Richardson may also be taking some from the stealth member of the top tier, "undecided".
But here's hoping something knocks Hillary out of the top tier so that the first primaries have a chance to knock her out of serious consideration altogether.
I tend to think it's "other" ("other" and "no clue" were where the drops in this month's DKos poll happened), and that specifically it's the current unofficial fourth top-tier candidate -- Al Gore.
I guess if there are some Gore supporters that liked both Sustainable Energy and NAFTA style bogus free trade agreements, they would be attracted to Richardson.
I would not rule out a Richardson rise in Iowa pushing Clinton into fourth place (behind Edwards, Obama and Richardson).
I hear a lot of people saying they want to hear more from Richardson, but they are not considering Hillary.
In 2003 I would have thought you were crazy if you said Gephardt might finish fourth in Iowa. His problem was that there was no room for growth in his numbers. No undecideds were considering him. I see Hillary in the same situation now.
What I don't know is if Richardson is going to make a serious play for Iowa. If he does, I think there is an opening for him.
This seems like an important point that I don't hear very often. I can't imagine that there are many people who are going to be convinced to support Clinton at this point. Either they already do or they're never going to. In the former, there's room change your mind, in the latter, not so much.