GA-GOV: Barnes Goes Up On TV, But Trails GOP Opponents

Former Georgia Governor Roy Barnes made history in 2002, when he became the first Democrat not re-elected to the Peach State's top job in over a century.  Eight years after his defeat at the hands of Democrat-turned-Republican Sonny Perdue, Barnes is attempting a political comeback which has the potential to breathe new life into a moribund Georgia Democratic Party.

By every measure of political strength, Barnes is the front runner for the Democratic gubernatorial nomination.  Most polls show the former governor way ahead of his competitors in the Democratic primary.  An April Insider Advantage poll puts Barnes on the brink of winning the nomination without a run off  [New IA Poll:  Georgia Democratic governor's raceSouthern Political Report.  Retrieved on 2010-5-25.].  In terms of campaign cash, Barnes is rolling in the dough.  His latest campaign finance disclosure showed over $900,000 raised between January 1st and March 31st, bringing Barnes' fundraising totals to $3.6 million with $2.8 million left in the bank [SOURCE:  Georgia State Ethics Commission].  And just last week, Barnes picked up the support of the state AFL-CIO [Galloway, Jim (2010-5-20).  Roy Barnes picks up state AFL-CIO endorsementPolitical Insider (Atlanta Journal-Constitution).  Retrieved on 2010-5-25.]. 

Flush with cash and a big endorsement, Barnes has gone up on t.v. with three separate ads airing across the state.  Here's the latest campaign spot that started appearing on stations in the Atlanta media market:

Still, Barnes trails the top GOP gubernatorial candidates despite his success in the Democratic field.

A new Rasmussen Reports poll shows the former Georgia governor leading just one Republican hopeful in hypothetical match-ups. 

Roy Barnes (D) 39%
John Oxendine (R) 43%
Some Other Candidate 11%
Not Sure 7%

 

Roy Barnes (D) 40%
Nathan Deal (R) 47%
Some Other Candidate 6%
Not Sure 7%

 

Roy Barnes (D) 39%
Karen Handel (R) 42%
Some Other Candidate 9%
Not Sure 10%

 

Roy Barnes (D) 42%
Eric Johnson (R) 38%
Some Other Candidate 9%
Not Sure 11%

[SOURCE:  Rasmussen Reports]

The Georgia GOP primary race has been dominated by the question of who is best positioned to take on Roy Barnes in November.  The latest poll shows a high number of undecideds --39%-- among Republican primary voters [Reese, Gary (2010-5-19).  Oxendine still leads Georgia GOP governor's raceSouthern Political Report.  Retrieved on 2010-5-25.].

The Georgia Democratic and Republican primaries are scheduled for July 20th.  Former Gov. Roy Barnes is competing against six other Democrats, including Attorney General Thurbert Baker and former Adjutant General of the Georgia National Guard David Poythress, for his party's nomination.  Should no candidate receive 50% plus one in the primary, a run-off will be held August 10th.

CQ Politics rates the Georgia gubernatorial race as "leans Republican."

Tags: GA-GOV (all tags)

Comments

3 Comments

This is interesting

I think the trend in Georgia is more or less anti-establishment. Some things that Perdue did during his tenure that rub a few nerves raw - are the time - Perdue simply sent all the school kids home, to save on fuel for school buses?

 

This was a classic. Every parent in the state loved that one. Remember when gas got really expensive, ... and Sonny just cancelled school and sent the kids home, because he wanted to keep the buses from running.

 

You are going to need to fill in the details here but basically, the guy did that. He's also the kind of guy that would have his people impeached if they didn't participate in a dog and pony show about healthcare reform....

 

I'm not sure Roy has that rough a time to get re-elected. I know one thing for sure. There isn't that much of an issue with how the Georgia flag looks to anyone, anymore....

 

That said, to my mind - Roy is going to have to seriously work harder than this - he's going to have to get mean and get strong and hit this campaign alot harder than he thinks. He strikes me as the kind of man that is comfortable running the state, but he's not so comfortable running as an outsider.

Georgia will prove that this election cycle is all about connecting directly with constituencies. Slick TV ads are great

 

But if it weren't here, I wouldn't have seen it. Period.

 

by Trey Rentz 2010-05-25 01:53PM | 0 recs
PS Barnes is running against Perdue

Even if Perdue isn't running, Barnes is basically running against him. The Georgia GOP worked hard to get Perdue in place. They'll do the same for whomever takes the nod.

 

 

by Trey Rentz 2010-05-25 01:55PM | 0 recs
PSS

Someone needs to fix the link in MyDD on the Georgia Blogroll.

<---- here...

by Trey Rentz 2010-05-25 01:56PM | 0 recs

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