I don't put much stock in these early polls. Despite what they say I don't believe voters are going to put McBush in the White House. After the conventions he'll start to fade. The politics of fear are passing.
Said it over and over again. McCain is winning because people think he's not as conservative as he really is. That will change.
<i>McCain is winning because people think he's not as conservative as he really is. That will change.</i>
Not if he runs much more to the left than everyone expects -- which is what he set himself up to do with his victory speech on March 4th.
"Not if he runs much more to the left than everyone expects.."
That's a very real possibility. But that will definitely lose him the neocon base, which I don't believe a Republican can win without.
But [running to the left] will definitely lose him the neocon base, which I don't believe a Republican can win without.
I disagree. Much of the right-wing "base" has shown itself to be a paper tiger. Its shrill rhetoric drove many moderate Republicans to vote Dem in 2006. The neocon base is chastened now.
He won't do that. The issues on which he's most conservative are his core issues and the ones most important to voters. He might be able to run on a platform of stem cell research and environmental technology, but he's still to the right on a lot of issues and on the record as having much more conservative positions than he originally had. How does he answer the question about Roe v Wade? Most voters probably think he doesn't want to overturn it, he's on record as saying he'd do it immediately.
I can't believe anyone really taking these March polls seriously! That Nader will win 5-6% of the votes is patently absurd!! The Dems will come together later in the fall once they realize the stark choices facing them. McCain's age and the uninspiring "business as usual" message will be soooooo outshined by either BO or HRC as we get closer to the GE.
