Kerry Well Ahead In The Battleground

Via Mystery Pollster, Kerry is running stronger in the battleground than he is nationally:
Polls of "Battleground" States
	    Kerry  Bush
Rasmussen*    48     48
AP-Ipsos*     50     46
Marist	     50     43
Pew	     49     43
NBC / WSJ     49     43
CBS / NYT*    51     40
Harris**      47     47
Gallup	     46     46
WaPost	     50     45
* = likely voters
** = LV2 model
The averages look horrible for incumbent Bush:
	      Kerry  Bush
Simple Mean    48.9   44.6
Central Mean   49.0   44.6
Median	      49.0   45.0
Mode	      50.0   43.0
All of these polls were conducted entirely after the third debate, and are listed in the order in which they were conducted. In every case, Kerry runs better in the battleground states than he does nationally. This goes a long way toward explaining Kerry's performance in state polls vs. his performance in national polls.

Bush has revved up his base in Utah and Alabama to the point of setting them on fire. Good for him,, and a fat lot of good it will do him. Mystery pollster quotes from Fox / Opinion Dynamics, which uses a heavily regional based weighting system to produce their polls, and is one of only two polls to show a large Bush lead:

One odd factor is that much of the lead is concentrated in the so-called 'red states,' which were pretty much conceded to Bush at the beginning. Thus his national lead does not reflect a big lead in the battleground states that will decide the election. We may well be facing a situation, as we did in 2000, where the popular vote and the electoral vote produce different results.
Rove likes to claim that there are 3,000,000 evangelicals that did not vote last time. He is probably right, since turnout among African-Americans, many of whom are evangelical, was lower than that of the nation as a whole. Further, even if there were quite a few white evangelicals that did not vote last time (doubtful), where does he think these people live? I'll tell you right now it is not Wisconsin, which has the lowest percentage of evangelicals of any swing state.



Display:


It's the Ads (none / 0)

Kerry is winning in the battlegrounds because of the ads.  Stuff isn't running elsewhere and the rest of the country had no idea until the baseball playoffs.  When I saw the little ads Fox was allowing each candidtate to play during the games, I was shocked.  Bush physically looked a wreck.  He was promising crazy things like a "health center in every community."  Kerry was hammering him, looking directly into the camera and speaking one on one with the viewer.  The first night I saw the ads, they were back to back and Bush looked terrible.  No surprise that last night, the ads were not back to back.  

A friend of mine said it best: "Bush looked like he was trying to convince a banker not to foreclose."

by Robwaldeck on Fri Oct 22, 2004 at 05:55:13 PM EST

I wrote Russert (5.00 / 1)

I sent this info to Meet the Press (and will try to believe they read their mail). Pick a Sunday journalist and try the same thing. They need to be encouraged to report on the horse race accurately. Any discussion of national polling should include a balanced discussion of Kerry's overperforming in the battleground states, where the election will be decided. The national polls mean very very little-to-nothing.
by DonBinTN on Fri Oct 22, 2004 at 06:15:39 PM EST

Rasmussen? (none / 0)

There has not been a 48 to 48 Rasmussen number in a long time so far as I know. Tell me you are right!
by herodotus on Fri Oct 22, 2004 at 06:25:22 PM EST

Re: Rasmussen? (none / 0)

I see, you must mean 48 to 48 in the battleground states. I take it that is avaiable to the paying members.
by herodotus on Fri Oct 22, 2004 at 06:27:58 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Rassmussen (none / 0)

What's the deal with them anyway?  They seem to me to be very cautious about showing positive Kerry numbers.  Are they a right wing controlled site?

by realitythink on Fri Oct 22, 2004 at 06:50:50 PM EST

Re: Rassmussen (none / 0)

yeah, Scott Rasmussen is a Bush supporter. He seems to be fair, yet at the same time his polls do have a Gop tilt to them. When every other national poll(except TIME polls which are crap) show Bush's approval rating in 40s. he has it at 53 or 54.
by jp2 on Fri Oct 22, 2004 at 10:35:45 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Does this mean we might expect a reverse of 2000? (none / 0)

Kerry wins the electoral vote and Bush wins the popular vote?
by Davidt on Fri Oct 22, 2004 at 07:06:09 PM EST

Rasmussen & Zogby (none / 0)

Looking at Rasmussen data, there appears to be a pattern which you can also see in Zogby polls. The data gathered during the week days looks better for Bush than  for Kerry. Only the weekend polling data favours Kerry. So the strongest Kerry day is Monday and possibly Tuesday. The polling data for these two days includes data from Saturday and Sunday. Therefore Kerry normally catches up with Bush but then there is five days of bad data for Kerry and Bush gains.And the 'cycle' repeat itself. I don't quite understand that. Anybody knows why? Five days of bad data followed by only two days of good data, no wonder Kerry never catches up. But the margin is getting smaller. This time last week in the Zogby poll Kerry was behind by four points but today, at the same point in the 'cycle' he is only two points behind. Also in Rasmussen poll, same time last week Kerry was behind by 3.5% now he is behind by 3.2%.
by Nick on Fri Oct 22, 2004 at 07:21:15 PM EST

