PA Results Thread

  • House-District 15, Precincts Reporting - 287 out of 310 - 93%
    Dems: Joe Driscoll 16,710 (56%); Richard Orloski 13,353 (44%)
    GOPs: Charles Dent 22,712 (53%); Brian O'Neill 6,245 (14%); Joe Pascuzzo 14,194 (33%)
    This one is set. If there's a candidate to throw a bone too, it's Driscoll. Kerry & Bush will be visiting the Lehigh Valley often, and the House race is likely to mirror closely the Presidential outcome in the 15th. Moneywise, Driscoll(570K) and Dent(560K) raised about the same amount of money through March. Cash on hand though, Driscoll had nearly a 2:1 advantage.

  • PA-GOP-Senate, Precincts Reporting - 7976 out of 9416 - 85%
    Arlen Specter 388,254 (50.45%); Pat Toomey 383,339 (49.55%)
    Toomey is closing in fast now. With over 2500 precincts to go, this is a toss-up (Specter must be sweating it now!)

  • GOP-House-District 9, Precincts Reporting - 404 out of 508 - 80%
    Bill Shuster 28,489 (50%); Michael DelGrosso 28,200 (50%)
    Another one that's getting tighter; Shuster pulls ahead by a couple of hundred votes.

  • House-District 15, Precincts Reporting - 172 out of 310 - 55%
    Dems: Joe Driscoll 9,940 (57%); Richard Orloski 7,506 (43%)
    GOPs: Charles Dent 10,258 (47%); Brian O'Neill 4,758 (22%); Joe Pascuzzo 7,027 (32%)
    Dent is lucky he only faced one challenger on the right. So far, the night looks good for the "moderate" wing of the GOP in PA. Driscoll is cruising to the expected win, though I failed to mention his Dem opponent, Orloski, in a previous thread. A Driscoll vs Dent contest is going to be one of the top House races in the country.

  • House-District 13, Precincts Reporting - 391 out of 509 - 77%
    Dems: Allyson Y. Schwartz 16,440 (49%); Joe Torsella 16,997 (51%)
    GOPs: Al Taubenberger 10,776 (31%); Ellen Bard 10,235 (30%); Melissa Brown 13,645 (39%)
    Schwartz and Bard have both made strong late moves. Brown still looks safe, but the early strong lead by Torsella has evaporated. Vote total between the R and D primary has tightened as well, to a virtual tie.

  • PA-GOP-House-District 9, Precincts Reporting - 281 out of 508 - 55%
    Bill Shuster 18,167 (47%); Michael DelGrosso 20,185 (53%)
    This upset is going to happen. Shuster got in this seat via a special election in 2001, replacing his father, with the GOP national party playing a big factor in his backroom nomination and gotv victory. DelGrosso got out on the ground and did the only thing you can do to defeat a sitting House member-- pound pavement and knock on doors. Shuster can always go back to selling used cars.

  • PA-GOP-Senate, Precincts Reporting - 6895 out of 9416 - 73%
    Arlen Specter 315,745 (52%); Pat Toomey 296,175 (48%)

  • PA-GOP-Senate, Precincts Reporting - 6070 out of 9416 - 64%
    Arlen Specter 264,870 (52%); Pat Toomey 246,012 (48%)
    Well, that's wierd. The AP just subtracted a shitload of votes from Specter's count, with the same number of precincts reporting. So, with two-thirds of the votes counted, Specter maintains a slim lead. Usually, from what I recall, Philly and Pittsburgh report their numbers early, and the outer T areas come in later, so this could get even closer. Looks like it's too early to call for now (especially if AP keeps on taking away Specter votes).

  • PA-GOP-Senate, Precincts Reporting - 6070 out of 9416 - 64%
    Arlen Specter 302,913 (55%); Pat Toomey 246,012 (45%)
    The Philly.com site seems to be projecting a bit or something, but Specter has won this race; anytime now, they'll call it for him, as he's now pulling away for the win.

