"What do you think?"
It doesn't matter what the numbers are. Unless Obama kicks a puppy, the math ain't working for Hillary in the long run, especially with North Carolina and Indiana breaking for Obama before he's even had a chance to saturate those markets with Ads and feel good whistle stop speeches.
Obama kicked a puppy? Omigosh, that is way worse then flipping HRC the bird. /snark
We really need to ask the Obama campaign about his puppy kicking fetish. The Republicans certainly will.
My prediction - Clinton by 10.
Obama doesn't kick puppies. A former acquaintence does. And Obama still hasn't accounted for why he ever met this person. Is that what we want in a president?
Polls say 49-43 C. If undecideds break 5-3 for her, that's an 8 point win. However, I think the sampling error (the quoted margin of error based on sample size) is now less important than the model error -- have they correctly predicted who will turn out to vote, and thus drawn their sample from the appropriate population?
I guess we'll find out soon enough.