Liberalism on the Decline?

Not according to Harris:
	   Con	    Mod      Lib
1970's	    32	     40       18
1980's	    36	     40       18
1990's	    38	     41       18
2000's	    34	     40       18
If there was a major shift against liberalism, and I believe there was, it happened in the 1960's. Since that time, the percentage of the population that identifies itself as liberal has remained static. It is actually conservatism, whose self-identifiers peaked at 40% of the population in 1995 following the Republican takeover of Congress, that is actually experiencing a slow decline.

Looking back at 2000, where the exit polls indicated that only 29% of those who voted were self-identifying conservatives, all along there may have been some very real credibility to the Republican claim that in 2000 conservative turnout was depressed. While we will never know the cause of this with certainty, I doubt the conservative narrative of a hateful-liberal media and their evil DWI story was the main culprit. Instead, I would wager that a Republican nominee running on a platform to massively increase federal involvement and spending in education and health care was at least equally, if not more to blame. This time, however, after four years of Bush governing to the right, Republicans managed to turn out their base in proportionate size to their share of the population (and their GOTV effort is a lot more developed, grassroots and organized than many might believe), and it resulted in victory.

Fortunately, further comparing the Harris figures to exit poll numbers indicates that both liberalism and moderation have significant room to grow. The decade average among the three ideologies only adds up to 92%, with 8% either refusing or answering "neither." In 2004, according to exit polls, that eight percent entirely allocated itself to liberal (21%, +3) or moderate (45%, +5), while the number of self-identifying conservatives (34%, even) remained the same. In other words, it seems possible that the remainder, when forced to choose, all broke against conservatism. Selling this remainder on either moderation or liberalism to the point of self-identification is one of our most important tasks over the next few years.



Display:


On the subject of Liberalism (none / 0)

This is my first time posting, so beware I am
a true independent. I don't normally tickle
the partisans too often in the right way.

I think this post is accurate.
Liberalism is on the increase, ca. David
Brooks book on 'bigger government', he
cites that even the republicans are
getting into it. Thats also one of the reasons
why they won.

I for one think some things should be
smaller, otherthings bigger. I don't
call myself a liberal because, for example,
I think there's too many federal reserve
banks. Shut em down!

But I do believe that the best way to prevent
abortion is to provide a safe medical procedure,
AND take care of the mother, and let her
know that she won't go bankrupt if she has
the baby.. so there's this safety net,
for ex. the same one you have in the netherlands,
that I want in place.

The key is not so much the statistics,
for me, re: liberalism as it is a return
to "fighting liberalism" that defined the
victory party of WWII.

People are going to start wondering, fairly
soon, what they got into here - with this
vote for Bush, I promise you truth in labelling
will help the Dems.

So I would say yes to being a "Fighting Liberal"
as much as I would being indy.

by turnerbroadcasting on Tue Nov 16, 2004 at 02:36:36 PM EST

Re: On the subject of Liberalism (none / 0)

Ah, the misconceptions.  I think that you have fallen for some misconceptions about liberalism.  Liberalism does not necessitate "big government."  That is not the basis of liberal thinking.

This diary entry puts the basis of liberal thinking pretty well:

http://www.mydd.com/story/2004/11/12/12442/728

Essentially, there are a lot of liberals out there who do not even realize that they are liberal.  Look at your stances on the issues.  Sum them up.  You probably won't be 100% bonified liberal, but you will most likely be well left of center.

by nanoboy on Tue Nov 16, 2004 at 04:01:16 PM EST
[ Parent ]

The pendulum swings (none / 0)

One of the obvious disadvantages of being in control  in all branches is that you are clearly going to be held responsible for the results.

They will make a great target, if our side does its job.

by leschwartz on Tue Nov 16, 2004 at 03:01:36 PM EST

Liberal Democracy (none / 0)

I'll never understand why Democratic candidates don't take advantage of the term "liberal democracy."  Why do we flail around for new frames when we have one just sitting there for us to use?

