That might be.  The only observation I have is that the five years from the start of the Iraq War (2003) to the 2008 election runs a little bit on the high side.  The average time between "trigger" event and "confirmation" is three years.  But time will tell.  One thing is for certain:  historians 20 to 40 years from now will be doing a lot of interesting analysis of the times in which we now live.