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San Diego (none / 0)

I'm in the CA-50, The Wife and I voted for Busby this morning.  Also sent some cash her way via ActBlue.

My hopes are high but expectations low (how can they not be in this party?)  I think this will pan out the way the last Mayoral election did:

  • in a thick field primary, the sole strong Democrat pulls in decent numbers but not a majority
  • in the run-off, the Democrat pulls -exactly- the same numbers.

So I'm guessing 44% in the primary, 44% in the runoff.


by Stoffel on Tue Apr 11, 2006 at 06:28:45 PM EST

Re: San Diego (none / 0)

the run-off, the Democrat pulls -exactly- the same numbers

There is one big difference between the SD Mayoral runoff and the putative Busby runoff, which is that this one will be the same day as the statewide primary, which has contested Democratic races from the top of the ticket on down.  Expect Busby to benefit from the turnout efforts of both Democratic gubanatorial candidates.


by Jay on Tue Apr 11, 2006 at 10:19:59 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: San Diego (none / 0)

I'm right next door in Susan Davis' district.  I'm sorry to say I agree with your analysis.  I sent Busby money twice: early in the campaign and then immediately on hearing about the RNC money dump.  And I made a lot of calls for her via MoveOn.  But I think she needs to win it in the primary; her chances go way down in the runoff.  And it doesn't look like she'll take the primary.  Stay tuned...


by carlmanaster on Wed Apr 12, 2006 at 12:55:05 AM EST
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