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Re: And if you only look at the polls (none / 0)

No, like only the ones that tell you what you want to hear.


by Angry White Democrat on Thu May 01, 2008 at 01:22:19 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: And if you only look at the polls (none / 0)

which is, every one I've seen in the past week or two. sorry, old ones don't count.


by dark1p on Thu May 01, 2008 at 01:25:52 PM EST
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Re: And if you only look at the polls (none / 0)

You must not read many polls, then.


by Angry White Democrat on Thu May 01, 2008 at 01:30:56 PM EST
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Re: And if you only look at the polls (none / 0)

like I said, just most.

May 01   
Electoral Votes: Clinton 291     McCain 24

Electoral Votes: Obama 243     McCain 269     Ties 26

http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2008/Cl inton/Maps/May01.html

Gallup Daily: Clinton 49%, Obama 45%
McCain leads Obama in general election; McCain and Clinton tied

http://www.gallup.com/poll/106945/Gallup -Daily-Clinton-49-Obama-45.aspx

PRINCETON, NJ -- Hillary Clinton has edged ahead of Barack Obama, 49% to 45%, in the latest Gallup Poll Daily tracking update.

Polls hint at Clinton surge
Posted by Foon Rhee, deputy national political editor May 1, 2008 10:13 AM

A bevy of new national polls, plus surveys in Indiana and North Carolina -- which hold key primaries on Tuesday -- suggest that Hillary Clinton is closing the gap since her campaign-saving victory in Pennsylvania last week, and that the controversies dogging Barack Obama are having an impact.

In a national Fox News/Opinion Dynamics poll, Clinton leads Obama 44 percent to 41 percent. The Illinois senator is viewed unfavorably by 42 percent of all voters, up 9 percentage points since February. Clinton's unfavorable rating is still slightly higher than Obama's, but it has dropped slightly. And by 10 percentage points, Democrats now view Clinton as likelier than Obama to beat presumptive Republican nominee John McCain. Democrats gave Obama a 4-point edge last month.

In a national NBC/Wall Street Journal survey, Obama's lead has narrowed to 46 percent to 43 percent, and his unfavorable ratings have also risen. In March, 51 percent of voters viewed him positively and 28 percent saw him negatively, but in the new poll 46 percent view him favorably, but 37 percent negatively.

In a national New York Times/CBS poll, Obama leads 46 percent to 38 percent among Democrats, but 51 percent say they believe he will be the eventual nominee, down from 69 percent a month ago. And 48 percent of Democratic primary voters said they believe he would be the strongest candidate against McCain, down from 56 percent a month ago.

And in a Quinnipiac University poll, Clinton runs stronger than Obama in match-ups against McCain in the general election swing states of Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Florida. Clinton would get 49 percent to McCain's 41 percent in Florida, leads 48 percent to 38 percent in Ohio, and 51 percent to 37 percent in Pennsylvania.

Obama is statistically tied with McCain in Florida and Ohio, while leading him in Pennsylvania by 47 percent to 38 percent, according to the poll.

The polls were being conducted as Obama's former pastor, the Rev. Jeremiah A. Wright Jr., was making a series of highly publicized speeches and as Obama repudiated him.

In North Carolina, a new WRAL-TV poll says that Obama's lead has narrowed to 49 percent to 42 percent, down from double digits in most prior polling.

In Indiana, where the race had been a toss-up in surveys last week, Clinton now leads in the three most recent polls. She is ahead 46 percent to 41 percent in a Rasmussen survey, 50 percent to 42 percent in Public Polling Policy survey, and 52 percent to 43 percent in a SurveyUSA poll.

http://www.boston.com/news/politics/poli ticalintelligence/2008/05/polls_hint_at_ c.html

5/1: Is The Tide Turning?

Hillary Clinton's improved performance in head-to-head match-ups with John McCain -- coupled with yesterday's NC poll showing her leading Barack Obama 44-42% -- has pro-Clinton bloggers buzzing about the NY senator's momentum.

http://blogometer.nationaljournal.com/ar chives/2008/05/51_is_the_tide.html


by dark1p on Thu May 01, 2008 at 01:49:10 PM EST
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Um,.... (none / 0)

You do realize that lots of the polls on electoral-vote.com are really old, right?

I thought you just said old polls don't matter. Which is it? Or do they only matter when they favor Hillary?


by Angry White Democrat on Thu May 01, 2008 at 01:54:56 PM EST
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Re: Um,.... (none / 0)

Yes, but that's the electoral map that I could find most readily.

I agree, not ideal, but it is indicative, I believe. If you have one that's newer and better, I'd appreciate the link.

That's the problem with showing up at work, they expect you to actually work. Not nearly enough time for blog arguments and research.....damn them!


by dark1p on Thu May 01, 2008 at 03:52:24 PM EST
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Re: And if you only look at the polls (none / 0)

argh. that first stat should read:

May 01   
Electoral Votes: Clinton 291     McCain 247    

the perils of cutting and pasting....


by dark1p on Thu May 01, 2008 at 01:55:30 PM EST
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Re: And if you only look at the polls (none / 0)

Hillary is losing ground to McCain also in the Gallup poll.  The Dem's are hurting each other badly.

McCain, as evidenced by his gas-tax holiday idea (Hillary stole it) and his health care proposal, is now in the hands of a professional political organization that knows what it's doing.

McCain was tough to begin with and now between Obama/Wright and Hillary/Bosnia he appears to be the only 'honest' and 'trustworthy' candidate left and now he's playing pander politics!

McCain is on track to winning an electoral vote landslide in the fall.


by minnehot1 on Thu May 01, 2008 at 02:50:32 PM EST
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Re: And if you only look at the polls (none / 0)

Please give me a link to that newsflash. I haven't seen anything that points to McCain being on track to win anything but the undying admiration of GW Bush.


by dark1p on Thu May 01, 2008 at 03:54:02 PM EST
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