IMHO BO only chance to win the WH requires him winning CO.  And i assume both candidates are at 264 which are all the states Gore won plus NH. In this model i assume BO wins PA and MI and i think that very likely. And lets all agree Howard Dean was really smart to hold the convention in Denver.  IHMO BO has no chance of winning MO, NC, or GA.  And i think VA is a real long shot as well.  I guess you could include NV (5) and that would give him 269 and he would win since the dems have the majority in the house.

HRC would have to win OH and its 20 electoral votes.  If you add in AK where i have seen her up 15% that takes 26 electoral votes from what bush won in 2004.  If you give her NM which is likely with the latino vote that would put her at 292.  However, she polls really bad in IA and could lose WA.  I think she holds WI and MN.  But if you subtract 7 (IA) and WA (10) she is down to 275 electoral votes so only 6 to spare.

So if she loses OR (7) or either WI or MN (each 10) she could still lose.

Just my read on the electoral college.

david