby Kennedy.  Heck, he first came up with the idea of appealing to moderate conservatives.
The Kentucky Democrat
by kydem on Mon Jan 17, 2005 at 11:13:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]

you're right (none / 0)

My Government professor, a Republican, said he feared Hillary for 08. He cited some reasons - she gets bigtime press attention, she's a bulldog (he called her a ruthless cold-blooded politician) and he thought she was formidable. You should have seen the lights come on in the eyes of the young women in the class - absolute pride. With Bill Clinton's political ability whspering into her ear, who says she can't win? I for one think Mark Warner or one of our qualified red state governors are more attractive, but I welcome her to the debate - watching Bill Clinton on the campaign trail in 08 will be one of the joys of the campaign. I agree with your thesis - she's a welcome voice that gets bigtime attention, draws crowds and makes energy, and there's no reason we shouldn't welcome those abilities into our primaries.
by freejared on Mon Jan 17, 2005 at 08:48:37 PM EST

Hillary Fear (none / 0)

I have always personally liked Bill and Hillary Clinton but have not myself wanted Hillary to run because I've had many of the thoughts that Chris Bowers brings to the surface.  Quite some time ago I became convinced that she would be an unelectable candidate for Democrats.

My assumption has been that because of her large base of "wouldn't vote for her if she was the last person on earth" voters that she had no chance.  Make sure to throw in questionable business dealings in her pre White House years and questions of illegality surrounding TravelGate when looking at her negatives.  Yes, I admit it.  I'm afraid that in the hands of the Right Wing Noise Machine that Hillary will be roasted.

You may cite President Bush as an example of a candidate with a huge "anybody but him" bloc who went on to win.  But wasn't the Anybody But Bush bloc indeed a problem for him?  Had it not been for his encumbency during wartime I don't believe he could have overcome that otherwise incapacitating drawback.

Hillary of course will not be the incumbent, but in 2008 neither will she be facing an encumbent so at least there is a more level playing field in 2008 than there was in 2004.

I agree with Chris that the fact of her polarizing nature needs to not be taken to mean she is unelectable.  I am convinced that a run to the right is the wrong strategic move for the Democratic Party.  What the Democrats need above all else is to stop being weak on their core liberal principles!  Tim Roemer today provided a perfect example of how to lose the hearts and minds of voters.  I want a liberal fighter for DNC Chair and I want a liberal fighter as a Presidential Candidate in 2008.  By that measure I accept Hillary.  But I hold the belief that a majority of voters can be persuaded that liberal values are better for America than conservative values.  I want to join that battle because I think we can win.  

Hillary Clinton has shown she can be a powerful spokesperson for the Democratic Party so I will not dismiss her out of hand.  But my hope is that we will have as candidate someone else who is at least equally strong at defending liberalism but that does not possess her scandal-ridden past.  If Hillary becomes the nominee then I can still foresee the possibility of victory, but I retain the hope that instead a stronger candidate will in the interim emerge.

by Curt Matlock on Mon Jan 17, 2005 at 08:50:58 PM EST

Niether do I (none / 0)

I think that a huge number of women will vote for her because she IS a woman. Watch her on traditional women's issues for the next two years and I think we'll know whether she plans to run or not.
If she runs, she has my vote.
by SF Bay on Mon Jan 17, 2005 at 08:55:51 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary is a woman (none / 0)

Yeah... I guess Hillary is a woman isn't she?

That's an X-factor (yuk yuk) I don't know how to quantify.

Does it work for her or against her?  I really don't know.

by Curt Matlock on Mon Jan 17, 2005 at 09:10:24 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary is a woman (none / 0)

Spoken like a true guy!!
by SF Bay on Mon Jan 17, 2005 at 09:16:12 PM EST
[ Parent ]

excellent feedback (none / 0)

this is the one thing that bother me, though.  ANY candidate would be torn apart by the right wing noise machine.  who will fight back the hardest?  remember hillary called it when she said it was a vast right wing conspiracy.

maybe that negative could be flipped to a positive.  her and bill were cleared - there was no there there regarding whitewater or anything ken starr investigated, save the blowjob and even that was a stretch.  also, there was a pretty big backlash attached to whitewater - remember the american public was pissed over that and clinton had high high numbers throughout the ordeal.

i dunno.  i'm just thinking out loud at this point.