Perhaps the new Democratic leadership can hold strategy workshops where Senators can practice the use of "liberal democracy" in preparation for Sunday morning talk shows.  As in "this nation was founded as a liberal democracy, not as a theocratic tyranny."

by Christopher on Tue Nov 16, 2004 at 03:15:46 PM EST

Re: Liberal Democracy (none / 0)

What does that mean@#$@   This is the problem we have as liberals.  We can not choose words that aren't easily explainable.  Use liberal democracy and watch the right spin it so it sounds like we are talking down to people.
by Chavez100 on Tue Nov 16, 2004 at 03:24:38 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Liberal Democracy (2.00 / 1)

these people need to be talked down to... they are stupid.  they are fools.

they can have their george w. bush....

SquareState.net - Colorado Politics
by pacified on Tue Nov 16, 2004 at 04:19:19 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Liberal Democracy (none / 0)

Hi Pacified

The problem is, all of us get stuck with Bush. We will never convince the people who ought to be voting for us that we are on their side if we call them fools. Maybe they aren't fools; maybe they just believe that folks who think they are fools can't be trusted to look our for their interests.

Keith

by keith johnson on Sat Nov 27, 2004 at 04:41:06 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Liberal Democracy (none / 0)

What the @#$% does anything mean?  It means that democracy and liberal go together.  That's what it means.  It means that you say, over and over again, that "we live in a liberal democracy."  It means that people get comfortable with the word liberal again.  And if somebody asks us what it means, we can explain that it has to do with all those parts of the constitution that the Republicans want to do away with.  
by Christopher on Tue Nov 16, 2004 at 04:30:55 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Liberal Democracy (none / 0)

My problem with this tactic is that the Republicans can counter with the fact that we live in a republic (which is true.)  Other than that, I approve of your terminology.
by nanoboy on Tue Nov 16, 2004 at 05:11:34 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Liberal Democracy (none / 0)

It's not so much the literal trueness as the cliche-ness that I'm shooting for.  
by Christopher on Tue Nov 16, 2004 at 05:54:38 PM EST
[ Parent ]

The poll is meaningless (3.00 / 1)

Like so much that has gone on over the years, we have permitted liberalism to be defined in a negative way. A good deal of the reason for that, as I have harped on before is allowing ourselves to be out organized by the right and hijacked by crazies on the extreme left. We need bring liberalism back to what it was. I'd like to know how liberalism is defined in the poll or what people think it is.
by ppidgeon on Tue Nov 16, 2004 at 03:58:20 PM EST

How would anyone know? (none / 0)

Personally, I don't see how anyone would really know what the term actually stands for the way it's been demonized and how so many have run from the term.

I was in a crowded room full of conservatives who were repeating the election mantra of how Kerry was the most liberal senator. I asked a question of everyone there

What does that mean?

Not one of them could answer that question, oh, someone responded that it meant that the National Journal said it, and it was based on his votes.

Again, I responded

What votes?

End of conversation, try and engage a conservative in reasoned debate and you get nothing but the party line.

I kept waiting for someone, anyone in the media to ask the same questions, but they never came.

All they know is that everyone is supposed to recoil in horror at the term.

The best thing that we all can do, is to not run from the term and to identify in concrete terms what we stand for and be able to articulate it, its not hard really.

The reality is that most people when polled on issues that are clearly liberal issues and stances they fall down on the liberal side over 70% of the time. The other reality is that the dems in allowing the right to demonize the term have probably done more harm to the philosophy of liberalism than is easily remedied.

by laughingriver on Tue Nov 16, 2004 at 04:20:27 PM EST

Why do we let them do it? (none / 0)

If the liberals, and I include myself in that group, allow the likes of W to say "Well, what would you expect from a liberal from Massachusets" we will fall into our own political death spiral.   What would happen if Kerry had said in refering to W, well, you know he is a conservative from Texas!  This has been mentioned once in a while, but the liberals must run with this and not allow the term liberal to be negative.   You point this out very well with the fact that most republicans, and also most americans, do not know what liberal means, other that big scary government.   It is our job as a new liberal movement to educate the country on the true definitions of liberal and conservative.  Then we can have a real 2 party system with a clear distinction that the public understands when going into the booth.   Sread the liberal word, and we will have a liberal world.  
by Njal on Tue Nov 16, 2004 at 05:58:16 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Why do we let them do it? (none / 0)

However, liberalism is anything but big scary government, its just been defined that way by the Republicans.

