GA-12: John Barrow Vulnerable To Strong Primary Challenge In 2012

Tuesday, Democrats in Georgia's 12th congressional district re-nominated U.S. Representative John Barrow for a fourth term in the House of Representatives.  However, the story coming out of the July 20th primary is not Barrow's victory but the fact that his primary opponent nearly doubled her vote total from two years ago.

Despite raising only $43,709, former state Senator Regina Thomas garnered 42% of the vote according to unofficial returns [SOURCE: Georgia Election Results; July 20, 2010].  Compare that to her performance in 2008, when Thomas received a paltry 23% against Barrow, and one comes away with the picture that a well-funded primary opponent could possibly beat the three-term Savannah Democrat in two years [SOURCE:  Georgia Election Results; July 15, 2010].

Regina Thomas' 19-point jump from 2008 to 2010 can only be attributed to Democrats' disapproval of John Barrow's vote against the health care bill. 

Before Tuesday's primary, several local Democratic elected officials and Democratic Party activists expressed their dismay at Barrow's vote.  Some even vowed to recruit a strong primary challenger for Barrow in the future.

Democrat John Barrow will face the winner of the Republican primary run-off between Ray McKinney and Carl Smith.  CQ Politics rates the race as "likely Democratic".

Tags: GA-12 (all tags)




Before making declarations about the district in the next cycle and its voting patterns, which you misrepresent as solidly democratic (it has a solid liberal African American base vote of 40%, no dem will get under that in this district, but the other 60% is rural social conservatives, a Democrat has to win over 16% of those rural social conservatives to win this election, remember Barrow won with 50% in 2006, a strong democratic year) I would like you to produce what kind of district GA-12 will be in 2012.


2012 is the redistricting year, and GA is gaining another CD. Does this district become based more so around Savannah? If it does then yeah, this diary makes a good game plan. Does GA-12 become more rural? If yes, this is a STUPID plan of action that will lead to another GOPer getting elected, and if you haven't noticed the GA GOP is a special brand of crazy in the House. I don't want anymore of that. Does it stay the same in lines? Will Barrow still live in GA-12? You don't know, and neither do I.

by Trowaman 2010-07-21 08:50AM | 0 recs
Hopefully we'll be rid of Barrow soon.

And quit allowing him to leach off the Democratic Party only to put a bipartisan veneer on right-wing policies and talking points.

by TheUnknown285 2010-07-21 11:47AM | 0 recs


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