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Re: I hope Chris' electoral math was fully grasped (none / 0)

The mere fact that Warner has a good chance of winning Virginia probably makes him a better bet, this far out, than any of our other likely candidates.  There's also the fact that he's the only likely candidate whose top resumé entry is "governor," not "senator" or "general," which is generally an advantage in presidential politics.  Remember, we haven't elected a democrat who wasn't a southern governor to the White House since 1964 (although a former southern senator did win the popular vote and would have won the electoral college if not for a mixture of fraud and incompetence in Florida in 2000, his top resumé item was "Vice President").

I don't think Warner has a lock, but I do think he has better odds than HRC, Clark, Edwards, Gore, Kerry, Bayh, Feingold, or anybody else whose name I've heard bandied about.  To improve those odds, I'd add Senator Bill Nelson of Florida to the ticket -- a 3-4% "vice-presidential favorite son" boost should be sufficient to put the Sunshine State in our column, and I think the rethugs would have a very hard time finding the electoral votes among the states Kerry won to compensate for losing both VA and FL.  Not impossible, especially if they go stark raving sane and nominate someone like McCain or Giuliani, but unlikely.

Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama for President! Beat McCain!
by Alex on Fri Nov 04, 2005 at 11:45:33 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: I hope Chris' electoral math was fully grasped (1.00 / 1)

There are 3 things we can't nominate and hope to win
  1. Senator
  2. Congressman
  3. anyone from any state Kerry won (esp no one from the northeast)

beyond that the bottom half of the ticket doesn't garentee a state but in most cases other than Gore the top half usually does.

I would also Suggest either a
Clark/Easley or Easley/Clark Ticket

by orin76 on Sun Nov 06, 2005 at 02:29:35 PM EST
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