THe NRCC waged war, the DCCC played nice

After the election, the money trail tells no lies, and holds no secrets. The graph below is of the cumulative independent expenditures for the DCCC and NRCC from October 1st through the election.

Here's how they break down:


NRCC           Number of IE's    Expenditures   % of Numbers   % of total $

Against Candidate         611    $40,435,187.13       76.00%         89.50%
For Candidate             193     $4,741,391.33       24.00%         10.50%

Total                     804    $45,176,578.46

DCCC           Number of IE's    Expenditures   % of Numbers   % of total $

Against Candidate          31     $4,822,996.44       9.12%         17.57%  
For Candidate             309    $22,622,874.58       90.88%         82.43%

Total                     340    $27,445,871.02


The Republican Party, having seen the "right way - wrong way" poll numbers in the negative, as well as low re-elects for a lot of their endangered incumbents, were forced to tear down everything in order to to hold on to power. This was a well-coordinated attack by Bush, the RNC, and the other Republican organizations to drive up the general Democratic Party negatives, as well as each Democratic candidates negatives.

That's a 10:1 ratio in terms of dollars spent in negative advertising of the NRCC over the DCCC.

Seven cycles in a row now, the Democrats in the House have gotten their teeth kicked in by the thugs in the NRCC, and what does the DCCC do? Play nice, and expect that the historical cycles and poll indicators will propel them into the majority. Democrats in the House continue to wait, while the Republicans find ways to beat the polls, make history, and gain more power.

If the Democrats in the House want to regain the majority before the next historical cycle gives them a break in 2012, they will start picking a fight. Not in the halls of Congress, but out in the street, out in the CD's.

Start now, by going into the potential swing districts and reminding the people that Republicans have to negative in a nuclear way to survive, because they can't really talk about what they're going to do might be effective. Create the mindset that the Republican Party is going to go negative right off the bat for 2006. This gives the electorate a "there they go again", mindset off the bat, and diminishes the attack and gives local, and congressional candidates a culturally accepted defense.

Rep. Matsui is a nice guy, and a terrific fundraiser, but isn't there a fighter among the Democrats in the House that wants to wage guerrilla-like politics on the Republican Party and it's House incumbents?  These political battles that are fought every cycle in November for control of Congress are like 16th Century wars. The two parties spend 23 months lining up on opposite sides and storing away resources, then the month of October, they clash and spend everything they've got, and whomever wins, wins. The two sides go back and do it again and again. There are rules of the game, and a time for the fight, and then when it's over, those defeated talk about how much they want to work with the other party; while each party goes back to storing nuts and bullets for the next battle two years ahead.

The DCCC has got to change tactics. For starters, they've got to step outside the mindset that allows the Republican Party to have total dominance; engage in attacks without even having a candidate there in opposition for the Republicans to return fire; hit harder than you thought was acceptable (Musgrave, 51%, give you a clue?). Yea, right now, 2005. Figure out ways to locally go after the incumbent Republicans with coordinated efforts around the nation, and never stop.

The DCCC responds, saying, Quite simply, how we reported our expenditures had nothing to do with the content of the ad.



Display:


war in Indiana (none / 0)

This is absolutely right.  The GOP dumped somewhere between 2 and 3 million into negative ads against Baron Hill, our incumbent Rep in US District 9, and unseated him.  They blasted Jon Jennings in District 8 and enabled gun-totin' John Hostettler to hold on when he shouldn't have.  

You can't win a fight by not fighting.  

by wilky on Mon Nov 08, 2004 at 10:10:45 AM EST

Someone (none / 0)

who should be involved is the young Congressman form NE Ohio who gave that rousing denunciation of all things Bush when the draft bill came up.  I'm sorry his name escapes me right now.  He looks like he could be our Newt Gingrich (I don't mean to slur him) in that he's got a great message, he gives it unapologetically, and could cause mayhem almost every day Congress is in session.  He could wind up being on the news every other night, and maybe get enough notoriety where he could start hitting the weekend gab fests with some regularity.  He would be a beautiful face of the Democratic Party.  Our back bencher.  What do you think?
by fred on Mon Nov 08, 2004 at 10:21:45 AM EST

This clearly illustrates our problem (none / 0)

Why are we  trying to show people that Republicans go negative at every chance.  Who cares?  The fact of the matter is that it works.  Driving up your opponents negatives works.  This nonsense about negative advertising is hogwash.  It works.  Instead of us whining about it, we better start doing it or get use to being losers.  Remember our convention?  Don't say anything bad about the chimp, well at the chimp's convention they ripped JFK to shreds, purple heart band-aids and all.  Don't get mad, get even.
by partyguy708 on Mon Nov 08, 2004 at 10:28:13 AM EST

527s, etc? (none / 0)

The problem with this analysis is that it ignores the effect of 527s and other "independent" expenditures.  Since BCRA, you simply can't look at any one particular committee in isolation any longer.