Pertaining to your statement about big government, did you know that historically the Republican party is the party of big government, big spending and slow economic growth?

Here's a good description from the Economist on the problems with the word and how it means two very different things in the US and Europe.


There's a word for that

Nov 4th 2004
From The Economist print edition

And we want it back

ALL through this election campaign, George Bush has flung the vilest term of abuse he knows at John Kerry. You name
the policy—Mr Kerry's support for punitive taxes and reckless public spending, as Mr Bush put it; his preference for
stifling government and overweening bureaucracy; his failure to stand up for, oh, expensive new weapons systems,
microscopic embryos and the sanctity of marriage—and the president's verdict in each case was the same. “There's a
word for that,” he said, again and again. “It's called liberalism.”

What more need one say? And Mr Kerry was not just any sort of liberal: he had actually been the most liberal member
of the Senate. When told this, appalled Republicans jeered more loudly than if Mr Bush had accused his challenger of
eating babies. (That man dared to run for president! Did he think he would not be found out?) Understandably, Mr
Kerry was sometimes wrong-footed by this egregious defamation. Occasionally, smiling nervously, he said he was not
ashamed to be liberal. (Audacious, but perhaps unwise.) At other times he tried to deny it. (You see, he protests too
much.) In America, that kind of accusation cannot easily be shrugged off.

“Liberal” is a term of contempt in much of Europe as well—even though, strangely enough, it usually denotes the
opposite tendency. Rather than being keen on taxes and public spending, European liberals are often derided (notably
in France) for seeking minimal government—in fact, for denying that government has any useful role at all, aside from
pruning vital regulation and subverting the norms of decency that impede the poor from being ground down. Thus, in
continental Europe, as in the United States, liberalism is also regarded as a perversion, a pathology: there is
consistency in that respect, even though the sickness takes such different forms. And again, in its most extreme
expression, it tests the boundaries of tolerance. Worse than ordinary liberals are Europe's neoliberals: market-
worshipping, nihilistic sociopaths to a man. Many are said to believe that “there is no such thing as society.”

Yet there ought to be a word—not to mention, here and there, a political party—to stand for what liberalism used to
mean. The idea, with its roots in English and Scottish political philosophy of the 18th century, speaks up for
individual rights and freedoms, and challenges over-mighty government and other forms of power. In that sense,
traditional English liberalism favoured small government—but, crucially, it viewed a government's efforts to
legislate religion and personal morality as sceptically as it regarded the attempt to regulate trade (the favoured
economic intervention of the age). This, in our view, remains a very appealing, as well as internally consistent,
kind of scepticism.

Parted in error

Sadly, modern politics has divorced the two strands, with the left emphasising individual rights in social and civil
matters but not in economic life, and the right saying the converse. That separation explains how it can be that the
same term is now used in different places to say opposite things. What is harder to explain is why “liberal” has
become such a term of abuse. When you understand that the tradition it springs from has changed the world so much for
the better in the past two and a half centuries, you might have expected all sides to be claiming the label for their
own exclusive use.

However, we are certainly not encouraging that. We do not want Republicans and Democrats, socialists and
conservatives all demanding to be recognised as liberals (even though they should want to be). That would be too
confusing. Better to hand “liberal” back to its original owner. For the use of the right, we therefore recommend the
following insults: leftist, statist, collectivist, socialist. For the use of the left: conservative, neoconservative,
far-right extremist and apologist for capitalism. That will free “liberal” to be used exclusively from now on in its
proper sense, as we shall continue to use it regardless. All we need now is the political party.

Now there certainly is a good foundation for basing things off of.

I find that just the mere statement by a liberal  that he or she is a liberal, will at least catch many off guard and once done allows for the conversation to begin anew.

However, we have to have a message and be able to discuss it plainly so that it makes sense to folks when your discuss you positions an views. Don't even waste your time trying to have reasoned debate with someone who has been programed with the poison of the right wing media structure, there is a reason CULT members have to go through extensive deprogramming after being brainwashed. And I'm not saying that everyone that votes vor a republican is brainwashed, but some of them, especially the ones who are holed up in the fox news/Limbaugh world most certainly are and have a problem dealing with reality.

