by Jerome Armstrong, Tue Sep 09, 2008 at 05:08:43 AM EDT
Independents, Gallup says today, swung big to McCain:
Gallup's finding are being confirmed by two other polls that came out yesterday.
CBS: McCain is ahead by 55-29 among Independents.
Hotline: McCain is ahead by 45-32, among Independents.
Neither ABC or CNN, in their polls, offered up the results broken down by partisan identification. Under this sort of scenario, the only possible way Obama could be ahead, or tied, is if party ID dramatically favors Democrats on election day. It hasn't in any of the recent election years.
Rasmussen, which weights by party ID and has shown a pre-convention Democratic lead, wrote yesterday about a correlative finding:
Oh yea, I almost forgot... Sarah Palin.