The DeMint Republicans
by Jerome Armstrong, Sun Aug 29, 2010 at 06:32:45 AM EDT
Small government, vs Trent Lott, anti-establishment of the Republican Party. Jim DeMint's task is radically reshaping the Republican caucus:
As the midterms approach, Mr. DeMint is also up for re-election, but his hapless Democratic opponent, Alvin Greene, is fighting a felony pornography charge. So most of his focus is on the five to eight stalwart conservatives who might be joining him in the Senate next year, and in the fight for limited government...
"You need to start by putting a cap on spending."
...Next he says, "we may not be able to repeal ObamaCare, but we can cut off the funding." Will they really? "Yes, if you have a wave of new people coming in—they've all campaigned on it."
...Then, he says, sell Chrysler and GM. "It doesn't matter how much money we lose; let's get out of it." He also wants to privatize Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac so we can "get out of running the housing industry." He also wants to see a low-rate flat income or consumption tax.
The eight (and whom they would defeat):KY: Rand Paul - Jim BunningFL: Marco Rubio - George Lemeiux
UT: Mike Lee - Bob Bennett
PA: Pat Toomey - Arlen SpecterCO: Ken Buck - Michael Bennet
NV: Sharon Angle - Harry Reid
WA: Dino Rossi - Patti MurraryWI: Ron Johnson - Russ Fiengold
Its also not even close to a sure thing that all eight of them win, but its a pretty radical shift that's happened just in the nomination procedure. Aside from WA's Rossi, none of the DeMint candidates was the establishment favorite 18 months ago, to be the Republican nominee.
2010 was suppossed to be a good year for Democrats to make gains in the Senate (going by partisan make-up). Instead, its the Conservative Movement Republicans whose year is shaping up.
Its not much better, as far as the Senate makeup goes, for Democratic establishment when we look out over the next two cycles. Over the upcoming Senate contests in 2012 and 2014, its pretty clear that Democrats are going to be mostly on the defense.
In 2011-12, without a doubt, Joe Lieberman will be the target (and likely a Republican one), and Chris Murphy the arrow. Scott Brown of MA will be a target; Ensign in Nevada will likely lose a primary; Texan Hutchinson may as well; Utah's Orin Hatch may too. But after that, its all defense for Dems.
Back to 2010. I open up this Newsweek article titled, "Democrats May Not Be Headed for Midterm Bloodbath", thinking... maybe somethings turned?
Skipping to the poll results. Putting the happy-talk title aside, what this poll shows is that Democrats at right now at their lowest point in over 12 years.
Looking at the Independents lean-- it reads blowout. By a 45 - 33 margin, they go Republican. Newsweek only goes back to '98, but Dems were never even below 40% prior to this poll. The Republican high-water mark was 46, just before the '02 mid-term.
I'm not sure where the other 22% is going of the Independents. Its interesting, because that's the highest of the poll's history-- especially this close to the election. Could mean there is more than usual volitility at play. If that means they go Dem in the swing states, then some of the Repubicans above will lose. If even close to half go Republican or don't show up, then yes, a bloodbath.
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