But you invent things, why not stick to polls.
Further, even if the polls had HRC significantly ahead (which they don't) the HRC folks have reminded us since New Hampshire, it is sensible to be skeptical of the polls anyway.
http://weblogs.baltimoresun.com/news/pol itics/blog/2008/03/obamaclinton_tie_in_n ew_poll_p.html
http://rasmussenreports.com/public_conte nt/politics/election_20082/daily_preside ntial_tracking_polling_history