On a national level, for example, we know that the Democratic Party outsourced a lot of their attack ads to 527s.  I don't know whether the same is true at the Senate or House level, but it points out that, without an analysis of what the independent groups did, we can't have a full picture of each sides' tactics.

by BigModerate on Mon Nov 08, 2004 at 10:30:55 AM EST

Re: 527s, etc? (none / 0)

Yea it does, because those attacks were only on the national level, directed against Bush. I only recall the attacks against Musgrave, which worked!!  Other than that, nada that I recall.
by Jerome Armstrong on Mon Nov 08, 2004 at 11:06:15 AM EST
[ Parent ]

No attacking 527s in PA 6th -- only Gerlach/NRCC (none / 0)

Your comment is born out in the PA 6th: sleaze of the worst kind from Gerlach in the PA 6th, not just from the NRCC. Only positive ads from the DCCC and 527s. Lots of them. But not quite enough. Gerlach won by a hair -- less than 2% of the vote -- and it's clear to everyone now that it was Bush coat-tails that brought him back. He's the most endangered Rep. seat in the House. So we expect tons of national attention here starting in mid 2005.

What's the solution? Start calling Gerlach a friend of Osama?

by Anandi in PA on Mon Nov 08, 2004 at 12:23:50 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: No attacking 527s in PA 6th -- only Gerlach/NR (none / 0)

Sure, call Gerlach a friend of Osama. Say he eats babies if we can find relevant footage. Negative ads, unfortunately, work. (You should have seen what the NRCC did to Patty Wetterling in MN06-- brutal and memorable; her ads were all defense-- "Don't believe Mark Kennedy's lies!"-- and no offense, no reason to turf Kennedy out of office.)
by accommodatingly on Mon Nov 08, 2004 at 02:07:28 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Talking Off The Gloves (none / 0)

The pathetic irony is that John Kerry ran a carbon copy of the Dukakis campaign -- which is exactly what he wanted to avoid.

Kerry allowed BushRove to define him; he never made a serious effort to define himself; he didn't make a serious effort to define Bush; he never offered voters a positive message, other than he was a competent Not-Bush Bush-Lite.

John Kerry had a plan for everything -- except defeating BushRove and winning the election.

That said, he was probably our strongest candidate. Edwards / Clark might have done better, but the terrorism x factor worked to Bush's advantage.

The first big mistake Kerry made was retreating after his "crooked liars" off mike comment; if that had been the first salvo of an all out effort to tar Bush, Kerry might have won the image wars -- and cruised to a 10 point victory.

The last big mistake was going to his health care talking points during the last debate, when he was asked about the Bush Administration's responsibility for the flu vaccine shortage. If ever there was fat home run pitch served up to John Kerry, that was it; all he had to do was tell the American People that the Bushies were told of the problem in August, and ignored the warnings.

I switched to Dean from Kerry in the Summer of 2003, because of Kerry's inability to hit anything except bunts and singles; in the end, that timidity (and lack of planning) did him in.

The last irony -- in late September, Kerry said he was taking the gloves off. Meaning, he was wearing boxing gloves in a gun fight, and now wanted to go bare knuckle.

Sad to say, the DCCC followed his lead.

by ck on Mon Nov 08, 2004 at 11:10:24 AM EST

Re: Talking Off The Gloves (none / 0)

I believe the fatal error was accepting the limit of funds. I argued against it here. Now Kerry has $45M leftover. He could have outspent Bush 4:1 in the final month, or made Bush go on fundraising clips to big cities.
by Jerome Armstrong on Mon Nov 08, 2004 at 11:31:59 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Talking Off The Gloves (none / 0)

Dunno about that.  Kerry turned out to be a pretty good fundraiser (or, more likely, Democrats in general were pretty good fundraisers for Kerry).

But trying to out fundraise George Bush was a losing proposition.  If Kerry had opted out, so would have Bush.  And Bush would have ended up raising more than us giving him an even bigger advantage than he had.

by BigModerate on Mon Nov 08, 2004 at 12:18:22 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Talking Off The Gloves (none / 0)

Opting to accept public funding may have been the worst decision Kerry made; but the defeat had many small but crucial contributing factors.