Visit us at TexasKAOS, where we're taking Texas back!
by annatopia on Mon Jan 17, 2005 at 09:17:12 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Those are good points (none / 0)

You're framing the issue, not responding to the conservtive frame. That's what we need. Not only  was she not guilty of anything, she was attacked and rose above it all to become a US Senator. She is a winner in every sense of the word. That's the picture the Dems paint, and should start it now. The Dem Hillary haters must realize they hurt the whole party when they do this.
by SF Bay on Mon Jan 17, 2005 at 09:28:22 PM EST
[ Parent ]

you frame it much better than i do (none / 0)

nice job - love the part about rising above it all.
Visit us at TexasKAOS, where we're taking Texas back!
by annatopia on Mon Jan 17, 2005 at 09:40:57 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: excellent feedback (none / 0)

I am still always a little surprised to see how popular Bill Clinton remains given the magnitude of the attempts to discredit him.  Bill Clinton was ground up by the media like no President had ever been.  Cable news flexed it's newfound muscles by repeatedly using President Clinton like a punching bag.  But despite the media assault he remained popular with a majority of voters.  So your point about Clinton having high numbers is well-taken.  

According to the numbers Chris put up Hillary also still has decent numbers.  Her favorables in December were in the mid-40s with her unfavorables slightly lower in the low-40s.  

But are there no candidates who could start with a better base than 40-40?  I'm not enthusiastic about going into the next election with another Senator with middling approval ratings.

I wonder though if the deciding factor is going to be more about the improvement in the Democratic Machine than it will be about the specific candidate chosen to run.  As long as we can't effectively respond to the Republican 3x5 strategy card, wherein our candidate is relentlessly trashed, we may not be able to win with any candidate.  So I'm with you that we need a fighter and I think the whole Party had better become fighters to win in 2008.

by Curt Matlock on Mon Jan 17, 2005 at 09:43:06 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: excellent feedback (none / 0)

I thought I would try to move the 3x5 discussion over to the diaries.  Just posted it here.

by Garemko on Mon Jan 17, 2005 at 10:11:37 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Funny stuff Chris (3.00 / 1)

You identified a big problem when you pointed out that a lot of HRC criticism originates with the Right Wing Noise Machine. I've noticed Faux News themes slipping into the discussion over at dkos before. That's why I stopped watching Faux and Scarborough. If you watch enough, stray propaganda bullets invade your sub-conscious. The sheer mass of ring wing propaganda on Faux and talk radio is one of our biggest problems.

Anybody who pisses off O'Reilly and Dick Morris can't be all bad.

by Gary Boatwright on Mon Jan 17, 2005 at 08:51:31 PM EST

You are so right (3.00 / 1)

I can hardly wait to see O'Reilly's head explode on national TV. That alone is worth having Hillary run.
by SF Bay on Mon Jan 17, 2005 at 08:58:15 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Gut check (none / 0)

Democrats worried about electability have failed to learn the lesson of 2004, which is that Democrats first have to worry about who is best at expressing our frames.  Issue positions and biography do not insure candidates against attacks, nor do they inspire voters.  We have to accept that every Democrat will be attacked using precisely the same formula until we defeat it.  That formula is that the Republicans will develop their attacks and refine them down to a narrative that could fit on a 3x5 note card and then spread the gospel at every level.

You can get a 3x5 notecard's worth of attacks on ANY significant public servant in the country.  To worry about what THEY will say is about our candidate is a tempting but unfortunate non sequitor-- we can predict very easily what they will say.  We need to focus our resources on our 3x5 strategy and be ready to execute it well in advance.

by Garemko on Mon Jan 17, 2005 at 08:59:55 PM EST

Re: Gut check (none / 0)

This is EXACTLY the right way to be thinking. We have to get away from letting the Repubs frame every single issue on the planet. It's up to us to do our own framing of both the issue and our candidate. Either we are real Democrats or some cheap knock off  of the Republican Party. Personally, I am a real Democrat and want one to be my candidate in 2008.
by SF Bay on Mon Jan 17, 2005 at 09:06:20 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Excellent!! (none / 0)

It's rational, intelligent writing like this that keeps me coming back to myDD.  Thanks Chris.  

