delegates first.  If that's a tie, then popular vote metrics come after that when it comes to the technicality of who "won" the state.

In terms of the metrics that matter, Guam will be a tie, though with a distinct advantage to Obama because the Guam superdelegates are actually elected as well, and Obama's superdelegates won.

But after that, if we need to discuss who won Guam, then certainly, Obama carries it (unless something weird happens in Dededo).

The logic holds: after the Nevada caucuses, Obama was projected to win more delegates, so we in the Obama camp claimed a win.  In New Hampshire, the delegates were a tie, but Clinton won the popular vote, so Clinton won the state.  We're consistent.