Wait, CT-Sen Only "Leans" Democratic?
by Jonathan Singer, Wed Mar 17, 2010 at 11:43:37 AM EDT
The Cook Political Report calls the Connecticut Senate race "leans Democratic" these days, a rating that reflects a belief that the race is currently competitive, though one party has an edge. I haven't seen too many competitive races, however, where one party leads by a margin well in excess of 30 points.
Connecticut Attorney General Richard Blumenthal tops Merrick Alpert 81 - 6 percent in a Democratic Senate primary and stomps his Republican opponents:
Blumenthal gets a 79 - 13 percent approval rating, continuing a 10-month string of approval ratings of 78 points or higher, and a 70 - 18 percent favorability rating.
- 61 - 28 percent over McMahon, compared to 64 - 23 percent January 14;
- 62 - 26 percent over Simmons, compared to 62 - 27 percent;
- 64 - 21 percent over Schiff, compared to 66 - 19 percent.
The Pollster.com trend estimate gives the Democrat Blumenthal a lead in excess of 34 percentage points -- and growing. Yet this race is competitive, and only "leans" towards the Democrats. Okay...