Democrats Air First Ads In KY-Sen

Both Democrats running in Kentucky's Senate primary aired their first ads this week. Here's Attorney General Jack Conway's:

The other Democrat in the race, Lt. Gov. Mongiardo, is also up with his first ad. He gets away from the white background look but focuses even more on the outgoing Bunning rather than the current GOP opponents. Worse yet, both candidates have purchased only limited airtime while the Republicans, Rand Paul and Trey Grayson, are blanketing the state. One piece of good news, however, is that both Democrats attack Jim Bunning and the Repubs, whereas the Repubs attack each other.

This race matters, and Conway is the right candidate. We’re going to lose some incumbent Democrats this November. It’s hard to tell exactly who and quite how many this early, but some are goners for sure. The best way to offset those losses is to flip some open Republican seats. New Hampshire and Missouri may be our best bets, but let’s not rule out Kentucky.  

Democrats don’t get the pleasure of running against Bunning, but an open seat in a state with a Democratic Governor and a bitter GOP primary is nothing to sneeze at, either. All hypothetical General Election match-ups (some of which are out of date) have the Repubs ahead, but with one Rasmussen exception for Mongiardo-Paul, always below 50%.

From mountaintop removal mining to gay rights, Conway has definitely shown himself to be the progressive in this race. He'll make a better candidate, too, as he doesn’t carry Mongiardo’s baggage. They may be evenly matched against Repubs now but Mongiardo was unable to beat Bunning in 2004, and his own profane comments about the seat and Gov. Beshear could come back to haunt him in the general.

It seems to me that Jack Conway, who only slightly led Mongiardo in the last poll (December), is a candidate just waiting for Netroots support. The primary is May 18.

Tags: Kentucky, KY-Sen, coal, Jack Conway, Dan Mongiardo, trey grayson, rand paul (all tags)



tough race to call

I agree about Conway being the better Dem. But, I thought his ad was a bit to solemn and don't recall a single thing he said 1 minute later. Same with Mongiardo's ad, but it had a nice jingle at least.

Grayson looks like your typical mean robot Republican, at least Rand Paul is his own party.



by Jerome Armstrong 2010-03-06 08:54AM | 0 recs
RE: tough race to call

I'd originanally written a post criticizing the two Dem ads, and quoted "Crashing the  Gate" on Dean's closing white Iowa ad. But then I said no, this is a tiny $25k ad buy, to focus on the ads would be to miss the point and make too much out of nothing - just use it to highlight the race.

Conway's online ads at his website are still too staid, but are at least a little more engaging.

by Nathan Empsall 2010-03-06 01:15PM | 0 recs


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