First, this won't go to the convention floor. It will be over by early June, just after the revotes in Michigan and Florida. Second, the claim that Hillary is damaging the party by not stepping aside is nonsense. There is no candidate who would have stepped aside in the position she's in right now.
If Edwards was in Hillary's place and still had a shot at winning, do you think he would quit? Not hardly. And as an Edwards supporter, I would be upset if he did. Dodd, Biden, Kucinich, any of them would still be in this race if their candidacy was in the same place as Hillary's. To demonize her and claim she's hurting the party for not stepping down is ridiculous.
The point is she doesn't have a shot at winning. Even Bill said she really didn't have a chance if she lost TX or Ohio. Spin it however you want, but she lost TX. It is a two-step process, she won one step narrowly, lost the other widely and lost the total marginally.
Nowhere have I seen anybody show how she can reasonably win more pledged delegates. Any other path to the nomination ends there for her, at the nomination.
She can not win the GE after that. Obama supporters will not cross over to her after what many of them will see as an illegitimate win, only if she shows up at the convention with more pledged delegates ... partly because Obama will have dropped out by then! Even the most biased observer has to see that.
So, 1. Why is she still in it again? 2. Mathmatically, how can she win more pledged delegates?
You are spinning if you think she didn't win Texas. Bill was talking about winning the primary vote, and she did that. It's about perception, and there is vitually nobody outside the Obama blogoshere that would agree with the claim that Obama won Texas.
Her path to the nomination is over if you assume it is simply the pledged delegates who will decide. But it isn't. The super delegates will determine the winner, and no matter what you or Nancy Pelosi might think or wish, they will vote for who they think can win in November, not just the pledged delegate winner. If Clinton ends the primary season with convincing wins in PA, FL, and MI, she stands a very good chance of being the nominee. Losing any of those ends her chances.
That's Hillary's only hope. She is hoping that Rezko, Wright, something else...totally destroys Obama and she starts winning by 70-80%. It's totally wishful thinking but Hillary does have the right-wing smear machine working for her at this point. It's going to be a tough couple months for Obama.
Like I said ...the right-wing smear machine is working for Hillary at this point. Good to see you.