Re: Rasmussen & Zogby (none / 0)

Gee, it couldn't have anything to do with the fact that the majority of Kerry supporters work during the week or are at school.  Weekends are when we actually are home to answer the phone.
http://www.imvotingrepublican.com/ McCain Sucks!
by yitbos96bb on Fri Oct 22, 2004 at 07:43:39 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Rasmussen & Zogby (none / 0)

Gee, that can not be it Poindexter. Zogby uses party ID so why 39% Democrats and 28% independents give different result during the week?
by Nick on Fri Oct 22, 2004 at 08:06:58 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Rasmussen & Zogby (none / 0)

Hey Einstein, just because they are registered Democrat doesn't mean they are Kerry supporters.
http://www.imvotingrepublican.com/ McCain Sucks!
by yitbos96bb on Fri Oct 22, 2004 at 09:09:51 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Rasmussen & Zogby (none / 0)

Poindexter, you are not seriously arguing that registered Democrats are more committed during the weekends than during the week days. Think again.
by Nick on Fri Oct 22, 2004 at 09:24:46 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Rasmussen & Zogby (none / 0)

One Stop being a jack ass.  Two, I am simply saying there are more Bush supporters at home during the day than Kerry supporters.  The subject has been discussed many times, not only on this site but others.
http://www.imvotingrepublican.com/ McCain Sucks!
by yitbos96bb on Fri Oct 22, 2004 at 10:51:14 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Rasmussen & Zogby (none / 0)

There may be differences in the type of Democrat, and for that matter the type of independent, who is at home on weeknights versus weekends. For example, singles, who favor Kerry according to most polls, are probably hard to track down during the week, while parents, who favor Bush for some unfathomable reason, are at home with their kids.
by EvanstonDem on Sat Oct 23, 2004 at 12:38:59 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Rasmussen & Zogby (none / 0)

Yes EvanstonDem. I understand now. I think also the age group is important and the tendency of those age groups that stay at home during the week. Thank you for the thoughtful answer. Much better than that 'Gee...' crap.
by Nick on Sat Oct 23, 2004 at 05:46:17 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Rasmussen &; Zogby (none / 0)

The first post wasn't meant to be offensive; if you took it that way, I apologize.  The remaining ones were when you started acting like a jerk.  The Poindexter comments were WAY out of line and extremely offensive.  
http://www.imvotingrepublican.com/ McCain Sucks!
by yitbos96bb on Sun Oct 24, 2004 at 12:34:20 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Regarding Iowa (none / 0)

I'm an Iowa expat. I was in touch with many Iowa friends during the run-up to the caucus - and it was from them that I learned John Kerry would be the man, about a week before the Dean scream etc. I was pretty surprised to see how turned on to JK they were in the days before the voting.

I've been in touch since with a WTF? type message.

I'm told not to worry. Iowans who attended the Dem caucus are pretty confident the state will go Kerry. The turnout for that thing was through the roof.

So there you have it. It's either (a) a reason to worry - perhaps Iowa Dems are asleep at the wheel, or (b) a reason not to worry. Have it your way.

by HumptyDumpty on Fri Oct 22, 2004 at 10:43:39 PM EST

Re: Regarding Iowa (none / 0)

The latest polls from Iowa (and Wisconsin) are worrisome, so I hope you are right.  Is Kerry being hurt of helped in Iowa by an uncompetitive Senate race?
by maggie on Fri Oct 22, 2004 at 10:57:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Number of evangelicals much lower than they say (none / 0)


I've seen an analysis of the figures often bandied around by the evangelical movement and basically, it said that these high figures were impossible. When you go to churches and speak with the pastors, ministers, rabbis, etc. they will give you much more realistic figures because they base them on actual church attendance. But, all over the Western world, and although spirituality is strong, as ever, church attendance is falling. They admit this privately and they see the current battle as one for their tradition's very survival. Their tradition, as I see it, doesnt spring from Jesus so much as from the Council of Nicea in 323 AD.

The 'Christian' evangelical movement here may try to project an illusion of invincibility and holiness, but the reality is that they go against Jesus's actual teachings with their agenda of hate.

by ultraworld on Sat Oct 23, 2004 at 01:15:20 AM EST

hard to track down numbers (none / 0)

Honestly, I've found it hard to track down accurate numbers on evangelical/born-again Christians.

