It's funny how Obama supporters assume that if Clinton were not the nominee, that Obama would win over the white working class, even though there is not an indication that he would, but they have the belief that Clinton couldn't win over the youth, even though she beat Obama among the youth in places like California and Massachusetts.
On the contrary, I do agree that Obama is the obvious millennial candidate in the youth sense, but I have my doubts about his ability to win the GE, and on this issue, as compared with Clinton-- which is something similar to what the authors have on their blog:
Its sounds to me like you think 9/11 is the most recent realignment trigger. Is that one of your reasons to support Clinton?
Try this: 9/11 was "confirmation" that the Inner-driven Era of Reagan and Clinton from 1982 to 2000 was over. As I see it, the actual trigger event that set off the current Crisis Era was the "outcome" 2000 election.
Taking a look at the beginnings of previous Crisis Eras might be instructive:
The American Revolution Trigger event: Boston Tea Party (1773) Confirming Event: The "Shot Heard 'Round The World" (1776)
The Civil War Trigger Event: Dred Scot Decision (1857) Confirming Event: Lincoln's Election (1860)
Great Depression/World War II Trigger Event: Stock Market Crash (1929) Confirming Event: Roosevelt's Election (1932)
The Iraq War Trigger Event: 9/11 Attack Confirming Event: Obama's Election
A large part of the appeal of Obama is his message and style which is more distinctly anti-Bush than Clinton or McCain. Bush's low public approval (nationally and internationally) create a public mood for something much different and a greater tolerance for a candidate who has been on the national scene for a shorter period of time.
That might be. The only observation I have is that the five years from the start of the Iraq War (2003) to the 2008 election runs a little bit on the high side. The average time between "trigger" event and "confirmation" is three years. But time will tell. One thing is for certain: historians 20 to 40 years from now will be doing a lot of interesting analysis of the times in which we now live.
I actually questioned that thinking up above.
I voted for Clinton, after all my original choices were gone, because of the two, her and Obama, she's more likely to win.
...after receiving the largest number of votes and having the most pledged delegates...
Accepting and following the rules and metrics established at the beginning is also a principle. Ask Al Gore.