Here's how they break down:
NRCC Number of IE's Expenditures % of Numbers % of total $Against Candidate 611 $40,435,187.13 76.00% 89.50%
For Candidate 193 $4,741,391.33 24.00% 10.50%Total 804 $45,176,578.46
DCCC Number of IE's Expenditures % of Numbers % of total $
Against Candidate 31 $4,822,996.44 9.12% 17.57%
For Candidate 309 $22,622,874.58 90.88% 82.43%Total 340 $27,445,871.02
That's a 10:1 ratio in terms of dollars spent in negative advertising of the NRCC over the DCCC.
Seven cycles in a row now, the Democrats in the House have gotten their teeth kicked in by the thugs in the NRCC, and what does the DCCC do? Play nice, and expect that the historical cycles and poll indicators will propel them into the majority. Democrats in the House continue to wait, while the Republicans find ways to beat the polls, make history, and gain more power.
If the Democrats in the House want to regain the majority before the next historical cycle gives them a break in 2012, they will start picking a fight. Not in the halls of Congress, but out in the street, out in the CD's.
Start now, by going into the potential swing districts and reminding the people that Republicans have to negative in a nuclear way to survive, because they can't really talk about what they're going to do might be effective. Create the mindset that the Republican Party is going to go negative right off the bat for 2006. This gives the electorate a "there they go again", mindset off the bat, and diminishes the attack and gives local, and congressional candidates a culturally accepted defense.
Rep. Matsui is a nice guy, and a terrific fundraiser, but isn't there a fighter among the Democrats in the House that wants to wage guerrilla-like politics on the Republican Party and it's House incumbents? These political battles that are fought every cycle in November for control of Congress are like 16th Century wars. The two parties spend 23 months lining up on opposite sides and storing away resources, then the month of October, they clash and spend everything they've got, and whomever wins, wins. The two sides go back and do it again and again. There are rules of the game, and a time for the fight, and then when it's over, those defeated talk about how much they want to work with the other party; while each party goes back to storing nuts and bullets for the next battle two years ahead.
The DCCC has got to change tactics. For starters, they've got to step outside the mindset that allows the Republican Party to have total dominance; engage in attacks without even having a candidate there in opposition for the Republicans to return fire; hit harder than you thought was acceptable (Musgrave, 51%, give you a clue?). Yea, right now, 2005. Figure out ways to locally go after the incumbent Republicans with coordinated efforts around the nation, and never stop.
The DCCC responds, saying, Quite simply, how we reported our expenditures had nothing to do with the content of the ad.
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