"The reality is if he were the candidate in a general election campaign, he would be fortunate to carry his home state of Illinois."
I live in Illinois and I'm not even supporting Obama in the primary, but this statement is utterly ridiculous. Gore and Kerry both won Illinois rather easily in 2000 and 2004. Obama is still well liked in the state and he would have no problem winning it in the general election.
As to her electibility, no one is even near her negatives (with the possible exception of Gingrich). The latest Time poll has her negatives at twice as much as any Democratic or Republican candidate. Also, if you look at the numbers in that survey, the percentage of "probably will not vote for" (14%) and "definitely will not vote for" (36%) is already at 50%. No one else is even close to that.
http://www.srbi.com/4105-Q15%20Registere d%20Base%20-%20Final%20Report%20-%202007 -04-10--11.45am.pdf
Any Democratic nominee will have a similar or higher percentage who will not vote for them. Obama is at 37% now who will not vote for him (before the majority of the public has even heard much about him) in some polls and Gore is at 47%. Clinton and Gore are that high because they have been on the political scene much longer than any of the others running. Negatives that high in 2000 had no effect on Gore he still won the popular vote and in actuality the electoral vote.