It was a death by 10,000 prepositional phrases -- endless paragraph length oceans of words, with objects drifting in the murky deep, in search of the subject and verb that spawned them.

If John Kerry had the discipline to speak in short declarative sentences -- he would have won.

by ck on Mon Nov 08, 2004 at 12:22:31 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Talking Off The Gloves (none / 0)

Some of your points may be valid but I don't agree with the big picture.  No matter what you say some 2.5 million more voters went for Bush than Kerry. What I cannot resolve is this---where is the hell did this country go wrong. I can think of 20 things starting with Iraq where Bush is taking us the wrong way. In our parents generation Bush would have lost by 10 million votes in 1948.  What is the disconnect--the entire Democratic National Committee must be mulling that.  Here is an example:  I have an acquaintance (not a friend) who is a huge Bush supporter---the disconnect is that this guy is on WELFARE--yeah that's right. He's about 50 years old, and had a back injury about 3 years ago and went on Soc. Security Disability.  Another guy I know is a big Bushie fan and he and his wife are BOTH on welfare--go figure--how can welfare cases be hardcore Republicans.
Another anomaly are government employees who are Bush and Republican supporters.  For the last 75 years the Republicans have pushed to get rid of government. Right now they are bankrupting the credit worthiness of the United States and pushing the tax burden down to the local homeowner.  So tell me this, how come so many government employees supported Bush.  Virginia is a bastion of government employees (probably a million Federal employees live in Northern Virginia. Had they voted in huge numbers for Kerry, he would have carried the state--again, what would make any government worker vote for the man that has spent his life trying to cut them loose.
The third puzzlement are voters who are unemployed during the Bush years and yet supported him in this election.  John Kerry could only lay out the case for change--No one could have predicted  these strange turns of the American electorate preference for Bush where 58 million people (the great middleclass) voted totally against their self interest. Its almost as though Bush induced a mass hysteria or hypnosis among them.  In all those RNC commercials was there some subliminal message inserted to say "Buy Bush on Nov 2".  Thought control through the mass broadcast media has been debated since 1938's "War of the Worlds"
show sent millions into hysteria. Did the RNC find some way to do this same thing? Very curious indeed.
by lonrand on Mon Nov 08, 2004 at 09:59:16 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Musgrave-Matsunaka "battle" (none / 0)

This is very good one to study, and I'm glad you mention it.  The ads were awesome...and we had some Democrats locally calling t.v. stations saying "don't air them-they're, well, too much."  One wonders what they're thinking...

I'm not in the field of marketing, but even in the scope of a campaign, which was maybe 2 months, these ads built upon a common theme...her taking money out of a corpse's pocket, her taking money out of soldier in the midst of and "encounter" with bullets flying, and her taking money out of (I think) kids pockets.  This was superb...along the lines of really slick ad campaigns like IBM's that run on similar themes.

Some might be thinking, hey, but Matsunaka lost.  It bears mentioning the demographics of the CO district they fought for....let's just say, it's not CA or the Pacific Northwest here.  I never thought Stan would come that close.  NEVER.  And I think he spent far less than  Musgrave and Rep to keep her seat-which was on the order of 5-6 MILLION.

by hopeisonetheway on Mon Nov 08, 2004 at 11:18:44 AM EST

Re: Musgrave-Matsunaka "battle" (none / 0)

Yea, it was a 10:1 at least, advantage for Musgrave. And guess what, in early October, the DCCC wrote it off and pulled out from helping Matsunaka at all. I heard the same crap from D's about those hard-hitting ads against Musgrave-- bottm line, THEY WORKED.
by Jerome Armstrong on Mon Nov 08, 2004 at 11:30:29 AM EST
[ Parent ]

John Salazar-Walcher too (none / 0)

I agree completely -- the negative ads that Tim Gill's 527 ran against Musgrave obviously worked very well.  And let's not forget that over in the 3rd CD, John Salazar again and again slammed Greg Walcher for his support of the unpopular Referendum A water grab initiative.  Yes, that was fair policy commentary, but it was also gloves-off attacking.  Walcher's race baiting negativity on immigration almost made up the difference, but it wasn't enough in a district where the Republicans have only a very slight registration advantage.
by Colorado Luis on Mon Nov 08, 2004 at 11:32:16 AM EST
[ Parent ]

"moderate" Repubs (3.00 / 1)

Many blue states elect "moderate" republicans who then go to DC and support the leadership on the truly important votes.  We need to hang DeLay and the extremists around their necks.  The Repubs do the same to moderate Dems: "liberal!" "out touch with mainstream America!"  

