Democratic Bogeyman Cattle Call, December Edition

The Democratic Bogeyman Cattle Call ranks the various phantoms that are blamed for the current failings of the Democratic Party. Those with actual power are not eligible for the Cattle Call.

#1--The DLC. Still the champ, but holding steady rather than rising. Repeatedly blamed for everything by progressives, "DLC" has grown to the point of becoming both an adjective and a pejorative. However, what really distinguishes the DLC from the other bogeymen and allows it to maintain a firm grasp on the top-spot in these rankings is its unique combination of being unable to recognize its impotence while simultaneously engaging in phantom blaming of its own. As a result, there is an enormous gap between the DLC and second place, although the gap was even greater during the final months of 2003. The once powerful internal organization in the Democratic Party has seen a precipitous decline in influence that continues unabated. Now, the DLC basically seems to be Al From.

#2--Pacifists. For most of 2003 and 2004, Pacifists would have been ranked near the bottom of the list, as national opposition to the war in Iraq skyrocketed. Even Kerry and Edwards jumped on the bandwagon, and as Iraq spiraled downward all manner of hawkish publications penned public apologies and / or retractions of their support for Bush's war. For a couple months after Abu Gharib, opposing the war briefly became the majority position in the nation, thus nearly removing pacifists from the bogeyman radar altogether. However, many pundits are turning against the original "values voters" rationale for Bush's victory, and have now settled on national security as the main issue that propelled Bush to victory. Further, over the past week Democratic hawks have found a new bogeyman: those who opposed the war in Afghanistan, a group that is supposedly led by Michael Moore and MoveOn. Of course, pacifist opponents of the Afghan war are a true bogeyman, since in the early months of the war they numbered in the single digits nationwide.

#3--Paperless Voting Machines. Although not the focus of widespread public discussion either before or after the election, those who push this bogeyman have always been nothing if not loud. In the post-election world, they are becoming louder. The paperless voting machine bogeyman, viewed in these rankings as separate from election tampering and disenfranchisement in general--a separation encouraged by many people in both camps--is really starting to emerge. While the author of these rankings finds this is be a noble cause, frequent claims made about the machines, notably that conservatives can only win as a result of the machines, is a clear case of a bogeyman.

#4--Liberal Elites. After a brief period of popularity for post-election screeds against secularists, and recent convulsions from Al From and Will Marshall against "Hollywood," the faction of the Democratic Party that is not only complicit with, but supportive of, the Great Backlash narrative against phantom "liberal elites" seems to be losing its voice. The complaint is still out there, but with party figures such as Lieberman sinking in national prestige, it lacks the force it once had.

#5--Tin-foil hats. While claims about stolen elections peaked in November and have held pretty much steady ever since, complaints about the tin-foil hat wing of the Democratic Party have seen a noticeable increase in volume, though not quantity, over the past two or three weeks. In fact, as the certification of electors draws near, I would not be surprised if this bogeyman soon passes both Liberal Elites and Paperless Voting Machines in the Bogeyman Cattle Call. This will almost certainly happen if hawk complaints about the pacifist bogeyman subside, and a void needs to be filled. On the other hand, with almost every single Democratic leader now joining in the clean election effort and the sliding popularity of figures such as Bev Harris, these complaints could just as easily dry up and cause the tin-foil phantom to drop further in the rankings.

#6--Protests / Rallies Around the time of the Republican convention, Eric Alterman, among others, blamed protesters for a long-term, national, Democratic image problem. Protesters were a major Democratic bogeyman in August, but fell off the map in September and declined even further as Kerry rallies became enormous in size across the nation. Suddenly, rallies were good, rather than bad. However, since that election, no one has said anything about them, positive or negative, so they hold steady.

#7--Iowa and New Hampshire. With the 2004 election over, and discussions about 2008 already under way, complaints about the importance of Iowa and New Hampshire in the Presidential nomination process have ticked up a bit. Right now, this is not a major complaint, but just wait a few more years. (While this may not seem like a phantom, it is. The media and a complacent public, not Iowa and New Hampshire themselves, bestow these two states with their importance. If either primary voters or the media paid more attention to the nominating process before these states, they would not have their current level of importance.)

#8--Ralph Nader. Starting with his rebuff at the Green Party convention, Nader's status as a Democratic Party bogeyman has long been in decline. In the months that followed, poor fundraising, a complete lack of activist visibility, horrendous ballot troubles and wretched poll showings solidified his decline. However, even his 0.36% national showing on November 2nd was not the low-point in status as a bogeyman, as his subsequent work on recounting New Hampshire has actually improved his image in the eyes of many Democrats.

