PA-Sen: Specter Trails, and Badly, Against Toomey
by Jonathan Singer, Fri Apr 24, 2009 at 09:32:46 AM EDT
This week Rasmussen Reports polled 490 likely Republican primary voters, and the numbers (which have a margin of error of plus or minus 4.5 percentage points) look decidedly bad for incumbent Senator Arlen Specter.
Arlen Specter: 30 percent
Pat Toomey: 51 percent
Specter's troubles don't stop with the topline numbers pitting him against conservative challenger Pat Toomey. Just 42 percent of likely GOP primary voters view Specter favorably, while 55 percent view him unfavorably. These numbers look even worse in comparison to those of Toomey, who earns a 66 percent positive rating and a 19 percent negative rating from the Republican base.
Taken as a whole, this survey does little to dispel my initial take that Specter will not earn a sixth term.