according to the rules that will be in place at that point in time, he will have garnered more than half the available pledged delegates.
You need all the delegates. A majority is like calling the game at third quarter.
If no candidate has 2,025 it goes to a second convention ballot.
This is so tortoise-and-hare of him, and it will backfire. He will even make a good hare in a political cartoon. He is crazy for doing this!
I couldn't disagree with you more. In fact, if Obama didn't declare victory, the media would jump on him about letting Clinton control the message and the framing. Then we'd get more insinuations about how she's the one who's the real fighter in this race. And Carville would up the ante by claiming that she actually has cojones all over her body, like some bizarrely hermaphroditic fertility god/dess. Mark my words.
When he does this, he will frame it as the voters having spoken. And it's true. It's also true that the SD's could counter the voice of the voters, but he'll point out how undemocratic that would be.
Then you can rub it in how bad it backfired.
You have to earn it - read "Speaker of the House" by Tip O'Niel. Voters want to be asked for their votes. He's got it in the bag, why must he do this? Because he wants a vacation? If he's too tired to clinch the nomination, he doesn't have the stamina to be president.
Very unbecoming of him.
Voters resented Hillary when she was "inevitable" and him moving the bar up to 1,600 nullifies his criticism of Hillary.
Tone deaf.
no point playing like either of us can see into the future, so let's just revisit it when you've been proved right.