It ought to be payback time.

I am in Connecticut, we are in a blue state, surrounded two-deep (!) by other blue states.   And yet we return a majority of Repubs to the house.  It has got to stop.

by SteveB on Mon Nov 08, 2004 at 12:03:04 PM EST

Negativity (none / 0)

is fine as long as it is the truth.  Schoolyard bullies (which is basically what the radical right wingers are) don't worry about people being nice, they perceive it as weakness.  You have to call someone on their lies, and you have to land a few punches on the bullies to get through to the crowd cheering them on.  The crowd will switch sides if it looks like the nice guy is tough and willing to fight.  
by Carol on Mon Nov 08, 2004 at 12:07:00 PM EST

Two hardball tactics (3.00 / 0)

  1. Come up with a list of the thirty most unsavory Republicans in Congress (John Sullivan from OK would be one), and hammer them on their lack of ethics.  Call the list the "Dirty Thirty" and publicize it (Wanted posters?).  Make certain that people know that THEIR congressman (or woman) made the list.  Have good, solid citizens run as an alternative.  Recruit them, if need be (Hey, Republicans recruited many, many new senators).

  2. In blue states especially, point out the members of Congress who voted for bills supported "Red-state welfare," the giving of tax dollars from one wealthy state (say, NY) to a rural, dead economy state (say, Mississippi).    This reverse Industrial Revolution (Industrial DEvolution, if you will) would certainly anger hard working citizens in Blue States. "We pay $1 in taxes and yet get only 43 cents back.  The rest goes to support tobacco growers in South Carolina, or unneeded federal construction in West Virginia, or oil and gas polluters in Oklahoma. Your congressman (woman) is literally selling you out."

Hit the message hard, and stop playing nice.  And when Sean Hannity and other media hacks start referring to you as weak, and have three conservatives attack one liberal on a talk show, fight back.  Have some one-liners prepared.
by Glen Bowman on Mon Nov 08, 2004 at 12:07:02 PM EST

Re: Two hardball tactics (none / 0)

I also think you come up with a list of the Most vulnerable Dems and GOP rep.  You need to bolster the vulnerable Dem and fortify them for the probably fight and then you start going after vulnerable GOP.  By time the election rolls around, the image of the GOP will have been framed.  Start by sending letters and editorials denoucing the GOP Reps performance and then escalate from there.  

I love #2.  Great idea!!!

http://www.imvotingrepublican.com/ McCain Sucks!
by yitbos96bb on Mon Nov 08, 2004 at 12:51:29 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Two hardball tactics (none / 0)

Great tactics.  Put in a #3 which hammers any Red/Blue Congressman/Woman who votes for any Bush iniative. Consider where he's going with the Soc.Sec reform....this is not a path to destruction of the SS system its a freeway.  We should blog a list of any member of Congress (House) who originates this "reform".  Let retirees know who's screwing them.
Here is a way to get into the Republican Congressional Districts. Go to the website for Congress and pick out a Republican Red State Congressman/woman.  Here's where I use a cool tactic that I have developed.  Many years ago, I started sending Congresspersons a small campaign donation of $10.00.  These guys all have techno geeks who work for them and the donation gets recorded in there Databases.  That's expensive even at ten bucks a pop so I found another way to get into their databases.  Go to www.mapquest.com and pick out the main city for Congressperson X. Like this John Sullivan of Okieland.  Lets say his turf is the great City  of Oklahoma City.  Just pick out a address street ( I like to use 100 Main street) and Mapquest does the hard part---it will ID the Zipcode. Now, the Congressional system is setup to ID a Congressman's area by Zipcode..if you don't live in Congressman Sullivans zipcodes you don't get thru...now you got into the Sullivan email system.  Now send the Congressman an email and register for updates.  Now, lets say that John Sullivan is vocally supporting the SSI system "reform" as the Master Race Chairman Bush has designed. Start sending and get your Democrat friends to send hundreds of emails (or a petition) against this SSI Reform to John Sullivan.  He'll get the message. Do that to all of the supporters of Chairman Bush's new world order in Congress.
That's how the Sinclair thing got beaten down which was the Democrats finest hour of the campaign to my opinion.  Lets face it we have to
be just like the RNC and crush the opposition. It worked on Sinclair.
by lonrand on Mon Nov 08, 2004 at 05:06:23 PM EST
[ Parent ]

We need to bring an Uzi to the knife fight in 2006 (none / 0)