  • PA-GOP-House-District 17, Precincts Reporting - 173 out of 445 - 39%
    Susan Helm 2,681 (15%); Ron Hostetler 4,113 (22%); Scott Paterno 4,821 (26%); Mark Stewart 2,556 (14%); William Lynch 2,797 (15%); Frank Ryan 1,485 (8%)
    The Linebacker is closing in on the Coach's son, Susan is fading, so is the jailer. The Air Force has swooped into 3rd, and the Marine lingers in single-digits. If Hostetler wins, Holden will cruise to a win. Against Paterno, his campaign may need General Trippi down the stretch, but I doubt it (early reports that he's out to pasture are pre-mature).

  • U.S. Senate 66% reporting (Philly.com, not sure how this is tabulated)
    Arlen Specter (61%); Pat Toomey (39%)
    Becoming a rout. If you paid attention to only the national clutter, Toomey looked like a cinch; tuning into the local media, things looked much difference. I thought the undecideds would break about even, looks like Specter grabbed the whole lot of those late-breakers, and that Toomey's grassroots were swooned by the grasstop watering done by Specter and the Republican GOTV team (chalk up another one for the Establishment).

  • PA-GOP-Senate, Precincts Reporting - 2980 out of 9416 - 32%
    Arlen Specter 88,312 (53%); Pat Toomey 79,865 47%
    A third of the votes counted, and yep, a sign from gawd, Free Republic has crashed:
    Free Republic will be down for awhile... more hardware problems with the database server. John is busy reconfiguring the system and will attempt to bring us up on one of the other servers. He said it may take an hour or so, and maybe longer, but with any luck we should be back up and running (actually limping) soon. Then he's going to have to order new equipment, so we may be limping along for awhile until we receive the equipment and get it installed. Please visit and bookmark our Yahoo standby site for messages: FreeperLand2.
  • PA-GOP-House-District 9, Precincts Reporting - 61 out of 508 - 12%
    Bill Shuster 2,960 (46%); Michael DelGrosso 3,471 (54%)
    Interesting early development. Nepotism perhaps not playing out longterm for the GOP. We could see an incumbent knocked off tonight, but not the one everyone was looking at (Specter).

  • PA-GOP-House-District 13, Precincts Reporting - 303 out of 509 - 60%
    Al Taubenberger 2,728 (42%); Ellen Bard 803 (12%); Melissa Brown 2,972 (46%)
    Close. One thing to notice, with 60% of the 13 CD vote in, the GOP total is 6,503, and the Dem total is 10,986. Nearly 2:1 as many Dem voters, even with a GOP Senate primary to pull out Republicans.

  • GOP Senate: Precincts Reporting - 2392 out of 9416 - 25%
    Arlen Specter 55,678 (53%); Pat Toomey 49,430 (47%)
    Same as it ever was... Looking good for Specter, as the early voting was assumed to be Toomey-hardcores (not that early vote counting reflects that number). The State site is down, so I don't have a resource handly linkwise, for the county returns to know what this means, but if it holds like this past 50 percent, chances are good for Arlen.

  • PA 13th: Precincts Reporting - 303 out of 509 - 60%
    Allyson Y. Schwartz 4,999 (46%); Joe Torsella 5,987 (54%)
    Schwartz (quite the under-performer) getting stomped... so much for the '06 US Senate run.

  • PA 17th: Precincts Reporting - 16 out of 445 - 4%
    Susan Helm 219 (17%); Ron Hostetler 244 (19%); Scott Paterno 374 (29%); Mark Stewart 258 (20%); William Lynch 147 (11%); Frank Ryan 56 (4%)
    The name id and endorsee vote is leading, law and order guy within reach, football christian in 3rd, and the lone female has game at fourth. The Air Force and the Marine voters pulling up the rear.

  • GOP Senate: Precincts Reporting - 1068 out of 9416 - 11%
    Arlen Specter 24,136 (53%); Pat Toomey 21,416 (47%)
    Tightening a bit, looks like FreeperLand crashed (could a sign). We can stop voting now, and I'll be in the money.