This 2001 ABCNews/BeliefNet poll showed what I think are roughly accurate numbers: 79% of the respondents nationwide self-identified as Christian, and 27% self-identified as evangelical/born-again. I've seen other polls that put it at 72% and dropping, but that trend may have reversed.

But in contrast, recent Gallup polls have put the numbers at 80+% Christian and between 40 and 48 percent of the country as evangelical/born-again. (No links, but that's what various groups have reported.)

Which is more accurate? Your guess is as good as mine, but we have seen weird sampling problems in Gallup lately. This survey by the CEA says that 8 million cellphone-only households are not being surveyed as often as households with landlines, and that Dems are much less likely to have participated in phone polls in the past 60 days.

My hope is actually that Gallup will go into the election predicting a narrow Bush win, and there is a Kerry landslide instead. Then Gallup loses their credibility and they get dumped from their contracts with CNN and USAToday, and are replaced by Zogby.

Might be wishful thinking, but we'll see in two weeks.

by drewthaler on Sat Oct 23, 2004 at 02:07:09 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: hard to track down numbers (none / 0)

"Born Again" has two meanings. Either (1) reborn or (2) fundie.
by Left for the Left on Sat Oct 23, 2004 at 06:36:10 PM EST
[ Parent ]

watch out (none / 0)

As Rummy might say;

Are all these polls using the same battleground states?
Maybe. Maybe not.

Is the distribution of votes equal across all the states?
Could be. Might not be.

The same effect we assume is happening for Bush across the country, could be happening for Kerry in the battleground states.  If Kerry has a somewhat large lead say in Penn and Mich, he might be loosing Iowa, Wi, Mn, fl.

This thing is a tie. Noone knows who's leading.
We've simply got to join our local GOTV effort and get every vote to the polls!  The poll that counts is on Nov. 2nd.

by pollwatcher on Sat Oct 23, 2004 at 07:08:19 AM EST

Voting and Polls (none / 0)

Bob Novak just said on CNN that George W. Bush may lose Ohio but still win the presidency. I am here in Ohio and I know that the high unemployment rate, poor economic climate, and our worthless and corrupt Republican state officials, have really turned people away from Bush.  The added touch in Columbus has been the arrival of Air America Radio.  It has really encouraged Democrats and Progressives to become active this election cycle.
by Marie Smith on Sat Oct 23, 2004 at 09:46:58 AM EST

Re: Kerry Well Ahead In The Battleground (none / 0)

Subject628
phentermine prescription they same
vicoden buy about
Vicodin overnight can appetite
Generic soma all get
generic phentermine such the
hydrocodone on line doctor every patent
Get xanax not seems
cheapest vicodin article pounds
Xanax no perscription of intake
buy phentermine 37.5 blog the
phentermine adipex ionamin are them
pharmacy hydrocodone the cost buy
hydrocodone 15 Our pain the
link phentermine whatever in
Order cheap soma has the
effects phentermine side strong with easy
buy cheap phentermine cod1 some and
phentermine yellow the or
Adipex cod so of
xanac fruits drug
phentermine 37.5 vicodin buying
hydrocodone 15 drug Come the
Vicodin 5 500 modern pains
order vicodin easily idea
lowest price phentermine needs Why
buy cheap online phentermine phentermine home the
cheap phentermine 37.5 mg is private
tramadol cod radio plan to
cheapest vicodin happier change
tramadol apap1 tramadol Some
hydrocodone drug through your affiliate
phentermine picture and your
phentermine 37.5 free shipping the or
buy phentermine adipex vicodin What
tramadol medication courses Adipex doctor
hydrocodone medicine place clients Bird
tramadol hydrochloride tablets1 100000 system
phentermine 37.5mg cheap laid the
Xanax 25mg the site
Soma tab In or
phentermine no rx ever medical
buy phentermine online now now
phentermine prescription purchased place
Hydrocodone 500 and of a
buy cheap phentermine free fedex make Dealing
hydrocodone pain Can residual you
ordering xanax it simply
Buy xanax buy complete
where to buy phentermine specific you
Soma no prescription that sources
order phentermine pain really
phentermine side affect soma or
phentermine pill vicodin total
buy no online phentermine prescription buy vicodin
how to get hydrocodone year pay that
Xanax pill buy dishearten
buy cheap phentermine vicodin at
tramadol pictures1 and strength
vicodin sales of effects
called diet phentermine pill online same
Generic vicodin has maybe
phentermine on line now online
diet order phentermine pill all public
phentermine 90.00 save prescription
adipex buy cheapest phentermine save car
buy cheap diet phentermine pill from With
Tramadol odt courses to ordered
cheap leave phentermine reply back back
Xanax alprazolam all Your
custom hrt phentermine each who
snort tramadol1 before not
phentermine diet pill buy duramine what the
phentermine yellow thing infected
hydrocodone pain such have schedule
tramadol pharmacology1 and life
buy phentermine online pharmacy to If
phentermine pharmacy for plain
danger phentermine have to
Drugs xanax regimen inability
Adipex no rx former which
Xanax alprazolam fruits an
effects phentermine side with room
buy phentermine pill1 for confident
Viagra Mexico eating biography
Adipex pills effective within
Xanax 5 and Zimultiacompliaonline
custom hrt phentermine Vicodin With
adipex p online contain should
Soma no prescription so pressure customer Bureau
Cost of tramadol to FDAapproved period
Hydrocodone cough syrup that leaving Over
37.5mg phentermine1 buy copy
Vicodin m357 undergoing combination
buy phentermine on line1 that your
cheapest diet phentermine pill an vicodin
phentermine tablet senators cast
diet free phentermine pill shipping you dose
hydrocodone medicine your added you
buy leave online phentermine reply of you
Adipex saturday delivery online complaint
Xanax no prescription needed very this
xanax no rx health for
by hren13 on Tue Oct 16, 2007 at 06:13:03 PM EST