(I may not have posted much recently, but I'm still lurking.)

by Winger on Mon Jan 17, 2005 at 09:25:16 PM EST

The truth about Hillary (none / 0)

I must admit, that although Kerry is my Senator, and was always my first choice for President, that in 2008, my first choice is Hillary (even if Kerry runs again).

The Clintons (don't ever doubt they come as one) were among the first people to figure out everything there is to know about how to fight the Republicans ... and win.

Think back to the 1990s:

1. First rapid response war-room (1992) - a response to CNN and the ever-faster news cycle, and most importantly a desire to combat negative attacks.

Stated mission of war room: no attack goes unanswered for more than 24 hours. Attacks get killed, by whatever means necessary.

  1. "Vast right wing conspiracy" - yeah we laughed then at what Hillary said ... but, she was 100% right. If we'd recognized it when she had - maybe we'd be in control of Congress now.

  2. Use of values and framing - Clinton beat the Republicans with this over and over again. Pop quiz: think back to the government shutdowns. Who won those?

  3. The most important thing for Republicans to do is to define a person in everyone's mind. Unfortunately for them, it's virtually impossible to define a known quantity. Bush destroyed Kerry by painting him as a traitor to the nation. Hillary's well known, as are her scandals. What do you say about her that hasn't already been told?

  4. Yeah, she moved to New York and ran for Senator ... but remember, she won.

  5. Previous posters have talked about this but it's true. Hillary's army will be young women - and when that army comes, get out the way. I recently graduated from a college where I was the president of the 700-member strong College Democrats chapter, and 90% of the women in the chapter would have dropped out of school to work on a Hillary race. Energize the base, and win, remember?

  6. Democrats win with a huge gender gap, right? And who's going to open the greatest gender gap of them all?

Borrowing TMQ's motto:
All predictions wrong or your money back!
by mrstas on Mon Jan 17, 2005 at 10:36:56 PM EST

Re: The truth about Hillary (none / 0)

  1. The war room of the '92 campaign was not a product of Hillary Clinton.  And the Clinton's failed miserably at taking the war room approach to the White House.

  2.  Yes, Hillary was right about the VRWC.  No, I didn't laugh at her at the time.  The fact that DEMOCRATS laughed at her at the time shows how poorly the Clintons were at defending themselves and leading the fight against the GOP propoganda machine.  And what has Hillary done since then?  She has sucked up unbelievably to GOP Senators who were trashing her non-stop for 8 years.  Has she no sense of pride?  What has she done since to dismantle the VRWC?  Nothing.  She tucked her tail between her legs and pretended she never made the comment.

  3. The government shut-down fight was memorable because it was one of the few battles that Clinton won in terms of media perception.  And he only won it because Gingrich over-reached and made the stupid comment about the m&m's on Air Force One.  Clinton got impeached! He pleaded that he "was still relevant"! How anyone can argue that Clinton won the framing issues is mind-boggling.  Travelgate?  Whitewater?  The Clintons got screwed like sorority chicks on spring break.

  4.  Never underetimate the ability of the GOP to trash someone.  Hillary is in no way immune.  The people who say Hillary can't be attacked any more are the same ones who said Kerry's Vietnam record insulated him from Bush's attacks on military issues.  Right.

by space on Tue Jan 18, 2005 at 12:58:12 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: The truth about Hillary (none / 0)

  1. I never claimed the war room was a Hillary product. But it is a Clinton product, and if you think the Clintons don't come as a buy-one-get-one-free deal you're out of your mind.

  2. Sure she hasn't done enough about it. But I don't hold out for the best and most perfect candidate.

  3. Clinton without winning framing is a one term President. He didn't win every fight, but he won enough.

  4. I never underestimate the GOP - but you also have to understand that framing works for uncommon themes and ideas, not pre-existing ones. How many times will I need to call your mother a whore before you believe me? See - you know she's not a whore, nothing I can tell you will change your mind. Hillary exists in people's minds as a set idea - for better or worse. It's not that she can't be reframed or attacked - but the result is vastly different than that of framing an unknown quantity ... say a certain senator unknown outside New England.