But we also need to spend the next year and a half ripping into all 200+ of the GOP House members by tarring them with their immoral allegiance to everything Tom Delay.
by LionelEHutz on Mon Nov 08, 2004 at 12:07:26 PM EST

Our Response (none / 0)

We've just posted a response to this post.  Do check it out:

http://blog.dccc.org/mt/archives/001606.html

by jesselee on Mon Nov 08, 2004 at 12:24:08 PM EST

Poll: No Mandate For Bush (none / 0)

From TomPaine.com:

http://www.tompaine.com/articles/poll_no_mandate_for_bush.php

"Bush managed to win the election by appealing to fear and by making the vote about things other than his performance in office. Americans still aren't happy with that, a new poll found. The Institute For America's Future conducted a post-election poll and found that, by a margin of 51 percent to 41 percent, Americans are unhappy with the direction the country is going--even among those who voted to return President Bush to office. By 49 to 45 percent, Americans said the war in Iraq has made us less secure. Even more telling, voters favored major reform of the health care system by 72 to 24 percent. The poll results show that America is indeed in tune with progressive values , said pollster Stan Greenberg."

Jeez, if we'd only had a candidate that articulate an idea in ten words or less.

by ck on Mon Nov 08, 2004 at 01:13:32 PM EST

we need to get our act together. (none / 0)

and think of infrastructure of the Democratic Party like a business.

being right isn't enough

From Michael E Gerber, author of The E Myth

In short, while you couldn't have known everything, you could certainly have known more than you do.
By asking the right questions, such as: Where do I wish to be? When do I wish to be there? How much capital will that take? How many people, doing what work, and how? What technology will be required?

I spent a long time writing about this here

I hope its worthy of discussion

by gina on Mon Nov 08, 2004 at 01:18:22 PM EST

There are plenty of house targets in IL IA CT (none / 0)

There are plent of targets I mnetioned some last week. The problem is the GOTV infratruction was all focused on the presidency It needs redeployment in 2006 the campaign that shoud begin now.

Also no contests in CA -CA could have redistricted but didnt IL may still be able to but Blago and Madigan refused last year . IL could add 3-5 more seats with a Texas like redistrict.
There are 2 iowa seats -3CT seats
NM might be able to redistrct too
What is the deal in NJ?

by smalltownilblue on Mon Nov 08, 2004 at 02:24:56 PM EST

Re: There are plenty of house targets in IL IA CT (none / 0)

In CA, I think the 26th is open for attack.
by Jerome Armstrong on Mon Nov 08, 2004 at 09:11:51 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Going negative isn't the answer (none / 0)

Sorry, too many of us cling to the naive belief that the truth, facts, reality, etc will eventually triumph over negativity.  

And what to say about the response from the DCCC?  'Oh, we did go negative'?  As if they are proud of that?

It's all pointing to something else - the 'moral' issue, the negativity, the 'mandate' - all pointing toward a common cause.

I'm just not sure what that is yet.  My gut tells me that it has to do with how Dems define (or don't define) themselves.  

by twomblyk on Mon Nov 08, 2004 at 03:33:35 PM EST

RNCC Played Dirty DNCC played Nice (none / 0)

Much of this is true.  At first we Democrats, sat back and figured that the attack ads would be rejected by the public.  Where did this view come from...well take talk radio.  If you listen to those rightwing goons you would believe that attack ads don't work.  But look at the facts for some reason its now apparent that they do work and are very effective.  I noticed that during the Swift Boat Vets smear campaign thats lots of my neutral friends began to intimate to me that Kerry was a fake... one guy who was going to vote Nader told me that Kerry never served in VietNam.  That's how effective attack ads work.  We need to get intelligence on the RNC candidates and drive home their negatives.  Like the guy who won the Senate race in Oklahoma who wants the "Death" sentence for abortion doctors. Well, these kinds of RNC candidates would be easy to wage a smear campaign against.  In his case I would run ads which changed it up a bit and say that he wants the death penalty for teenage girls who get abortions. Hammer away, its really not preposterous that he would advocate such a thing. These guys are loony tunes and need to be hammered on.  Remember, its not really abortion these guys want to eliminate --- its "Family Planning" of any kind like birth control pills, condoms, and morning after pills.  We Democrats need to get Ortho and other drug producers on our side -- convince them that a psycho like this Okie Senator is going to OUTLAW billions of dollars in sales that they do in birth control pills and morning after pills. Ditto with companies that sell condoms. These guys stand to lose $billions of sales if the RNC psychos get their way.  I've had lots of fun with this and the draft issue. I have Republican friends with teenagers both boys and girls. You can get them red faced and flustered by telling them that you now can't wait until Bush restarts the draft and imposes regulations on family planning which will force their daughters to go to Canada or Mexico for an abortion should the need arise or use a coat hanger. You may think I'm a real jerk for doing this but its no worse than saying Kerry wasn't wounded in action.  I love the reactions I get --- a friends wife actually stormed out of my house when I made the draft comments because she has 2 draft age sons--she hasn't spoken to me since and I don't care....
I served in the military and was under the draft so can these Republican warmongers and their kids can also serve their master Mr. Bush.
by lonrand on Mon Nov 08, 2004 at 04:05:04 PM EST

