Trailing in Polls, Jon Corzine Releases New Ads
by Charles Lemos, Thu May 14, 2009 at 04:18:25 PM EDT
In a poll released today by Rasmussen Reports, the incumbent Democratic Governor Jon Corzine trails his presumed Republican challenger Chris Christie by nine percentage points. In the match-up against Chris Christie, a former United States Attorney, Governor Corzine trails 47% to 38%.
Mr. Christie is however facing a June primary against the former mayor of Bogota, Steve Lonegan who believes progressive taxation is "immoral" and is thus advocating a flat income tax of 2.9 percent on all state residents. And according to the New Jersey Star Ledger, Lonegan also would distribute school aid on a strict per-pupil basis -- meaning no extra money for poor urban districts leading to big property tax reductions in the suburbs, but huge increases in the cities. Still a poll earlier this week also from Rasmussen shows Chris Christie attracting 39% of the state's GOP voters to Steve Lonegan's 29%.
For Corzine, this latest poll is a mixed bag. He trails both of his GOP challengers, though the race with Lonegan is within the margin of error, but on the other hand, Corzine's numbers are actually an improvement. In March, Governor Corzine trailed Christie by 15 points.
More from Rasmussen:
New Jersey polls often shows Republican candidates polling well in the spring and then shows Democrat gaining ground in the fall. A Republican has not won a statewide election in the Garden State since 1997. On a generic basis, 48% of New Jersey voters would like to see a Democrat as Governor while just 34% would prefer a Republican. That political gravity is almost certain to help the incumbent as Election Day draws near. Corzine may also get a boost from President Obama64% of New Jersey voters approve of the way the President is handling his job. That figure includes 47% who Strongly Approve. Just 25% Strongly Disapprove. As for Corzine, just 9% Strongly Approve of the way hes performed as Governor while 38% Strongly Disapprove. Bleak as those numbers are, they do reflect an improvement since March. Overall, 40% say they at least somewhat approve of the job Corzines been doing. Thats up seven points in two months. When it comes to personal favorability ratings, Christie comes out on top. Fifty-one percent (51%) have at least a somewhat favorable view of him. Forty-four percent (44%) say the same about Corzine and 43% hold that view of Lonegan. None of the three have strong followings. Just 13% have a Very Favorable opinion of Christie while 11% are that enthusiastic about Corzine or Lonegan. However, the Republicans get a boost from the fact that 33% have a Very Unfavorable opinion of their Governor. Just 9% are that negative about Christie, 12% offer that opinion about Lonegan. Not surprisingly, the Republican candidates are less well known and the Democratic campaign will certainly do its best to fill in the blanks for voters. All this suggests that its premature to write Corzines political obituary before his Republican opponent is decided upon and better known.
Jon Corzine, not dead yet.