Notice there are 14 House races that they rate as likely to lose. There were another 15 rated Democrat. If we end up with all 14 of our leans and say 7 (about half) of the toss ups that puts us at 21 Seats. Now factor in if there was a wave and we picked up all our leans and 10 toss ups with 2 or 3 lean republican seats. We could be looking at a nice little majority in November even by internal Republican numbers.
I see those 14 house seats they rate as likely to lose and I remember that story (I'm sorry I can't remember the cite) that the GOP was confident they'd only lose 14 seats and retain the House.
Coincidence?
I'm guessing they're confident their GOTV will carry every toss-up.
I'm guessing they're confident their GOTV will carry every toss-up
And I'm guessing they're full of shit.
Seriously, these "we're confident of keeping control of Congress" stories really shouldn't be taken at face value. It's pure spin ...