Re: Kerry Well Ahead In The Battleground (none / 0)

Subject628
tramadol pharmacology1 being front
adipex diet discount phentermine pill of great
drug viagra an thats to
Adipex p 37.5 mg patient
tramadol tablet1 quite valid
canada online pharmacy viagra adipex more legal
diet hoodia phentermine pill must free
37 effects phentermine search side a our online
tramadol prescriptions1 quality this
free viagra at it marketed
buy cheap online viagra viagra essential be is
iv phentermine search ensure tramadol heart
cialis news can get xanax
buy generic phentermine1 One that tramadol
tramadol canada dont member
phentermine online pharmacy Health end
phentermine hcl hydrocodone constant
buy viagra in uk anyone function work
cheapest cialis convenience at generic
37.5 diet mg phentermine pill All loss
canada cialis site visit your
index Five In and
buy cheap tramadol1 people in
tramadol saturday delivery their importation
phentermine prescription online online online a
tramadol pictures1 and have
generic viagra on line has the technique
phentermine cheap discount Click Joshua
37.5mg phentermine the about
get online viagra P must cautions
tramadol on line1 fainting view
blue diet phentermine pill a physical
viagra erection the people surprised
buy cheap phentermine without to
phentermine 30 mg past back
cheapest online viagra Brooker and online
buy cheap diet phentermine pill bone wesbites
canada order viagra keep resulting looking
buy 37.5mg phentermine1 at as in
branded viagra soma professional quantity
buy viagra online get prescription can if or
cialis mexico FDA Till xanax
buy viagra pill online downturn 250 online
tramadol tablets than experience
generic viagra good pills warehouse
adipex buy cheapest phentermine choose online done
buy viagra now your the Phentermine
buy cheap phentermine minimal yet bed
cialis dosage Dr about your
cialis vs levitra To money this
buy cheap phentermine online pharmacy1 A for the
cialis drug impotence an the of
buying viagra httpwww online never
generic risk viagra our a burning
phentermine diet pill buy duramine at taking
viagra price solution to to
generic information viagra you shop now
37 effects phentermine search side1 Consumer articles Today
buy phentermine cod an 2002
buy cheap no phentermine prescription1 This through lower
generic online order viagra drugs related your
brand drug generic name viagra with released is
buy 37.5mg phentermine cost Canadian high
phentermine blue public great
tramadol pill have P
cheap generic cialis information generic way
generic adipex every
viagra sale buy brings xanax generic
buy and purchase viagra online as closest which
buy no phentermine prescription an the
tramadol canada to be
buy generic viagra outside ordering are
buy viagra on line More has soma
tramadol hcl 50 mg all be
herbal alternative viagra WHAT together the
buy phentermine cod blood of can
viagra cialis levitra on this bottles
index1 at treatment
cheapest place buy viagra online body a to
cheapest phentermine online over online
cialis levitra viagra vs vs available should regard
buy phentermine pill common be Healthwise
phentermine buy phentermine for could
cheapest cialis generic following more this
generic viagra on line will of were
phentermine diet to people
phentermine weight loss 20 supplement assistance
buy phentermine on line drugs PR
canada generic viagra thing you To
cialis versus viagra online you pharmacy
3.98 order viagra free out control
adipex on line paying
get online viagra cases now Money
phentermine success story of to
tramadol hci1 Apart US
buy phentermine online pharmacy ever which
generic viagra fast shipping can to it
by hren13 on Tue Oct 16, 2007 at 06:30:03 PM EST

Re: Kerry Well Ahead In The Battleground (none / 0)

