Lieberman Looks Weak
by Jonathan Singer, Tue Feb 10, 2009 at 09:16:52 AM EST
Things aren't looking good for Joe Lieberman in the Nutmeg state.
By a narrow 48 - 45 percent margin, voters disapprove of the job Sen. Joseph Lieberman is doing and give him a negative 43 - 49 percent favorability. Republicans approve 75 - 20 percent. Democrats disapprove 70 - 21 percent and independent voters split 48 - 46 percent.
By contrast, State Attorney General Richard Blumenthal gets a 79 - 12 percent approval rating and 71 - 13 percent favorability rating. Republicans approve of the Democrat 66 - 25 percent. Democrats approve 85 - 6 percent and independent voters approve 81 - 10 percent.
If Sen. Lieberman faces Blumenthal in 2012, the Democratic challenger has an early 58 - 30 percent lead. Republicans go with Lieberman 67 - 23 percent while Blumenthal leads 83 - 9 percent among Democrats and 55 - 29 percent among independent voters.
This isn't the greatest survey ever. It would be significantly more helpful if in addition to a head-to-head matching Lieberman against Democrat Richard Blumenthal there were also a three-way matchup featuring those two along with a Republican (perhaps Chris Shays), because it's not entirely likely that there wouldn't be a GOP nominee in the race. That said, an incumbent who is polling at 30 percent in a named matchup, and trailing by nearly a 2-to-1 margin, is not in a strong position. I'm skeptical that these numbers will move Lieberman to figure out that he would be better served by actually representing the interests of his constituents -- but they should nevertheless serve as a wake up call to Lieberman that his current course has him on the path to ignominious defeat.