  • PA 13th: Precincts Reporting - 31 out of 509 - 6%
    Allyson Y. Schwartz 2,122 (44%); Joe Torsella 2,658 (56%)
    Al Taubenberger 1,053 (45%); Ellen Bard 271 (11%); Melissa Brown 1,042 (44%)
    Looks like it might be a long night for an outcome here, and that maybe Taubenberger and Torsella were onto something.

  • GOP Senate: Precincts Reporting - 515 out of 9416 - 5%
    Arlen Specter 10,036 (56%); Pat Toomey 7,783 (44%)
    Early lead holding for Specter.

  • Precincts Reporting: 33 of 9416...
    Arlen Specter - 910 (56%); Pat Toomey - 720 (44%)

  • Popcorn threads: Freepers and DU'ers

  • 3 of 9416 precincts reporting... Specter: 55% Toomey 45%



Display:


How soon? (none / 0)

How soon will we begin getting the results?  Have the polls closed (it's 8:24 EDT)?
by Erin in Flagstaff on Tue Apr 27, 2004 at 08:24:18 PM EST

Closed at 8 pm (none / 0)

results coming now.
by Jerome Armstrong on Tue Apr 27, 2004 at 08:42:09 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Where are you getting these results? [n/t] (none / 0)


by Anonymous Citizen on Tue Apr 27, 2004 at 09:02:11 PM EST

Here are some links (none / 0)

http://www.pennlive.com/
http://abclocal.go.com/three/wpvi/election/race2.htm
http://www.dos.state.pa.us/bcel/cwp/view.asp?a=1099&Q=443628&PM=1
by Jerome Armstrong on Tue Apr 27, 2004 at 09:03:36 PM EST
[ Parent ]

thanks (none / 0)

Jerome, thanks for posting the results.  you saved me a lot of work looking for these around the web.  Thanks!
by Anonymous Citizen on Tue Apr 27, 2004 at 10:29:38 PM EST

Good Riddance Shuster! (none / 0)

You worthless piece of shit!

I worked for Scott Conklin in 2001 when he ran in the special election. Shuster's campaign was bought and paid for by daddy's special interests, who poured over $2.5M into one of the poorest media markets in the country to barely defeat Conklin, who spent roughly 1/10th as much money.

And Shuster's ads were the most negative, lie-filled campaigning I've ever seen anyone do. Even though Del Grosso is a fairly far right Republican, I'm so glad to see someone taking Shuster's seat from him (hopefully!).

Good Riddance!

by Anonymous Citizen on Tue Apr 27, 2004 at 11:25:45 PM EST

PA Senate (none / 0)

First, thanks for the updates.  I have searched in vain for a website.

Second, whoever wins this, isn't this a sign that there is a bit of a split in the GOP in a swing state?  When the Republicans win it is when they blend their hard right core with moderates.  The whole gambit in 2000 was convincing the moderates that GWB was one of them.  Is it possible that there are enough of these moderates who will reject or fail to support GWB now that it is clear he is not a moderate?

If he is the hugely popular Great Leader that the corporate press/media claim him to be, how come he can't get an incumbent moderate re-nominated in a swing state by a very large margin?

by James Earl on Wed Apr 28, 2004 at 12:03:12 AM EST

Specter/Toomey (none / 0)

This count is looking like our Florida 2000 presidential non-result...It's fun to see it played out solely between Republicans now!

What are the Pennsylvania rules on recounts, anyone?  Automatic if less than 0.5% difference?

Jerome, thanks for a great running series of posts.  And I concede that my prediction (Specter by 12) was totally worthless.

Cheers,

by GreginFL on Wed Apr 28, 2004 at 12:10:22 AM EST

Minor Correction: (none / 0)

Both of Charlie Dent's primary opponents were conservatives, though I believe O'Neill was more hard right while Pascuzzo was more mainstream right.  (Dent won the primary 52 - 33, it looks like.)
by Anonymous Citizen on Wed Apr 28, 2004 at 10:47:06 AM EST


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