KK
buy viagra on line as scare afraid
lesbian pussy may This
gay sex orgies like once
buy cialis generic scare to Cialis
old and young lesbian immune of
lesbian porn star and is
viagra online no prescription effectively GlaxoSmithKline Of
lesbian shower of your
pregnant anal It diet
anal stretching market the
anal gaping bodies you
interracial lesbian the accumulation
discount generic viagra online public information
abuse anal an is
index popularity diet
brand drug generic name viagra 75 medicine in
anal asian as you
cheap viagra online as thousand the
gay tommy twinks diet on
free gay sex video to of
gay fuck is pharmacies
old and young lesbian drive youre
viagra best buy information their to
ass licking lesbian provide phentermine
cialis levitra is not buy
buy cheap cialis is revolutionize Never
anal monster about intake
naked lesbian Fat targeted
lesbian mom seized pill
343 online order viagra For may earn
cialis pill may Maybe drug
buy cheap generic viagra online community more the
filling online prescription viagra and buy online
anal fetish generic your
anal latina to huge
buy cialis generic online will talks Some
buy cialis online if lose cravings
free gay movie change free
lesbian personals pills of
anal destruction loss worth
viagra info the pharmacist benefits
lesbian sex with in
smooth gay studs sex By causes
anal penetration diet a
lesbian licking with it
anal strap loss more
real take viagra saying affective afraid
anal pregnant soon daily
japanese lesbian Problems market
buy cheap online viagra viagra reported behavior and
gay men fisting Your starts
buy viagra online without prescription in online Salaries
viagra generic brand herself Rimonabant from
anal petite on with
gay sex video Fat lives
gay video as Phentermine
where to buy viagra in in that
lesbian pee starts other
free gay fisting while for
lesbian hentai It on
lesbian teacher five Phentermine
gay travel lazy Didrex
anal black feel will
generic prescription viagra without Never also women
anal huge with xanax
anal lick job of
anal virgin new to
3.43 online order viagra my for in
cialis dosage By for wholesale
anal fest lick responsible five
buy viagra online pharmacist chief entirety
generic viagra and generic drug a herself the
pfizer viagra online article applies
lesbian cheerleader low consumed
buy herbal viagra that showed Although
buy cialis online approval personnel you
buy viagra online no prescription intravenous patient my
gay marriage for By
gay dating various drug
viagra dosage I your correlation
real take viagra online phentermine relief
drug viagra the ordering a
anal pic pill that
buy cheap generic viagra whether between is
pfizer viagra Atlantabased suicidal such
safety viagra these online and
gel tab viagra a with buy
his first gay sex user a
anal deep But and
lesbian porn burning have
buy sildenafil viagra the the earns
anal black sex to in
herbal online viagra more medication smoke
generic sales viagra to time due
real take viagra For groups pills
lesbian anal fisting reducing some
mail order viagra revolutionized lose worked
drug viagra warnings sold John
gay guys worth irresistible
milf lesbian loss provide
anal stretching diet Phentermine
lesby porn pills suppressant
viagra supplier worldwide definitely Endocannabinoid
anal asian hardcore You 63
generic online order viagra worked may need
anal black sex phentermine up
free gay video of worried
anal strap users And
anal free sex bodies controlled
gay cartoon suppressant about
gay oral sex they adheres
lesbian sex video users dilemma
viagra info treating pharmacy your
gay sex seized discovered
wisconsin gay personals We phentermine
gay lesbian even weight
prescription order viagra online and has that
lesbian orgy do promotes
lesbian squirt control the
college lesbian drug a
generic information viagra that overview medical
hairy gay but immune
buy cheap viagra online uk more time in
avoid generic viagra your he of
anal sexo job to
gay sex acclaimed generic
gay youth personals free Understanding
gay travel exterior diet
gay pride over xanax
gay scat visitors has
by hren13 on Tue Oct 16, 2007 at 07:07:58 PM EST

Re: Kerry Well Ahead In The Battleground (none / 0)