You didn't talk about points 5-7.
by mrstas on Tue Jan 18, 2005 at 01:56:14 AM EST
[ Parent ]

You are correct about many things. (none / 0)

Recall that what Newt and the rest of the GOP during the 1990s hated most about Clinton was his skill at "stealing" their issues and claiming them as his own. This, in my view, is a great part of why he was so successful. Over and over again, he'd reframe the issues in a way that favored him. It drove them mad. And it worked.

What the far left wing of the democratic party doesn't understand is that any platform that any exclusively liberal or populist platform will ultimately fail because you will alienate all of the right and some of the center. Clinton knew that moderation is something that MOST Americans can live with and that is the formula for success.

http://operationyellowelephant.blogspot.com/
by Vote Hillary 2008 on Tue Jan 18, 2005 at 03:17:18 AM EST
[ Parent ]

She's not my first choice (Feingold) (none / 0)

Or my second (Clark).  But this post does put HRC's chances in a slightly better light than I believed.  Hmmm....

In any case, I would vote for her without question if she is our nominee.  Heck, she can fulfill the Bush/Clinton/Bush/Clinton prophesy.  It is destined.  oooooOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO spooky

Now, does this mean Jeb wins in 2016, followed by Chelsea in 2024, and then one of the twins in 2032?  :-P

by Geotpf on Mon Jan 17, 2005 at 11:06:09 PM EST

Oooh Boy! Yeah! (none / 0)

That would be just great! How about a few other suggestions? Here's my dream team of primary candidates!

Hillary Clinton, wife of ex-President Clinton!

Bayh, son of ex-Senator Bayh!

Gore, son of ex-Senator Gore!

And lets have all of them managed and facilitated by DNC Chair Donnie Fowler, sone of former DNC Chair Don Fowler!

We'll call it the "Death of Social Mobility" slate, to correspond what's happening with the rest of society! Won't that be just nifty? It so in keeping with the Democratic Party being the party of the common citizen!

Feh.

by ElitistJohn on Mon Jan 17, 2005 at 11:12:09 PM EST

Bayh is one Legacy to Avoid (none / 0)

Or at least that's my position until he answers my email to him about his stance on Social Security. It's been over a week and I haven't even gotten a form letter that lets me know they at least know my email address. I'm an Indiana resident so I would have expected something.

What's up with that?

Suggests a lack of something in his office.

It may turn out that he is so center-right that he will support the plan to phase-out Social Security by replacing The New Deal with The Raw Deal. If so, I don't think he deserves support as even a potential presidential nominee.

BTW, I really like the "phase-out Social Security by replacing The New Deal with The Raw Deal" as a soundbite. It came up in a thread over on Kevin Drum's site I think. I'd love to hear it about a thousand times in the next 6 months until it's been drummed into every head in America.  

Put THAT on one of Garemko's 3x5 cards for use against the Republicans!

by Curt Matlock on Mon Jan 17, 2005 at 11:35:33 PM EST

Chris Bowers is DEAD WRONG (none / 0)

Dislike for Hillary Clinton -- or, more accurately, opposition to a Hillary nomination -- is not a creation of the Noise Machine.  The truth is the exact opposite.  There is nothing the GOP leadershipwants more than to have Hillary run.  Bowers mistakenly uses a poll of all Republicans as a barometer of GOP leadership thinking.  Hillary's high negatives among Republicans generally is EXACTLY why the leadership wants her nomination.  They believe that she would fall on her face for all the reasons that Bowers listed.  Maybe they are wrong.  Maybe Hillary would clean their clocks.  But any objective observer has to admit that the GOP leadeship pushes Hillary in '08 every chance they get.  It's not because they want to lose.

Bowers needs to admit that that there is a tremendous amount of dislike for a Hillary nomination on the left.  It isn't imaginary.

Let me speak for myself.  Two years ago, back before the Democratic candidates started to run for the White House, there was a lot of talk on the blogs about Hillary entering the race.  There were two people whose names were repeatedly -- repeatedly -- met with scorn.  Joe Lieberman and Hillary Clinton.

Mentioning Joementum or Hillary was a sure-fire way to get a dozen commenters to declare that they would never support either one as a candidate.  I am proud to admit that I was frequently such a commentor.

