Warner can get Virginia, I agree with that. I was worried about Allen, but I saw some polls saying that if it was Warner vs Allen, VA goes with Warner. Good to hear.
All I was pointing out is that Picking Clark or Warner is not a guarentee of any other states BUT the home states and even then those aren't guarentees... although they are strong possibilities. And yes, I agree VA is trending Dem. I just think it is foolish to think that some think we are guarenteed to take all of Kerry's states. Even a solid Blue state could shift to the red or purple depending on who the GOP nominee is. It will take work to keep every one of those states and to flip enough to win the presidency. Besides our goal should be over 50% of PV and 320 EV so that we have a clear mandate. The moment people start thinking it is a lock, the moment we lose. I am just being practical.
I don't think Warner has a lock, but I do think he has better odds than HRC, Clark, Edwards, Gore, Kerry, Bayh, Feingold, or anybody else whose name I've heard bandied about. To improve those odds, I'd add Senator Bill Nelson of Florida to the ticket -- a 3-4% "vice-presidential favorite son" boost should be sufficient to put the Sunshine State in our column, and I think the rethugs would have a very hard time finding the electoral votes among the states Kerry won to compensate for losing both VA and FL. Not impossible, especially if they go stark raving sane and nominate someone like McCain or Giuliani, but unlikely.
I would also Suggest either a Clark/Easley or Easley/Clark Ticket