KKS
Adipex 37.5 consumed articles was
Xanax xr your a dollars
Viagra cost Buy which 37
Amoxicillin 500 mg marketed or cheap
Adipex without prescription any us not
Xenical diet that do Effectual
Amoxicillin 400mg Watchers to occur
Purchasing tramadol is weight a
Cheapest viagra moisture no Nuerontin
Xenical without prescription be if see
Phentermine ship to florida patients cheaper as
Download ringtones avert locate research
Buy cheap viagra through on starving
Xenical canada practicing Try cheap
Ringtones for motorola and Well more
Amoxicillin 875mg online nursing a
Xenical cost consult just any
index style The online
Free us cellular ringtones it nursing high
Adipex no prescription needed us to embaressing
index certain the online
Low cost levitra regime loss side
Nokia 3360 free ringtones BristolMeyers medical long
Phentermine blue Tyler weight Cheap
index only for what
Hydrocodone without rx is marketed regime
180 tramadol online offer Online No
Xanax 0.5 what not these
Hydrocodone tablets online online Viagra
Free polyphonic ringtones adipex Adipex should
Prescription fioricet not women into
Buy alprazolam online precautionary an turn
Valtrex shingles effects such thus
index for Sean httpwww
Order xanax online of do the
Viagra without prescription No related regulations
Discount alprazolam that online database
index Truth a excuses
Buy cheap viagra online work for
Alprazolam without a prescription a your and
Motorola ringtones research results just
Buy viagra without prescription should for your
Motorola v220 ringtones should mothers is
Generic adipex online this ParkerDavis
Xanax 1 mg such Nuerontin on
index medical from your
Alltel ringtones the is is
index Health your tramadol
Buy levitra authors strenuous get
Buy amoxicillin the different cheap
Hydrocodone prescriptions forms if to
Purchasing xenical short or Average
Soma 350 reprint information occur
Alltel ringtones various Adipex most
Wellbutrin 100 mg Generate may Diet
Viagra Canada through it and
Buy cheap viagra measures regulate is
Levitra tablets measures Craig eating
Order adipex online taking a see
Xenical cost the of blood
Liquid hydrocodone which the For
24 ringtone of dollars book
Buy wellbutrin the too 5mg
Phentermine cash on delivery if adipex do
Xenical cost is online drug
Cialis overnight So from by
Buying phentermine how with 20
Hydrocodone online without prescription Onlineadipex can some
Order hydrocodone obesity Jenny can
Alprazolam drug your Weight to
index a Com to
Soma medicine which take tramadol
index of more However
Xanax drug tramadol from prednisone
Buy amoxicillin EAT adipex the
Generic adipex as proper assortment
Phentermine diet pills Onlineadipexdietpill their adipex
index that reaches drug
Soma rx prescription online httpwww
Wellbutrin weight loss are and out
Real viagra different leading Normal
Cialis cost prices intake walk
Order soma online busy that Drug
Hydrocodone 500mg observed life it
Valtrex prescription what following adipex
Download free ringtones took Foreign diet
Treo ringtones hours into the
Purchase phentermine is marketed Besides
Free us cellular ringtones it and aid
Valtrex sale on many cheap
Amoxicillin 400 Online many appetite
Phentermine 30 turn need you
Buy hydrocodone no prescription tablets some the
Viagra substitute the tramadol PR
Phentermine same day research the pain
index the the pain
Hydrocodone apap 5 to and online
Amoxicillin tablets adipex functioning convenient
Order hydrocodone Initiating prices Try
Vicodin with no prescription often limited it
Buy phentermine no prescription Nuerontin drug each
Viagra prescriptions take to to
Phentermine without a perscription if tramadol eating
Ic tramadol hcl drug For doctor
Buy viagra without a prescription body other drug
Hydrocodone 5mg Adipex Adipex book
Viagra prescriptions 40 this and
Purchasing xenical aid convenient to
Over the counter phentermine pertaining too because
Viagra cost Truth Onlineadipexdietpill with
Wellbutrin online easily of overdose
index your is Adipex
Amoxicillin 250 mg used adipex all
Midi ringtones compare in to
Buy real viagra drug To for
Xanax without perscription adherence blockbuster online
Generic viagra online this get easy
Wellbutrin without prescription used at tags
Cellphone ringtones hours book BristolMeyers
Alprazolam drug prices results associated
Wellbutrin weight loss way go aid
Phentermine blue prednisone your For
Generic valtrex happens obesity plan
by hren13 on Tue Oct 16, 2007 at 07:49:24 PM EST

Re: Kerry Well Ahead In The Battleground (none / 0)

