Is Obama Actually Dropping in Ohio?
by Jonathan Singer, Fri Jul 10, 2009 at 02:24:50 AM EDT
When Quinnipiac released polling out of Ohio earlier this week showing Barack Obama's approval rating in the state falling to 49 percent, conservatives smiled with glee. But were they a bit hasty? Perhaps.
According to the latest Research 2000 survey commissioned by Daily Kos, President Obama's favorability rating stands at 59 percent in Ohio, with 35 percent viewing him unfavorably. To be clear, a favorability rating is a different metric than an approval rating -- but in the case of Barack Obama it is a metric that tracks fairly closely with his approval rating, sitting roughly 4 points higher on average. At the least, these numbers -- which unlike Quinnipiac's polling finds that President Obama remains popular with independents, with a 57 percent favorability rating within the demographic -- raise serious questions as to whether the media jumped too quickly on the results of the earlier survey to proclaim that the President was sinking in the Buckeye State.