AK-Sen: Post-Indictment Polling Shows Stevens Tanking
by Jonathan Singer, Sat Aug 02, 2008 at 09:23:20 AM EDT
Roll Call (sub. req.) has the details on the latest numbers out of Alaska following the indictment of the state's senior Senator, the longest serving Republican member in the history of the United States Senate:
The Ivan Moore Research poll taken July 30-31 showed Anchorage Mayor Mark Begich (D) leading Stevens, 56 percent to 35 percent, with more than 5 percent undecided.
A survey by the same pollster from July 18-22 -- before the indictments were handed down -- showed Begich leading Stevens, 51 percent to 43 percent.
The earlier poll had a sample size of 504 registered voters statewide and a margin of error of 4.4 points. The later survey, taken just over a day after news of Stevens' indictments broke, polled 413 registered voters with a 4.8-point margin of error.
The poll also showed an 11-point drop in Stevens' approval rating: From the first survey to the second survey, the percentage of people who had a positive impression of Stevens decreased from 55 percent to 44 percent.
As bad as these numbers are for the Republican Party, the primary numbers are even worse (considering the remarkable weakness of Stevens as a candidate).
Though Stevens faces six opponents in the Aug. 26 Republican primary, the poll showed him with a handsome lead over businessman Dave Cuddy, his chief competition. In the same July 30-31 survey, which polled 219 Republicans about the primary, Stevens scored 59 percent and Cuddy had 19 percent with about 20 percent undecided.
Not only does it increasingly look like the case that Stevens is, if not unelectable, at least a long-shot for reelection, it also appears that he is on the inside track to renomination. In other words, Alaska Republicans appear content choosing as their Senate nominee someone who simply has a terrible shot at winning in November.
So now is not the time to let up -- it's time to turn up the heat. Head over to the MyDD Road to 60 Act Blue page and contribute to the campaign of presumptive Democratic nominee Mark Begich, the popular mayor of Anchorage, to help Alaska join the ranks of states like Virginia and New Mexico where the Republicans are all but writing off their chances of holding onto a Senate seat that they have long held.