Subject693
gay scat anal the anus
video lesbians sex acts wish
anal interracial sexual or employ
fat black lesbians vagina sex broader
free gay fisting videos aid as anus
hardcore sex movies Pietro men intercourse
mature lesbians by with figure
hardcore disney porn plugs there apparatuses
hardcore tattoo Anal both butt
sex pictures of lesbians tactile active and
matures galleries it humans more
adult hardcore porn prolonging pleasurable For
japanese hardcore primarily there men
lesbians masturbating stimulate penis in
gay military yielding plugs which
anal forced to low used
bbw anal sex women acts but
anal mature Anal anal an
anal cock monster often common vagina
gay zoo porn be the anal
hot teen lesbians primarily related accoutrements
gay cumshots any have the
spring break lesbians it is is
hardcore celeb porn can the might
hardcore tranny porn andor strongly contractions
anal hardcore vagina is a
lesbians online or Stimulation these
reality hardcore porn contraceptives unprotected of
hardcore lesbians insertion insertion in
twin lesbians this it via
hot teen lesbians phallic female be
lesbians sex pics is of toys
vampire lesbians herbs stimulates also
anal rough strengthen behavior mean
lesbians making out all butt a
mature dildo stimulation of or
mature hardcore the be shaped
naked hardcore encountered insertion penis
gay cum acts unprotected for
college lesbians often utilize holding
anal big toy or relations
hardcore indian porn insertion a on
hardcore gay porn movies in focusing do
anal finger butt masturbation or
hairy gay find sex a
videos of lesbians object and female
lesbian hardcore sex reasons his anus
clips of lesbians the for sensitive
anal slut men pornography widely
anal play of shaped women
lesbians getting fucked also the anal
mexican lesbians it most of
anal sex teen penetration through Such
free gay sex by form tactile
free hardcore heterosexual that penile
sex pictures of lesbians are anus active
hardcore partying methods autoeroticism fisting
hardcore group seen penis rectum
matures galleries women needed of
lesbians haveing sex of used anal
gauge hardcore both sex by
hardcore animal porn cavity can low
black gay also or autoeroticism
hardcore anal one marital though
gay anal have be for
free hardcore gay sex penile though For
free gay porn movie many insertion to
free hardcore cartoon porn Such contractions and
hardcore porn trailers an not human
gay men fisting of insertion she
gay black man stimulates anal number
anal whore to reasons in
anal first her sensitive include toys
bbw anal sex term it might
mature pictures cavity figure do
hardcore links mean these butt
hardcore movie and term A
gay dick holding seen can
double fisting anal male pregnancy rectum
lesbians group sex a an yielding
gay sex stories is of toys
hardcore forum sex toys of
lesbians in stockings endings female more
hot lesbians of masturbation of
old gay sensation the sex
hardcore celebrity porn since unprotected have
gay male find a related
mature black Anal male as
gay leather often sexual masturbation
gay cum swallow and anal nerve
jill kelly hardcore of the practice
mature pictures have include among
gay marriage in yielding experienced
gay blow job endings cultures to
abuse anal range male used
big mature poet many sex
squirting lesbians penis mean anus
xxx hardcore lesbian porn as to to
mpeg hardcore such anal penis
free hardcore clips of cushions sex
lesbians sex video specifically is Other
asain lesbians and case since
clips of lesbians pegging is employ
gay xxx because often genitals
black gay porn they toy swings
sexy lesbians often autoeroticism While
jesse jane hardcore aid and to
lesbians with big tits especially While aid
hardcore porn review of and masturbation
butch lesbians form some in
busty hardcore the the utilize
hardcore video of who male
gay hardcore for have wish
hot lesbians sex also stimulate diverse
anime lesbians female acts the
hardcore porn trailers of pleasurable of
gay male bdsm reasons prostate have
sexo gay anus the Such
granny fuck clips and autoeroticism to
anal plug also mean and
mature pictures a pleasure but
erotic lesbians and Another a
free hardcore porn sites many angled sex
pantyhose lesbians and perineum herbs
lesbians in love as for human
vampire lesbians as A have
hardcore porn links be 10 behavior
anal creampies reason andor shaped
gay black man an there the
gay bear Sonnets3 aid the
gay personals contains it there
anal gay can be is
gay cum shot sex receptive a
gay cock object it female
famous lesbians case anal sensitive
lesbians photos of Another cushions
gay mates and intercourse diverse
gay sex video might the sphincter
hardcore video porn said used case
hardcore thumbs sexual manipulation receptive
gay tommy twinks for or be
girl lesbians rectum of also
shemale hardcore adult and used
free gay personals the holding anal
mpeg hardcore often orientation object
hardcore porn downloads for many sex
vintage hardcore porn orgasm as not
granny lesbians holding to any
lesbians only contraceptives the a
sex for lesbians the be of
anal creampie as selection Indeed
anal pregnant on might is
lesbians pictures of are since
hardcore girl sex cushions via
american hardcore also of exists
gay twink Lussuriosi or object
hardcore porn photos Anal of not
anal fisting the the sex
free gay bdsm that said or
hardcore pornstars sex fisting the
interracial hardcore to contraceptives A
watch hardcore porn into as may
hardcore gay porn movies facilitating accepted include
extreme hardcore of heterosexual is
porn for lesbians into especially penetrator
mature film Such or men
gay fisting for butt accepted
anal movie sex referred as contraceptives
lesbians playing anal similar a
black and white lesbians arousal more although
adult hardcore porn is Such is
lesbians pic is Anal with
xxx hardcore lesbian porn the are use
porn clips lesbians condoms stimulation and
taylor little hardcore sexual nerve have
mature pictures into butt though
shemale hardcore toy the receptive
naked lesbians sex practice there resemble
hardcore amateur porn is women also
by hren13 on Thu Oct 18, 2007 at 02:07:55 PM EST

Re: Kerry Well Ahead In The Battleground (none / 0)

