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Just keep in mind (3.00 / 1)

that there's a huge disparity between this blog poll and the mainstream surveys, which consistently place Hillary first, not fourth, with a lead comparable to the one Clark has here. I'd rather see Clark win the nom than Hillary, but it's not in the bag.

I have a sinking feeling that it's gonna be Clinton/Clark . . . I don't like it.

Are we safer yet?
by catastrophile on Thu Aug 18, 2005 at 04:35:58 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Polls of the general public... (3.00 / 1)

...are just name recongition charts at this point, and do not actually reflect anything resembling what the final totals are.
by Geotpf on Thu Aug 18, 2005 at 07:03:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Right. (none / 0)

But what exactly does this poll reflect? And which is more meaningful?
Are we safer yet?
by catastrophile on Fri Aug 19, 2005 at 07:37:56 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Right. (none / 0)

This poll reflects who has netroots support, among those active and interested now, who will likely be the core of any candidate draft movements or spread the word very early in the primaries.  The link is vague and tenuous, because there's so much time to go, but it is far more significant than any polls of the general public at those point.  Those tell you absolutely nothing except what you already knew about which names people have heard of.

If you took a netroots poll in 2002 (after Gore said he wasn't running, let's assume), you'd have seen Dean on top.  You'd probably have seen Clark make a small blip.  Gephardt would have shown up fairly low, Lieberman nowhere, and Kerry moderately strong.  That poll would have been highly relevant and informative to those who knew what it meant.  Public polls at the same time, of course, if they even asked about Dean or Clark, wouldn't have bothered to report the insignificant results for those two.  They all would have showed Lieberman with a commanding lead, and Kerry and Gephardt as the likely second tier.  Those polls meant nothing.

by cos on Sun Aug 21, 2005 at 02:04:42 AM EST
[ Parent ]


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