Democrat Holds Lead in NY-23 Special

Last week we saw the first polling out of the special congressional election in New York's 23rd congressional district -- which has been in Republican hands since the Civil War era -- show the Democratic nominee in the race holding a narrow lead. This morning Research 2000 released its own polling on the race, sponsored by Daily Kos, showing largely the same results.

Dede Scozzafava (R): 30 percent
Bill Owens (D): 35 percent
Doug Hoffman (C): 23 percent

These numbers largely comport with the aforementioned Siena poll, which put Owens up over Scozzafava and Hoffman by a 33 percent to 29 percent to 23 percent spread.  Unless the dynamics of this race significantly change in the last couple weeks of the campaign, this is turning out to be yet another debacle for the Republican Party, which is supposedly on the rebound (even if the voters haven't gotten the memo).

Tags: New York, NY-23, Special Election (all tags)



seems like the biggest risk now

is a Republican stampede away from loser Scozzafava to Hoffman. I see Owens as more likely to lose to Hoffman than to Scozzafava at this point.

by desmoinesdem 2009-10-23 08:16AM | 0 recs
adventures in lousy photo-ops

Check out this photo from a Scozzafava event in front of Hoffman's campaign HQ.

by desmoinesdem 2009-10-23 08:18AM | 0 recs
Re: Democrat Holds Lead in NY-23 Special

I like a Democratic win as much as the next guy, but I feel a little uneasy about the complete mental breakdown of a significant minority of the population, especially since they tend to be armed.

by QTG 2009-10-23 08:27AM | 0 recs
Re: Democrat Holds Lead in NY-23 Special

An excellent reason for lefties to be armed, self-defense.

by MNPundit 2009-10-23 09:34AM | 0 recs
Re: Democrat Holds Lead in NY-23 Special

I wonder if the endorsement from Caribou Barbie will help or be the kiss of death for Deirdre?

by Plummet 2009-10-23 08:57AM | 0 recs
Palin endorsed Hoffman

Sarah went all "mavericky" and endorsed the third party candidate.   That should be it for the Republican in this race. 009/10/ ml

by RichardFlatts 2009-10-23 09:18AM | 0 recs
Re: Democrat Holds Lead in NY-23 Special

This is Upstate NY, yet no comment from Upstate Kent...

Kent, if you are reading this, please give us your take on this race. We are dangerously close to feeling (dare I say it) HOPEful and downright confident. We need an intervention PRONTO.

by QTG 2009-10-23 10:02AM | 0 recs
Re: Democrat Holds Lead in NY-23 Special

That was funny.

by orestes 2009-10-23 01:38PM | 0 recs
Here's Kent

We SHOULD win this race.  With Republicans split here, we should win with a plurality.  It will certainly be a nice morale booster.  

by Kent 2009-10-23 02:48PM | 0 recs
Re: Here's Kent

Not exactly the help I was looking for. This diary is giving me a sugar high.

by QTG 2009-10-23 02:58PM | 0 recs
Re: Democrat Holds Lead in NY-23 Special

The fact that a democrat is even competitive in this region, in a special election at that, speaks volumes. Here's hoping Owens tops 40%  soon.

Btw, does anyone know how the candidates differ? I assume Owens is a conservative as well.

by vecky 2009-10-23 10:53AM | 0 recs
Re: Democrat Holds Lead in NY-23 Special

The district has been held by moderate Republicans forever.  I don't know why a Democratic victory would be any more surprising here than anyplace else in the Northeast, where a realignment has been ongoing for several cycles.

by Steve M 2009-10-23 11:08AM | 0 recs


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