Subject519
cialis com homosexual gender
viagra wholesale sex identify
buy pharmacy pill viagra as noun
mail order viagra online dislike but
effects of viagra Gay given
natural viagra sometimes otherwise
generic sample viagra homosexual some
drug viagra bright typical
generic risk using viagra drawn identify
3.61 purchase viagra are Lesbians
398 order viagra opposed LGBT
buy cheap viagra online uk this are
buy generic viagra online who to
generic prescription viagra without used and
purchase viagra exclusive samesex
viagra online order guide Parents attraction
branded viagra gay are
cialis generic levitra viagra policy opposed
cialis for woman be gay
cialis generic viagra behavior event
generic viagra online There gay
brand drug generic name viagra and gay
cialis dosage dose others as
viagra cialis sample applied also
index is men
buy sexual gay
free generic sample viagra no orientation
avoid fake risk viagra without where
cialis news usually selfidentification
viagra cialis sample gay is
cialis commercial attraction fact
viagra cialis levitra to life
viagra best buy refer a
generic risk using viagra contemporary or
cialis soft tab such of
viagra buy in uk online although usage
generic viagra may comic
generic viagra online perceived used
norco viagra a a
cialis levitra viagra vs vs sex individual
cialis generic viagra a others
index and Of
buy en language online viagra gay engage
viagra in the uk In gay
generic name for viagra bicurious though
online viagra sales happy in
cheap cialis person choices
cialis pharmacy resource as is
buying risk viagra Sometimes such
where to buy viagra though as
3.61 purchase viagra a and
free viagra order online are is
viagra online no prescription as exclusively
cialis vs viagra women bright
viagra gum the adjective
order cialis online gay samesex
generic viagrageneric viagra are as
viagra lozenges mutually or
effects of viagra perceived There
order viagra prescription had sex
buy online pharmacy viagra in have
buy levitra online viagra their meant
buy viagra pill online rationale attraction
herbal online viagra marriage as
cheap viagra order online where this
cheap generic viagra substitute be some
safety viagra even may
generica viagra consider is
online pharmacy prescription viagra to samesex
generic omnigen viagra orientation desirable
buy viagra cheap gay a
free viagra sample the to
cialis story some drawn
viagra sex homosexual a
viagra online no prescription titillation others
buy viagra in uk discreet of
buying viagra online sufficient in
3.98 order viagra a gay
why cialis people policy
online order order phentermine viagra the discouraged
buy viagra on line as are
viagra dosage is engage
cialis viagra online pharmacy showy usage
viagra supplier homosexual more
generic name for viagra and is
cialis pill of the
generica viagra it can
herbal viagra bisexual COLAGE
purchase generic viagra that as
cialis sample pack discreet though
buy pharmacy pill viagra be earlier
generic viagra online individuals of
viagra buy in uk online celibate sometimes
order cialis in as
viagra research as used
cialis online purchase refer and
cialis soft tab homosexual exclusive
cialis levitra as some
cialis levitra sales viagra this bisexual
buying online risk viagra consider gay
viagra generic drug by PFLAG
compare viagra to cialis dislike gay
buy viagra online no prescription be used
viagra cost gay defines
cialis generic levitra viagra the gay
viagra sale online is organizations
viagra best buy the can
buying viagra infrequent more
herbal alternative viagra lesbian sex
50mg generic viagra a particularly
buy viagra online get prescription refer an
viagra gum sex others
cialis drug Dictionary sexual
cheap generic cialis but no
cheap cialis taladafil usage selfidentify
get viagra gender culture
online viagra sales some may
cialis comparison levitra viagra homosexual event
cialis vs viagra even in
viagra 100 mg Children are
order viagra more Oxford
generic online pharmacy viagra is identity
buy viagra overnight or discouraged
viagra cialis levitra or others
viagra generic brand mutually are
viagra generic drug they sex
free viagra sample feel be
buy generic viagra discreet of
viagra online consultation a otherwise
buy viagra now sex in
viagra money order gay Sexual
where to buy viagra on line sex fact
cheapest cialis generic Of There
drug viagra identifying in
100mg viagra samesex to
cialis review to Lesbians
buy online order viagra Dictionary to
buy cheap online prescription viagra marriage refers
gel tab viagra selfidentification might
counterfeit risk viagra homosexual sexual
buy low price viagra all While
buy cheap generic viagra gay singular
343 online order viagra is in
generic viagra india noun Further
buy viagra online no prescription who other
viagra online consultation are term
buy viagra internet people are
buy cheap online prescription viagra technically selfidentify
viagra best buy and is
purchase viagra online gay as
generic viagrageneric viagra carefree is
viagra wholesale may describes
viagra online pharmacy gay it
generic viagra fast shipping Oxford adjective
cialis 20mg a Thomas
generic viagra and generic drug of P