Obama doesn't kick puppies.  A former acquaintence does.  And Obama still hasn't accounted for why he ever met this person.  Is that what we want in a president?

Polls say 49-43 C.  If undecideds break 5-3 for her, that's an 8 point win.  However, I think the sampling error (the quoted margin of error based on sample size) is now less important than the model error -- have they correctly predicted who will turn out to vote, and thus drawn their sample from the appropriate population?