Re: RNCC Played Dirty DNCC played Nice (none / 0)

Overall, I agree with your analysis - the story about Kerry never serving in Vietnam is especially interesting.  I'm continually surprised to hear those sound bites repeated over and over.  One of my relatives kept talking about Michael Moore - going on and on and on.  None of my Dem friends mentioned him.  I finally realized that my conservative relative was only getting his news through talk radio and right-wing sources.

The problem for us is that a large number of people just never hear anything beyond those limited sources.  It doesn't matter if our ads are positive or negative - in a sense, they are negative space because they aren't reaching many ears.

How to fix that?  Not sure that there is a way...those shock jocks (talk about morals!) have somehow positioned themselves as 'the truth' and 'unbiased'.  Even sex scandals and drug abuse can't hurt these characters.

by twomblyk on Mon Nov 08, 2004 at 04:32:38 PM EST
[ Parent ]

My thoughts (none / 0)

Or how we win back Congress quickly:

  1. Pick a fight. Sounds simple but it is something Congressional Democrats have repeatedly failed to do since 1994.

  2. Run a national campaign. While all politics is local and there are issues that can turn the election that are particular to a given CD or state the GOP has been running a national campaign for the Senate and House since 1994. We need to do the same thing. Come up with a Democratic version of the "Contract with America", urge every Democratic canidate to run at least in part on that platform. Of course to do so we have to have an idea of who we are and what we stand for as a party. The platform needs to re-enforce the Democratic "brand".

  3. Leave no GOP incumbent unchallenged. I don't care how deeply republican a district is, make damn sure every single one of them has a credible challenger. Throw a little national, state, and local party support to even the no-hope canidates. Use the campaigns to rebuild state and local Democratic party organizations. Use congressional campaigns to support Senate, Governor, and legislative canidates. Use Senate campaigns to help down-ticket. Make sure all of the Democratic canidates are part of the same choir and are campaigning on some of the same points. Again this re-enforces the Democratic "brand".

  4. Pick a few high-profile longshots. There should be strong campaigns with lots of national backing against a few key GOP incumbents even if chances are slim we will beat them. The targets should be the GOP House and Senate leadership and high-profile idiots like Musgrave. Even if we lose it helps re-enforce all of the points above and generates plenty of free media for a national Democratic Congressional and Senate campaign. The GOP goes after Democratic House and Senate leaders hard, we should do the same.

  5. Leave no attack unanswered. Our canidates must respond quickly and forthrightly to all negative smears against them. It shows we are willing to fight and that we won't take any crap. For example Sen. Patty Murray responded in many the same day to negative ads run against her by George Nethercutt and independent groups. The response should not be whiney or defensive, but should either go on the attack or be of a "let me set the record straight" form.

by ces on Mon Nov 08, 2004 at 05:26:09 PM EST

Game Theory (none / 0)

In The Prisoner's Dilemma, two criminals are separated.  There is not enough evidence to convict them for the worst crime they committed, the penalty for which is 3 years.  If one rats and the other doesn't, the ratee gets 10 years and the rat gets 1.  If both of them rat, they both get 10 years.  The optimal strategy in a case of no knowledge, no communication, is, if you've been ratted on, the next time, take your revenge in exactly the same measure.  Do not escalate, but do not ignore.  In simulation models they have found that with this strategy, even without knowing, even without trust, after about 20 trials, both sides remain mum.  If we ever want civil discourse again, we have to match them exactly.  That doesn't mean that we have to wait for them to attack again.  We are now justified, in game theory, to attack.  And thereafter, every time they attack, we attack back in exactly the same measure.  This is actually the high road.  Otherwise, we fail those who depend on us for their protection.
by prince myshkin on Tue Nov 09, 2004 at 07:54:19 AM EST


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