We all need to face a real electoral college match-up problem Obama has vs. McCain:
http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2008/Ob ama/Maps/May09.html
McCain has a solid south, plus Florida, all the border states where he wins by 15 to 35pts. The mountain and plains states (without Colorado)Leaving the big three industrial-rustbelt states; Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Ohio. McCain only needs to win one of the three to win it all. Obama must win all three to win the job.
Imagine, right now McCain has the EV advantage in a year of recession, lousy war, housing collapse, and gas prices out of sight! Something is wrong here, very wrong. If we lose this fall what happens to the Democratic Party?
and he has not been shy about his support for Clinton:
"What about polls that still seem to give John McCain a good chance of winning? Pay no attention, say the experts: general election polls this early tell you almost nothing about what will happen in November. Remember 1992: as late as June, Gallup put Ross Perot in first place, Bill Clinton in third."
i'm not at all an expert, but i'm gonna throw my hat in with them and say that there really is not a "real electoral college match-up problem" for obama.
Obama can win by picking off Colorado, New Mexico, and Iowa while holding the Kerry states. If he drops New Hampshire, then he'd need Nevada. This isn't even counting Virginia and NC, which I think he can put into play. It doesn't have to be all about Ohio again.