Feel free to disagree with my rankings and make some of your own in the comments. Also, let me know what bogeymen I failed to rank.



Display:


Logic (none / 0)

I'm confused as to how the DLC, and organization that in your view, has no power, can be blamed for the 2004 loss?  Not to mention that all the talk after the election was of values, and the DLC has long advocated and addressed these problems (see their post-2000 election magazine, "It's the values, stupid.")
by Polk011 on Tue Dec 07, 2004 at 05:28:42 PM EST

'ol 0-for7... (none / 0)

...Bob Shrum and the play it safe "getalongs" have to be somewhere on this list.  The fact that Rumsfeld was not disgraced from a second term at Defense tells everything you need to know about the failure of our "strategists" and "message-makers" in 2004...
by Steve in Sacto on Tue Dec 07, 2004 at 07:24:47 PM EST

Correction (none / 0)

Shrum is now 'ol 0-for-8...
by Steve in Sacto on Tue Dec 07, 2004 at 07:27:40 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: 'ol 0-for7... (none / 0)

That still doesn't answer how someone who has no influence can be blamed for a loss. It's like blaming a third-string QB who rides the bench all season.  And 0-8?  I don't follow.
by Polk011 on Wed Dec 08, 2004 at 12:59:23 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: 'ol 0-for7... (none / 0)

Shrum has actual power. Thus, he is not eligible for the rankings.
by Chris Bowers on Wed Dec 08, 2004 at 02:03:22 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Sorry, missed that. (none / 0)

Duly noted ... although given that criteria he damn well better be eligible from now on.
by Steve in Sacto on Wed Dec 08, 2004 at 06:32:19 PM EST
[ Parent ]

poor ole Iowa, po' lil' New Hampshire (none / 0)

true that
the results of the Iowa caucus and
the New Hampshire primary seem
overblown.
but I don't think it's their fault.

the problem is that immediately
after those two contests comes --
everybody else all at once!

if 30 states hold their primaries
during the 31 days of March,
no one or three or five of them
can be very important.

the attention of the media and
the campaigns, the candidates'
appearances and their limited funds,
instead of being concentrated on
a few watchable states, are
instead diluted across the country

there's a Super Tuesday that isn't,
and a bunch of other primaries
that range from sea to shining sea.

few if any candidates are able to
concentrate their campaign efforts
in one or two states where they can
make a stand -- and get some real
attention.

only the frontrunner coming out of
Iowa and N.H. can be heard in the
nationwide tumult of the many
March primaries.

John Edwards might have got some
attention campaigning in South
Carolina, or Wes Clark in Oklahoma,
if their efforts -- and the media's
and the public's limited attention --
had not been spread across
a dozen or more primaries within
the same week or so.

this problem, of a multitude of now-
meaningless March primaries, arose
because almost every state wanted
some of the attention that comes
from being first or almost first.

so 30 states moved to hold their
primaries as soon after the New
Hampshire 'early bird' as they could
manage to set a date.

they say J. Edgar Hoover wanted
all his FBI agents to perform above
average. well, not all state primaries
can be first, or almost first, either.
can't do it.

recently California had the courage
to move its primary back to late
spring. if a dozen other states
would move their primaries to
later in the season -- or forget
about primaries altogether --
the remaining ones might
again take on the importance
they had back in 1960.

then John Kennedy and Hubert
Humphrey slugged it out from
New Hampshire to West Virginia
to Wisconsin, over a couple of
months. different regions,
different types of voters,
different issues, different tests
for the candidates on tryout.

meanwhile other wanna-bes
took the role of  "favorite sons",  
leading their states' delegations
to the convention that summer
while keeping a close eye on
the unfolding primary battles.

some of these delegations were
tightly controlled by their governor
or leading senator -- e.g., LBJ's
Texas delegation.

oh, dear, a whiff of smoke in
the backroom?

others were released to vote as
they pleased once it became
clear that their favorite son was
out of the race.

then a similar process in 1968
saw Eugene McCarthy battle with
Bobby Kennedy and Humphrey
from March into June until the
California primary appeared to
settle the contest.
(well, Sirhan Sirhan settled it
differently, alas, but that's beside
the point of this argument.)

by 1972 a wave of reforms swept
over the party, with many more states
deciding to elect their delegates in
primaries.

that changed the game, as Jimmy
Carter showed in 1976, into a game
won by the early bird who could take
Iowa and New Hampshire. the winner
of those would suck the oxygen out
of all the other candidates' campaigns,
and out of all the remaining primaries.

