Hotline/Diageo Poll: "Out of Touch" Hits on McCain Landing
by Jonathan Singer, Tue Sep 02, 2008 at 02:44:42 PM EDT
Some have noted the latest Hotline/Diageo poll showing Barack Obama leading John McCain by a 48 percent to 39 percent margin among registered voters, up from a 44 percent to 40 percent lead prior to the convention. While the topline numbers are great, a set of numbers further down in the survey stood out to me: Whether voters view the candidates as "in touch."
26a. How much, if at all, do you think Barack Obama is in touch with the interests of the average American?
ALL GOP IND DEM A great deal 44 15 32 74 Somewhat 30 39 35 20 Not very much 11 21 15 1 Not at all 11 20 12 3
27a. How much, if at all do you think John McCain is in touch with the interests of the average American?
ALL GOP IND DEM A great deal 17 35 12 5 Somewhat 40 50 46 26 Not very much 22 6 20 36 Not at all 20 6 21 32
Look at that spread. While 44 percent of Americans believe that Obama is greatly in touch with the interests of average Americans, just 17 percent say the same about McCain. Not even a majority, or even plurality, of Republican voters say that McCain is greatly in touch. With numbers like these, it sure seems that the advertisements hitting McCain for being out of touch are connecting with voters in a meaningful way, one that could bode really poorly for McCain's hopes in the fall.