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Re: Online preference polls & t (3.00 / 1)

Rasmussen asks likely voters would you definitely vote for or definitely not vote for each candidate.

This month he found good news for Obama--and I think very good news for Richardson, my second choice.  

First Obama:

Thirty-three percent (33%) of Likely Voters say they'd definitely vote for Illinois Senator Barack Obama (D). That's the highest total received by any of ten leading Presidential hopefuls included in the poll. Thirty-three percent (33%) also say they'd definitely vote against Obama giving him a net differential of zero (33% definitely for minus 33% definitely against equals net differential of 0). All other candidates have a net differential in negative territory meaning more people are set to definitely vote against them rather than for them. Other polling during the past month found Obama's favorability ratings have increased to the highest level of any 2008 candidate

Richardson, out of all the candidates from both parties, has the lowest (28%) number of people who say that they would definitely vote against him.  Now he needs to improve in the voting for category (10%) but he does not have to make up nearly as as much ground as many of the others.

I think that this sort of poll shows why the GOP is pining for Clinton and the Dems should be hoping for Gingrich.  When 48% say that they will definately not for a person--it is not impossible to win but you have to capture almost 100 percent of all remaining voters in order to win.  Pretty tough to do.

http://rasmussenreports.com/Political%20 Tracking/Dailies/April%202007/fororAgain st20070417.htm


by aiko on Tue Apr 17, 2007 at 01:37:32 PM EST