NH-Sen: Paul Hodes Strongest Candidate Thus Far

From Democratic pollster Public Policy Polling (.pdf), on the race to replace Judd Gregg (or perhaps more precisely Bonnie Newman, the Republican who will be appointed to replace Judd Gregg):

Charlie Bass (R): 37 percent
Paul Hodes (D): 40 percent

John Sununu (R): 44 percent
Paul Hodes (D): 46 percent

Charlie Bass (R): 43 percent
Carol Shea-Porter (D): 42 percent

John Sununu (R): 46 percent
Carol Shea-Porter (D): 45 percent

Currently, Democratic Congressman Paul Hodes, who has already announced that he is running, polls well on top of either former GOP Congressman Charlie Bass (whom he beat in 2006) and former GOP Senator John Sununu (who lost his reelection bid last year). Democratic Congresswoman Carol Shea-Porter doesn't poll too much more weakly. This race won't likely be easy for the Democrats -- but at worst it should be a tossup, not a bad position for a potential pickup.

Tags: New Hamsphire, NH-Sen, Paul Hodes, Senate 2010 (all tags)

Comments

5 Comments

Re: NH-Sen: Paul Hodes Strongest Candidate
No content here:
  • Poll results are all within 3%
  • It's 21 months before the 2010 elections.
by Leading Edge Boomer 2009-02-11 01:47PM | 0 recs
Re: NH-Sen: Paul Hodes Strongest Candidate

Also, and I don't want to be too nit-picky here, but isn't saying that Hodes polls "well on top" of either Sununu or Bass just a wee bit excessive considering he's only up by 2-3%?  Let me put it another way.  I (and I suspect most other folks who have limited resources) don't give money to candidates that are "well on top" of their opponents; rather I try to make my money count in close races where the extra bucks might make a difference.  Do you really want to send the message that Hodes is leading comfortably?  

by Mose 2009-02-12 06:20AM | 0 recs
No information here
    *  Poll results are all within 3%
    * It's 21 months before the 2010 elections.
by Leading Edge Boomer 2009-02-11 01:49PM | 0 recs
Shea-Porter needs to stay put

We cannot have both of these two bloodying each other up in a primary.  We also dont need to have both of those House seats open.  I think we can hold NH-02 as an open seat, but we would have a very tough time in NH-01.  

by Kent 2009-02-11 02:01PM | 0 recs
Re: NH-Sen: Paul Hodes Strongest Candidate

This is the NM-Sen of 2008 again.  I doubt either Sununu or Bass runs.  Should be an easy pickup.

by Skaje 2009-02-12 07:21AM | 0 recs

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