Leaving aside the electibility issue -- and, frankly, I think Bowers insults those of us who think she is unelectable by suggesting that that view is somehow a product of media lies -- let's look at the underlying issue: Would Hillary make a good President.

In my opinion, the best (albeit short) answer to this question was given by Brad DeLong back in '03.  His take, based on personal experience with Hillary's Health Care Reform efforts?

My two cents' worth--and I think it is the two cents' worth of everybody who worked for the Clinton Administration health care reform effort of 1993-1994--is that Hillary Rodham Clinton needs to be kept very far away from the White House for the rest of her life. Heading up health-care reform was the only major administrative job she has ever tried to do. And she was a complete flop at it. She had neither the grasp of policy substance, the managerial skills, nor the political smarts to do the job she was then given. And she wasn't smart enough to realize that she was in over her head and had to get out of the Health Care Czar role quickly.

Hillary supporters need to think about this long and hard.  She has virtually no executive experience.  And that limited experience did not demostrate that she had any talent for the job.  There are many, many, many of us on the left who fear a Hillary presidency as much as we do a Hillary nomination.  Our concerns are not based on lies, spin or polls.  Our concerns are based on Hillary's record.

by space on Tue Jan 18, 2005 at 12:31:13 AM EST

Re: Chris Bowers is DEAD WRONG (none / 0)

You mean just like how the GOP wanted Dean to win the primaries for 2004? Amazing how the logic goes out the window when the shoe fits your politics.

Like it or not, half the voters opposing King George aren't Kucinich-liberals. We'll see who wins the primaries in 2008.

http://operationyellowelephant.blogspot.com/
by Vote Hillary 2008 on Tue Jan 18, 2005 at 12:53:55 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Chris Bowers is DEAD WRONG (none / 0)

  1. You don't know my politics.

  2. My belief that Hillary would make a lousy president has nothing to do with her ideology and everything to do with her lack of experience and talent.

  3.  I also don't respect that she has been a lousy partisan leader of the party.  The GOP spread the foulest lies about her and her husband.  They impeached Bill.  But she still plays patty-cake with the facists across the aisle.  I don't respect people who just take it when they get sand kicked in their face.  I don't respect McCain for taking Bush's smears and turning around and supporting the guy.  I don't respect Hillary for similar reasons.

by space on Tue Jan 18, 2005 at 01:07:20 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Chris Bowers is DEAD WRONG (none / 0)

Funny, I don't recall Hillary ever "taking" the lies and smears. What would you suggest she would have done? Cry about it? Sue Kenneth Starr? IMO, she handled an all-out assault to destroy her husband (and her future political career) over a very personal issue quite admirably. She rose above it, kept her eye on the ball, and much to the GOP's irritation, is now a Senator -- perhaps a future president. Revenge is a dish best served cold, and trust in the fact she will have it if she is ever elected president -- on that merit alone.

And when has she EVER been a partisan leader of the party? She's a junior Senator. She may be a party "star", but that's it.

http://operationyellowelephant.blogspot.com/
by Vote Hillary 2008 on Tue Jan 18, 2005 at 03:23:35 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Hillary Hatred (none / 0)

she voted for the WAR...it's really hard to get passed that...she knew it was wrong...it was apolitical move for her..and I just won't ever support her..
by redjb on Tue Jan 18, 2005 at 12:43:05 AM EST

Re: Hillary Hatred (none / 0)

Show me a politician that does not make political moves. It's a pre-requisite for the job. Nader's utopian world where American politics and democracy functions like a well-greased wheel with no squeaks (no cynical politically motivated decision-making) will never exist, and that's a fact of life.
http://operationyellowelephant.blogspot.com/
by Vote Hillary 2008 on Tue Jan 18, 2005 at 03:32:09 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hillary Hatred (none / 0)

That makes me want to vomit.

Yes, all politicians have to compromise from time to time.

However, on the biggest issues of the day, the decisions of whether to go to war, to kill people, to spend billions (and eventually trillions) of dollars on a counter-productive adventure, to distance ourselves from our Western allies you simply do not compromise out of political expediency.

