DE-Sen: Delaware Voters Prefer Republicanism To Nepotism

A new Susquehanna poll shows that if Republicans can recruit Delaware At-Large Congressman Mike Castle to run for Joe Biden's former Senate seat, he would destroy the presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe's son (and Delaware Attorney General) Beau Biden.

Castle 55
Biden 34

The big bad news for Biden:

Among Republicans, Castle leads Biden by a margin of 82% to 12% and among Independents he leads Biden 55% to 28%. Biden leads among Democrats only by a 52% - 36% margin, however.

The analysis plays up Castle's cross-party appeal but it's hard not to see this as much as a rejection of nepotism as it is a vote of confidence for Castle. Hard to imagine Dems holding this seat if Castle gets in.

Tags: Beau Biden, DE-Sen, Mike Castle (all tags)

Comments

21 Comments

Castle beats anyone

for this seat...we've known that for a while.

by DTOzone 2009-05-05 12:14PM | 0 recs
Re: DE-Sen: Delaware Voters Prefer Republicanism T

If the republicans recruit good candidates they might have a shot at picking up senate seats in some states ....

They may not be dead after all...

by lori 2009-05-05 12:22PM | 0 recs
It's clear

that people like Mike Castle, Tom Ridge, George Pataki, Jodi Rell are threats to Democrats...it's also clear that Republicans are in the minority simple because they've been trying to isolate people like them for not being conservative enough.

If the GOP starts running candidates like them again, then, yes, it shouldn't come as a surprise to anyone that they can win elections.

by DTOzone 2009-05-05 12:27PM | 0 recs
Re: DE-Sen: Delaware Voters Prefer Republicanism

With the news out of PA that Ridge would crush both Toomey and Specter and Gillibriand in trouble in NY against Pataki, we are in some trouble, it seems...

by LordMike 2009-05-05 12:29PM | 0 recs
Re: DE-Sen: Delaware Voters Prefer Republicanism

If Arlen Specter becomes the dem nominee , I don't see how Ridge wins despite his popularity , not with the dem machine behind Specter .

I hope Sestak gets in and win..

by lori 2009-05-05 12:33PM | 0 recs
Not sure Sestak

could be Ridge in a general...or Specter in a primary.

by DTOzone 2009-05-05 12:43PM | 0 recs
Sestak would not beat Ridge

Ridge is exactly the type of Republican who appeals to the crucial independent voters who dont want Democrats to have too much power.  If Ridge runs, the seat is his.  Sestak should simply work on holding PA-07.  

by Kent 2009-05-05 03:45PM | 0 recs
We'd always be in trouble

against Republicans like Castle, Pataki and Ridge. One of the main reasons why we started winning was because Republicans wouldn't run people like Castle, Pataki and Ridge.

by DTOzone 2009-05-05 12:34PM | 0 recs
Specter

I think he made this switch to increase the GOP's chances of holding this seat.

He's not a Democrat:

http://politicalwire.com/archives/2009/0 5/05/specter_wants_coleman_to_win.html

by esconded 2009-05-05 12:45PM | 0 recs
Besides the point

maybe he did, I don't know, my point is seats like this are always in jeopardy against popular perceived moderates like Ridge.

Just like we'd have a hard time winning this seat if Specter had won the Republican nomination. We were counting on him losing to win.

by DTOzone 2009-05-05 12:48PM | 0 recs
this "news" is a Republican poll

and it's not surprising it shows Ridge with a commanding lead over Toomey and a respectable lead over Specter:  it was built to get Tom Ridge into the race.  It was weighted to be the best case scenario for Ridge-inclined voters, and the worst case scenario for anyone else.

by Concern Troll 2009-05-05 12:51PM | 0 recs
Exactly how is this nepotism?

You are not using the word correctly...

How is being freely elected nepotism?

by SaveElmer 2009-05-05 12:30PM | 0 recs
Re: Exactly how is this nepotism?
Biden's Senate seat was given to a place holder just so his son would have the opportunity to get it.  Nepotism is not just in being given something tangable, it is also being given opportunities that others would not have recieved.
Do you honestly think that a place holder would have been given the senate seat so that this opportunity could be given to anyone other than Biden's son?  
If no, then you agree nepotism is at play, if yes, you are delusional.
Anyone know how the younger Biden is fairing in Democratic Primary polls?
by goodleh 2009-05-05 02:11PM | 0 recs
Re: DE-Sen: Delaware Voters Prefer Republicanism

The polling firm seems to give a lot of edge to Repbublicans....

http://www.swingstateproject.com/showDia ry.do?diaryId=4908

Still, not great numbers at all...

by LordMike 2009-05-05 12:31PM | 0 recs
without a campaign

How could the lesser known candidate win? This poll means very little.

by John DE 2009-05-05 01:06PM | 0 recs
might as well hand this seat to the GOP

if Castle runs

by esconded 2009-05-05 01:09PM | 0 recs
not really concerned

2 comments

a) what's the value of using a republican outfit this far o ut?

b) it's funny to see how folks like lori only post when it's to endorse conservadem talking points.

by bruh3 2009-05-05 01:09PM | 0 recs
because

hoping Sestak gets in is now a conservadem talking point?

by DTOzone 2009-05-05 03:47PM | 0 recs
Re: DE-Sen: Delaware Voters Prefer Republicanism

It's hard to imagine a Republican winning Delaware, although I've never heard of Mike Castle so what do I know.

by Jess81 2009-05-05 06:18PM | 0 recs
A Republican did win Delaware in 2008

Mike Castle.

His district is the whole state.

by DTOzone 2009-05-05 06:19PM | 0 recs
Re: DE-Sen: Delaware Voters Prefer Republicanism T

I was pissed last night. Reading this bullshit put me in the Slough of Despond.

This morning, I'm feeling good.  Here is why.  Mike Castle running against Beau Biden would be the best thing that could ever happen to Biden.

Biden would have to beat the crap out of Castle to win, and I long to see Castle getting the crap beat out of him. (Castle voted w/ Bush 95% of the time on Iraq.  Justice at last!) Biden would have to demonstrate that he is a real Democrat. Running against the wishy-washy Castle would mean that Biden would need to forcefully articulate the Democratic case for governance. Biden could never "out milqtoast" Castle into office.   The Dems would be getting a real Dem and not a Tom Carper-esque fraud.  

Biden would also have to show that he has real campaign chops. Running a great campaign and knocking off Castle would put to rest any murmurs about Biden's callowness forever. Sure he'd get help from DC - but retail politics still rule in Delaware. It would be Beau's race to win or lose.

Yes. I'm getting giddy thinking about the bloody bar fight between youth and experience. And moreover, I have to think that when Beau returns from Iraq he might find himself getting giddy as well.

If he wants a career in politics and would like to get out from under the impression that he's had things given to him - you can damn well bet that he would be giddy about getting in the ring with the GOP's overthehill champion.

by delawareliberal 2009-05-06 08:15AM | 0 recs

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