then came the rush to move up all
the other state primaries to March.
it didn't work. they still gasp for life.

unless many states now give up
their early primaries, it will remain
an early-bird-takes-all game.

that's not the fault of Iowa and New
Hampshire. they simply got there first.

that didn't matter when there was
another primary spaced about every
two or three weeks over the next
three months. then a primary in
Oregon or Florida could mean
something.

but when 30 states have virtually
simultaneous primaries in March,
only one candidate with the Big Mo
from the early wins can carry on a
nationwide campaign. for the others,
it's over.

if we want a period longer than one
month and two states to test and
winnow the field of candidates, we'll
have to get real and prune away
the excess primaries to leave a few
that will be meaningful.

by Woody on Wed Dec 08, 2004 at 01:59:02 AM EST

Fantastic piece, Chris (none / 0)

I love it.   Should be a continuing feature.
by Andmoreagain on Wed Dec 08, 2004 at 09:19:23 PM EST

Quit letting them define terms... (none / 0)

This Pacifist bogeyman is a red herring anyway. I am one, which is why I'll never run for high elected office, but most people aren't. For every one complaint I heard that the war in Afghanistan "wasn't justified", I heard a whole chorus of voices raised in protest of "Shock and Awe." Remember the early days of Get Your War On? The Taliban had to go, right? But did we really need to engage in Operation Bomb the Living Fuck out of You to do it?

Osama's still out there, the Afghan drug trade is thriving, the Taliban is retaking power on a local scale...why are/did we let repubs dictate what our opinion of that war WAS? Most people knew that this is what would happen, so they complained about civilian deaths, inept reconstruction, the removal of Special Forces, Tora Bora...not all of us were pacifists, but we are just sort of meekly accepting that "yes, okay, you did good in Afghanistan." No he fucking didn't. George W. Bush could make World War II look like the Crusades.

by BLT on Wed Dec 08, 2004 at 09:40:16 PM EST

All this is Bogus (none / 0)

The Democrats lost because they were pansies.  They were too afraid to use the other "L" word Liar in reference to the Bush Administration. Instead of complaining about the mendacity of the Bush Administration, the Democrats should have called Bush and all of his henchmen God Damn Liars...something which every so-called God Fearing christian in the Red States and other folks in this country clearly understand.  Sure they would have gotten beaten up by the press initially, but it would have forced Bush to justify everything they did at every media event to the press.  Liar should have been used at every venue like flip flop was used against Kerry.  If a slogan is repeated often it sticks in public's mind and folks begin to wonder.  

Personally I believe, the Democrats are killing themselves with this continuous self analysis, this psycho babble; psycho melodrama bull shit.  The Republicans would never do this. They have kept the same message for over 40 years despite losing initially to the Democrats across the country. They eventually made a breakthrough because they played hard ball politics pure and simple...nothing more and nothing less. They were ruthless in achieving their goals.  Democrats didn't realize that their former somewhat congenial republican colleagues turned into power crazed wolves. They still don't have a clue...though the clue bird sings to them daily in the form of Dennis Hastert and Tom DeLay.  

Until the Democrats start using big guns and get some real balls with their dicks, they will lose lose lose.  John Kerry got more votes than any of his predecessors during this election.  In my book, that means the message is fine but the presentation stinks to high heaven.  

You must realize we're dealing with an American Public that basically reads at the 8th grade level. Ideas must be broken down into bite size pieces so that this public can easily digest it with their beer. They get distracted very easily and feathers are ruffle over what most would consider minutia...guns, abortion, God...etc. Most of these folks fight for everything they get and they like a fighter even if that fighter is rotten to the core. Someone who can operate at the street level if necessary. Why do you think the labor movement flourished in the early part of the 20th century?...because the leaders of this movement were street brawlers and appealed to the most base instincts. The labor movement is failing now because they have become too white collar. These simple but good Americans don't want everything handed to them...they just want the opportunity to go after a piece of the rock or pie. They didn't think John Kerry could provide this opportunity because he came off as,to use Arnold's term, "a girlie man".  They liked Kerry's talk but didn't think he would walk that talk.  

So stop the melodrama and the psycho babble.  Stop the self implosion within the Democratic party.  All anger about the 2004 election and the direction of this country needs to be directed at Bush and the Republican party.  Everything is fair game now including the fucked up exit polls, polling machines, and incompetent Bush adminstrators.  If things were reversed...you can bet your bottom dollar the Republicans would be screaming that the election was stolen and wouldn't give a rat's ass what the media or public thought.

by markieparkie on Thu Dec 09, 2004 at 09:59:25 PM EST


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