This is not something that you can get by unless your experienced in psychology so don't even waste your time.

The funny thing is in my conversations with conservatives, when we have reasonable discussions about issues, most of them state quite clearly that I'm a conservative because they agree with me on just about everything, when its the other away around. I suppose that is because most folks think that if they vote for a Republican they are conservative, which is as false as saying that if you vote for a Democrat, your a liberal...

by laughingriver on Wed Nov 17, 2004 at 10:54:22 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Why do we let them do it? (none / 0)

Thank you for the article.   I fully agree that the term liberal is misused in America.   THe real problem that this misuse masks is the reason why the republicans have power.  You pointed this out when you said that
 "historically the Republican party is the party of big government, big spending and slow economic growth".
  This is a very little known fact. A cursory study of the last 50 years will show that economic growth occured at the best rates when Dems were in power and at teh slowest rates with the repubs.   This is also the issue behind why people who vote republican vote against their own economic issues.  When they think of the term republicna they get the flase definition of an individual who has high moral standards, is or some day will be rich, and has the old world values of a true "gentlemen".     They do not think of Ken Lay, but instead conjure up an image of the succesful family man who the community depends on.  
  This perversion of label definition is exactly what teh repubs need to stay in power.   If instead only conservatives voted for the republican party they would loose a lot of strength.   I mean, ever Tucker Carlson said he was not voting for Bush in this election!  
  I agree, we must correctly define out position to the public and show them that the mojority of them actually are, liberals.  
by Njal on Wed Nov 17, 2004 at 12:20:13 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Triangulation (none / 0)

I think what Bush is doing is triangulation of the Clinton style.  He launches into hotbed liberal Democrat issues - prescription drugs for the elderly, expanding Federal government in education - albeit on the cheap. But serious conservatives have sensed from the beginning that George W. Bush is not a real conservative, at least as defined by Reagan and Gingrich. Bush has succeeded electorally because of his personal attributes and because he gives the impression that he cares about some liberal issues. There's also terror and fear but for many in the middle Bush softened his hard-right image by avoiding any Gingrichian small government rhetoric.  Of course we all know that it's a fraud, and we can't stand him personally. Hmmm. Now I'm beginning to understand why right wingers hated Clinton so much even though he was less liberal than any Democrat in a long time.  

The consequence of this will be disarray for the Republicans in 2008, just as it was for Democrats in 2000.  For us, Clinton the man was what held the Democrats together in the 1990s.  After him we were left with passionless Al Gore defending not a whole lot on substance.  And then Kerry offered a great offensive campaign againt Bush but didn't really tell us much about his own vision of where the country should head. We are still in the post-Clinton triangulation wildernees. Hence the need for Howard Dean, IMO.

In 2008, the Right will demand someone who will cut the size of government (and that IS the hallmark of modern conservatism), and the Christian Right will demand someone who follows their theology and social outlook. Meanwhile, Republican Party stalwarts will just look for someone who can continue the Bush magic. But it probably won't work unless they can find someone who appeals personally to the Christian Right the way Bush does, has national security creds, and doesn't plan to trim government, but not blatantly enough to piss off the deficit and small government Reaganites.

by elrod on Wed Nov 17, 2004 at 02:24:34 AM EST

Re: Triangulation (none / 0)

But what Bush did was doubly brilliant.  Not only did he coopt traditional Democratic issues, but he coopted them in ways that transformed them into cash cows for corporate interests.  
by Christopher on Wed Nov 17, 2004 at 10:54:28 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Triangulation (none / 0)

It will always be that way for Republicans. From Jack Kemp's enterprise zones to George Bush's privatizing the Iraq War, Replicans will never use the public ourse for anything unless they can figure out a way for corporations to make money from it. This is why the social conservatives are suckers for voting Republican--the institution of the Republican Party will always place corporate interest above the concerns of the theocratic right.

Keith

by keith johnson on Sat Nov 27, 2004 at 04:47:15 PM EST
[ Parent ]


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