was a big concern among those Dems that switched from Dean to Kerry the last few weeks. If Hillary's electability problems receive more attention Obama could benefit. Obama's strategy should be:
1. Remind voters of his and Hillary's different history on Iraq.
Obama's chances are excellent in my opinion. A lot of voters haven't made up their minds yet, and those 60%+ who won't name Hillary now are not likely to vote for her in the primaries. Hopefully Obama will outraise Hillary in Q2 sending shockwaves through the MSN. His position in Iowa and New Hampshire is already quite good and will improve once he starts campaigning there seriously.
"Obama's chances are excellent in my opinion. A lot of voters haven't made up their minds yet, and those 60%+ who won't name Hillary now are not likely to vote for her in the primaries."
That is nonsense by any measure. You are assuming that as candidates peel away that Clinton will not pick up a singulary voter from other candidates. That is ridiculous reasoning. Besides, she gets a huge percentage of first AND second choice votes (65%,) a much higher level than either Obama or Edwards. Her support universe at this point is a lot higher than either Obama's or Edwards'.
Unfortunately, I agree.
I am talking about undecided voters at this point.
And people do not have two votes.
Second choice vote means that she's second in preference. She might not get those votes, but they sure do point that claiming that Hillary will never get a vote she doesn't have already is not supported by any facts.
There is nothing that suggest that Hillary can't gain votes from undecideds
I don't support Obama, but I would not call him an "empty suit." I have to disagree with you there. Too harsh. You have a point, but it could have been made without that gratuitous attack on Barack Obama.
I think his experience will be an issue. The people will decide.
How come noon talks about the "inexperience" of Edwards, Guiliani, Romney and Thompson? They have no more experience than Obama's six years in Illiniois senate and four years in US senate (after 2008).
I guess it's either because Obama is black (not so much in here) or because he looks young.
Because most of them have been around since the '90.
And Edwards has been running continuesly since 2003. Obama is simply the newest kid on the block. That obama is young looking doesn't help as well.
But Edwards, Guiliani, Romney and Thompson will likely be grilled on that subject if one of them becomes the nominee. it's just that they've all got worse problems right now.
