Tracking Poll Update: The Race Settles

Here are today's numbers:

ObamaMcCain
Diageo/Hotline4743
Gallup4744
Rasmussen Reports4848
Research 2000/dKos4943
Average:47.7544.50

The Battleground tracker (.pdf), which is not yet daily (but will be included in the daily average above when it is, so that the average accounts for the same window of time rather than a period of three days for four polls and a period of about a week for the fifth), shows John McCain leading Barack Obama 48 percent to 46 percent, and a CNN poll of likely voters that was in the field over the weekend gives Obama a 4 point lead, 51 percent to 47 percent.

Looking at an average of the four daily tracking polls, Obama's lead is the same as it was two days ago and four days ago, with Obama's numbers fluctuating between 46.75 and 48.25 over the last week and McCain's numbers fluctuating between 44.00 and 45.25 over the last week. In short, the race appears to have settled over the course of the last week after a period of a lot of movement in the preceding month.

Tags: Tracking Poll Update, White House 2008 (all tags)

Comments

3 Comments

The Next Crisis

More crisis may be in the pipeline to shake up the polls. The next crisis could be in Pakistan. The Bush Administration has been secretly bombing targets in Pakistan causing tensions between the two countries to mount. Today, it was reported that Pakistan shot down a U.S. drone.

While the financial market meltdown overwhelms the news, we could be in a big shock over Pakistan soon.

by Zzyzzy 2008-09-23 12:47PM | 0 recs
Am I the only one

who is worried about the course the Dems take in Congress regarding this bailout ... right now we look good in all the polls, but if we go through with this bailout, EVEN with oversights, etc, we  may end up SAVING the economy and losing the elections.   It took the white house a month or so they say to come up with this bill, why can't congress take 4 weeks?

by Monkei 2008-09-23 03:26PM | 0 recs
Yup that's what I'm worried about

We get our bill passed but then the pubs and McCain will depict it as a bailout of Wall Street, even though the only reason why we supported it was that we were able to get our protections into the bill.  The details haven't usually mattered to Americans.

by Blazers Edge 2008-09-23 03:35PM | 0 recs

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