Healthcare Reform Gaining Popularity

So says the latest Kaiser Health Tracking Poll:

The July Health Tracking Poll indicates overall public support for the health reform law is steady from June, while unfavorable views of the law have trended downward. Half the public (50%) now expresses a favorable view of the law, while 35 percent say they have an unfavorable opinion (down from 41% in June).

The poll also took a closer look at the views of seniors since they are often assumed to have a uniform view about issues. Below are some of the poll’s key findings about seniors’ views:

While seniors’ views of the new law are more negative than those of their younger counterparts, they remain roughly split about the law with 46 percent of seniors holding an unfavorable view of the law and 38 percent holding a favorable one. While 35 percent of seniors think they will be worse off under reform, a greater share (57%) say they will be better off (20%) or it will make no difference (37%).

Seniors’ awareness about the specific provisions of the health reform law that affect Medicare is mixed. For example, about half are aware that the new law will result in premium increases for some higher income Medicare beneficiaries (52%) and gradually close Medicare’s “doughnut hole” (50%). However, just a third (33% ) know the law will eliminate Medicare’s co-pays and deductibles for some preventive services.

On the other hand, large shares of seniors mistakenly believe the law includes provisions that cut some previously universal Medicare benefits and creates “death panels.” Half of seniors (50%) say the law will cut benefits that were previously provided to all people on Medicare, and more than a third (36%) incorrectly believe the law will “allow a government panel to make decisions about end-of-life care for people on Medicare.”

Despite the fact that Medicare’s actuaries predict the health reform law will extend the life of the Medicare Part A Trust Fund by 12 years (from 2017 to 2029), only 14 percent of seniors know this and nearly half (45%) of seniors think the health reform law will weaken the financial condition of the fund.

In general, seniors with a favorable view of the law are more likely to be aware of some of the law’s benefit improvements for Medicare, while those with an unfavorable view are more likely to be aware of increases in taxes and premiums that occur under the law.

More illustrative is the breakdown by political affiliation. Democrats largely favor the Affordable Care Act while independents split 48/37 in favor. It is only among Republicans that there is significant and still hardening opposition. Among Republicans, opposition to the law remained steady at 69 percent, but the intensity of that opposition ticked upward. Fifty-three percent of Republicans said they had a “very unfavorable” opinion of the law this month, up from 50 percent in June.

Tags: Affordable Care Act, US Healthcare Reform (all tags)


1 Comment

Only among the republicans

The same number of people in the GOP camp still oppose, but now they're becoming militant about it. Sort of like someone who is wrong, in a debate - and doesn't have a leg to stand on - so he starts getting loud.


But the Independent voters and the Democrats are showing a gaining increase in favoring the bill. This is huge. Half the electoral battle this year will be GOTV.

Independents like to get to the polls, as do the Democratic base - what we're seeing with the GOP is the manufactured consent that their largely TV Media based campaigns tend to bring out - the 'anger' that so appeals to their demographic.


Here's a scenario: suppose candidates from the Democratic party take the side of reform and the rising 48 to 37% independent vote starts splitting in their favor, the 14% of all seniors who have bought the GOP party line that health care reform is a boondoggle - rise up to , say, 30% in favor - with just these numbers alone, coupled to the fact that even the flawed package of measures that stand as reform - could now be supported by 50% of all will have at least a 10 point edge in polling.

And this is one, in my view - that could became a 12, to 14 point edge if the candidate not only embraces the reform but states what he or she will do to improve it. In one fell swoop, he would get small business on board and the number of independents would skyrocket. Small business benefits greatly by real HCR.


by Trey Rentz 2010-07-30 05:51AM | 0 recs


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