2010 and 2012 Implications
by Jerome Armstrong, Mon Oct 12, 2009 at 01:34:59 PM EDT
Harwood has an post up saying "Democrats Must Attack to Win in 2010" and looks at the NJ and VA races as a template for 2012. I pretty much concur with this opinion. In NJ, Corzine is turning things around, perhaps thanks to a 3rd candidate in the race. In a two-person race, it doesn't usually hurt having a third candidate, unless it turns into a situation where the third candidate has a serious chance at winning. Then, as the VA primary earlier this year showed, things can turnover quickly.
In Virginia, things are not hopeless, but its pretty close to it. Deeds comes across as someone not to take too serious with his attacks on McDonnell. He plays "nice guy" well but comes off as insincere with his attacks. Ben Tribbett has all but pronounced Deeds dead in his look at the statewide ticket:
It is still baffling that Deeds wound up with the nomination. Moran was the only candidate who showed he understood that we would be in a battle for the GE, and the only candidate that was able to tear apart McAuliffe. For that preview of what he would have done to McDonnell, he was labeled as "too negative" and NoVA progressives opted for the "nice guy" conservative Democrat instead. The Deeds apologists will tell you that anyone would have been down like this, but that's just nonsense.
Unless things change dramatically in the next three weeks in Virginia, Republicans will sweep the statewide contests, pick up Delegate seats,
and be in total control of the '10 VA redistricting effort (Dems hold the Senate so will have a share of power). More, Deeds Is Way Off the Mark.