Generic Congressional Ballot Update

It is too bad today is not November 2nd:

Rasmussen: Dem 44-35 GOP (5/11-13)

Harris: Dem 53-40 GOP (5/12-13)

AP-Ispos: Dem 50-41 GOP (5/3-5)

Three straight polls showing big positives for the Democratic name brand in Congress. This should inevitably spill over into specific races.

Actually, while the gap has widened over the past two weeks, its been more than four months since Republicans led in a generic ballot poll. Considering Bush's recent slump, might the country be moving toward widespread "throw the bums out" sentiment?



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1994 in Reverse (none / 0)

It certainly could be a major Democratic tide in the House and Senate.  It would be sweet.

I'd be happy with return of control to Dems in the Senate (for appointments, especially judicial, and real balance to House), but would pay a lot to send Delay and Blunt back home in the House, along with some other ubber-rightists.  

Unfortunately, a more center-moderate GOP is unlikely to return, and the country needs a healthy two party system.  

Hopes for viable third parties seem to me to be just hopes. The Green Party seems to have lost it's drive worldwide, although we need this viewpoint.  Libertarian's agenda(s) seems too extreme for national viability.

I don't like 'winner-take-all' legislating.  I hope the Dems resist the urge (that I often feel) to give the Repubs back some of what they've been dishing since 94.  

"Pay any price, bear any burden"
by JimPortlandOR on Sat May 15, 2004 at 12:21:49 PM EST

The HOP curcus (none / 0)

If Tom Delay was defeated than this would be a great victory for Democrats and big blow to partisan politics..Tom Delay doesnt pass legislation he passes favors to corporations
by Anonymous Citizen on Sat May 15, 2004 at 12:31:50 PM EST

partisan (none / 0)

How is this a blow to partisan politics?  If the Democrats win big, you bet your ass we need to be partisan.  It'll be a VICTORY for partisan politics... OUR partisan politics.  You sound like an independent.  Take a side!

Invest in nature
by NCDem on Sat May 15, 2004 at 02:22:11 PM EST

delay and the dems (none / 0)

first, to the dems...unless they capitalize on this and start to tout themselves as a brand name, ie, "the dem party is the party of the people" or something like that (heavens knows i'm no copywriter) they could squander this good will, as they've squandered excellent chances in the past.

as for delay, he's got troubles of his own.

travis county (where austin, texas, is located) district attorney ronnie earle is before a grand jury trying to indict delay on breaking campaign finance laws.  molly ivins talks about it here.

"blogtopia - yes, i coined that phrase!"
by skippy on Sat May 15, 2004 at 03:18:27 PM EST

hmm (none / 0)

To what extent have generic congressional ballots been effective in predicting changes in the partisan balance in the house in the past?
I'm a Newer Democrat
by samiam on Sun May 16, 2004 at 01:40:59 AM EST

In 2002 (none / 0)

There was a sharp pro-GOP swing in the final week before the midterms, although polling report seems to have hidden that information now.
by Chris Bowers on Sun May 16, 2004 at 01:04:27 PM EST
[ Parent ]


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