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More wishful pro-Clinton thinking from Jerome (2.00 / 1)

<<By the end of the primary calendar, its very likely that both of the candidates will be able to point to scenarios whereby they lead by either the popular or the delegate count, and the super-delegates will eventually decide their votes. I don't expect that the nomination will be concluded until August.>>

Yeah, right.


by bigdcdem on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 08:07:07 AM EST

Re: More wishful pro-Clinton thinking from Jerome (2.00 / 1)

Jim VandeHai made a rather salient point yesterday evening on the NewsHour in asking the rhetorical question (not verbatim), "Are the superdelegates really going to step in and take the nomination from the candidate with the most delegates who is an African-American?", his point being that he doesn't think the party would risk alienating 90% of that particular voting demographic in any case.

I agree. It would have a devastating effect on the party's relations with the AA community, now even moreso in the wake of Obama's speech.


by bookish on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 08:43:56 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: More wishful pro-Clinton thinking from Jerome (none / 0)

It would have a devastatng effect with every candidate ahead in the delegate count.
If the SD's would be stupid enough to flush HRC down the toilet while ahead in PD's every Clinton supporter would be rightly outraged. The same goes for Edwards, Kucinich, Richardson. This has absolutely nothing to do with the fact that BHO has a black father, just as it has nothing to do with the fact that he has a white mother.
by hebi on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 12:03:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: More wishful pro-Clinton thinking from Jerome (none / 0)

It might alienate the other candidates' supporters in the short term, but you can't honestly tell me you think that in Obama's case the AA community would come back in 2012 as if nothing happened. Let's be serious, k?


by bookish on Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 04:00:03 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: More wishful pro-Clinton thinking from Jerome (none / 0)

A sizable chunk of them will, but a significant part of them won't. And the same goes for all these young voters that are new to politics and enthusiastic about it, and even a sizeable percentage of the starry eyed, latte drinking, birkenstock wearing, rich liberals will be so disgusted, they will vote Nader for the rest of his life.
And I have no doubt that a fair amount of Latinos, blue collar workers, Asians, native Americans, middle aged women and grandfathers will be disgusted as well.
The only way to avoid this catastrophe is to compete honestly for the remaining PD's and at the end of the race do the math. If he's ahead by say the Florida margin, than BHO should be the nominee, if HRC is ahead in PD's than she should be the nominee, and if it's within the Florida margin it's up to the PD's to play the role they were introduced into the system for.
by hebi on Sat Mar 22, 2008 at 05:17:34 AM EST
[ Parent ]


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