Display:


OK, smoke THIS (1.80 / 5)

THE PUNDITS
Despite Hillary Clinton's big victories on March 4th, "the math" works decisively against her and the race is essentially over

THE REALITY
The math is simple: neither candidate has reached the number of delegates required to secure the nomination and either candidate can win

*******
THE PUNDITS
Barack Obama is substantially ahead in the popular vote; Florida and Michigan don't count; therefore the race is essentially over

THE REALITY
The popular vote is virtually tied; half of Barack Obama's narrow vote advantage is from his home state; and his lead excludes Florida and Michigan

*******
THE PUNDITS
Florida and Michigan's voters won't be heard and their delegates won't be seated all because of complicated procedural roadblocks

THE REALITY
Barack Obama is intentionally disenfranchising voters in two critical states for purely political reasons, namely, that he'll lose his small advantage if they count


I'm United Methodist. I already have a Messiah.
by KnowVox on Fri Mar 28, 2008 at 04:41:06 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: OK, smoke THIS (2.00 / 2)

You can't remove the best state from one candidate, not do that for the other one and then say, "See, it's tied."  If you took out both IL and CA (say), who would have the lead?  

As for MI, no one who doesn't support Clinton is going to be swayed by adding a count where one person got 0 votes.


Beat McCain!
by thezzyzx on Fri Mar 28, 2008 at 04:46:15 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: OK, smoke THIS (none / 0)

only by his own choice. guess it sucks to take responsibility for some folks.


by zerosumgame on Fri Mar 28, 2008 at 08:00:00 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: OK, smoke THIS (none / 0)

this is interesting, though i can't believe the last example... um, Obama isn't disenfranchising anyone.   i'm sympathetic to the arguments about MI and FL, but that ain't his fault.  let's cut the crap here.  this isn't NO QUARTER, ya' know.  this blog is supposed to be a cut above.....


by funknjunk on Fri Mar 28, 2008 at 06:50:08 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: OK, smoke THIS (none / 0)

"The popular vote is virtually tied; half of Barack Obama's narrow vote advantage is from his home state; and his lead excludes Florida and Michigan."

Are you serious with this? Or is it dry humor? You are arguing that we should remove Obama's votes in his home state from the total popular vote count in order to fairly assess the extent of his lead -- while leaving Clinton's votes from New York in the mix? Accordingly to what brand of logic is this anything other than totally ridiculous?

As to the popular vote, you are right that Clinton is "virtually tied," with Obama -- if by "virtually tied" you mean "losing."

If Clinton is so deeply committed to averting the "disenfranchisement" of the people of Michigan and Florida, then why did she agree to "disenfranchise" them in the first place? There is no principle involved here, on the part of either candidate. Do you seriously believe that if Clinton had lost Florida badly, she would now be vehemently arguing that its delegates be seated? Clinton opposed seating both the Florida and Michigan delegates, until it suited her to change her position. Each candidate is doing, with respect to Florida and Michigan, what they think will help their chances. The idea that Clinton is standing on principle is ludicrous.


by left unsaid on Fri Mar 28, 2008 at 06:53:57 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: OK, smoke THIS (none / 0)

LOL!!! Isn't all of this numbers games so silly--LOL!!!! I mean take away this--Clinton wins' or add this Clinton wins--

I hope everyone understands that there have been several proposals for seating delegates over a few months BUT it's the Clinton's who are the ones who are blocking those proposals.

Around the time that the

STATES DECLINED to hold REVOTES

After that the proposal was made and a fair one--split the Delegates 50-50 in Michigan--the Mihigan Democratic party wanted that one--Hillary did not.

In Florida reduce the number of delegates by half and allot each candidate the halves of delegates they had won in that election. Senator Nelson of Florida was for that one--Hillary was not.

I don't want to hear one more thing about Fl and MI--BECAUSE it's all made up and for 'shock value' in a silly attempt by the Clinton's to keep her supporters all a twitter and in hopes of getting media attention

As we have seen all of this type of 'media attention' is bringing her numbers down as well as drawing more delegate attention to her silly little ways.


by Wary on Fri Mar 28, 2008 at 07:24:51 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: OK, smoke THIS (none / 0)

Alright, Solomon. Split the baby in half and therefore remove any value. I mean you are clearly the arbiter of fair.


by hctb on Fri Mar 28, 2008 at 09:08:22 PM EST
[ Parent ]