Allen is the favorite of the insiders. He has not done well in polls so far. Of course we are 3 years out and at this point, we had no idea Dean was going to explode into the front runner or that Kerry would win the nomination. Bush was assumed in 2000, but only because the GOP had solidly fallen into line behind him. Even Dole wasn't the assumed guy back in 1993.
If you want to make a claim, back it up with facts... even polls lend some validity. Otherwise preface it as I THINK THIS WILL HAPPEN.