Any intelligent person should have recognized, before the invasion began, that (a) Bush was full of shit with regard to WMD and (b) Bush was more likely than not going to screw up the post-invasion part.  Anyone who didn't see that does not have the requisite judgment to be president in my book.  Anyone who saw that and still voted to give Bush the authority - and more importantly, made unsolicited statements of support for Bush's fiasco - is a fucking whore.  

I don't vote for whores or incompetents.

Can we hold out for a perfect candidate? No.  Can we hold out for the BEST candidate?  Yes.  There are several hundred people I would support before I supported Hillary.

by space on Tue Jan 18, 2005 at 11:21:09 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Chris Bowers, you are 100% right! (none / 0)

Thanks for this entry -- it was excellent. You inspired me to quit DailyKos and move to your blog. Not to mention my new screenname as well!

I'd only been at Kos' site for a year, but in that time it has really descended into a bitter hatred that reminds me of the freepers. You can't even voice support for a candidate like Hillary anymore without getting troll rated and threatened with banning.

So thanks for saying what needed to be said. I agree completely!

http://operationyellowelephant.blogspot.com/
by Vote Hillary 2008 on Tue Jan 18, 2005 at 12:46:08 AM EST

Re: Chris Bowers, you are 100% right! (none / 0)

I agree with you re: DailyKos. It's hard to read it anymore. I just read and commented in another thread on this blog that was civil, topic oriented and thought provoking. It was really nice for a change.
by SF Bay on Tue Jan 18, 2005 at 01:34:24 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Triang-Clinton (3.00 / 0)

Reputzicans don't like Hillary because they are afraid she will become the first woman president and force their hands on empowering minorities. With some exceptions, the Reagan Republican "Revolution" realized even though they were going backwards in policy they could appear to be going forward by putting in lots of token women and minorites to posts like Sandra Day O'Connor, Liddy Dole, Elaine Chao, Mel Martinez, Clarence Thomas, [fill in your favorite token minority here].

Hillary freaked out the rank and file Democrats because of her abnormal secretive behavior on the health care task force. The older gentlemen like Bob Byrd and Fritz Hollings just got freaked out by such behavior, justifiably or not.

But the reason that you have a faction very tepid on Clinton as a great and wonderful leader is that she's ...well Bill Clinton Lite. She likes to posit her positions as triangulation, not as really standing for something. She isn't the only one to do this at the Senate level of course, but considering this triangulation strategy worked for Bubba, but it blew up in both Gore and Kerry's face...you have to question if Hillary just is not as good a politican as Bill despite being just as smart and dare I say...ruthless?

by risenmessiah on Tue Jan 18, 2005 at 03:06:47 AM EST

Senator Clinton (none / 0)

A few thoughts:

  1. No way this country elects a woman President who isn't a conservative Republican.  It's a sad truth, but the Republicans are going to have to break hearts on this one, just like the Conservatives did in Britain.

  2. Senator Clinton has ample legislative experience, but her administrative experience -- the travel office, the health care plan, etc. -- has been terrible.  There's no particular reason to think that she'd be a good President, other than the fact that, like tens of thousands of other Americans, she's smart, well-informed, and a basically decent person.  It does, however, take more than that to be a good President.

  3. She voted for the war.

It'd have to be a pretty damn thin field for me to even consider voting for Senator Clinton.

by Kimmitt on Tue Jan 18, 2005 at 03:31:09 AM EST

Re: Senator Clinton (none / 0)

  1. Are you forgetting half of all voters aren't republicans and the majority of all voters are women?

  2. Bush is not a good president and had a debatable administrative track record. Bush had no foreign policy background up until 2000.

  3. Bush started a war that has proven to be a disaster.

Welcome to Bush's second inauguration on the 20th. Apparently subjective qualities that supposedly make "good presidents" don't make them electable.
http://operationyellowelephant.blogspot.com/
by Vote Hillary 2008 on Tue Jan 18, 2005 at 03:38:28 AM EST
[ Parent ]

I guess I'm a head-exploder (none / 0)

I don't think Hillary's evil, but I'm tired of having to line up behind mediocre candidates-both in terms of character and political skill.  Regarding the political skills, I was here for her election campaign and was shocked by how bad a candidate she was.  Regarding her character, I posted this a while ago at Mike the Mad Biologist

Mike

by mfeld356 on Tue Jan 18, 2005 at 01:59:34 PM EST


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