AK-Sen: Post-Indictment Polling Shows Stevens Tanking


Roll Call (sub. req.) has the details on the latest numbers out of Alaska following the indictment of the state's senior Senator, the longest serving Republican member in the history of the United States Senate:

The Ivan Moore Research poll taken July 30-31 showed Anchorage Mayor Mark Begich (D) leading Stevens, 56 percent to 35 percent, with more than 5 percent undecided.

A survey by the same pollster from July 18-22 -- before the indictments were handed down -- showed Begich leading Stevens, 51 percent to 43 percent.

The earlier poll had a sample size of 504 registered voters statewide and a margin of error of 4.4 points. The later survey, taken just over a day after news of Stevens' indictments broke, polled 413 registered voters with a 4.8-point margin of error.

The poll also showed an 11-point drop in Stevens' approval rating: From the first survey to the second survey, the percentage of people who had a positive impression of Stevens decreased from 55 percent to 44 percent.

As bad as these numbers are for the Republican Party, the primary numbers are even worse (considering the remarkable weakness of Stevens as a candidate).

Though Stevens faces six opponents in the Aug. 26 Republican primary, the poll showed him with a handsome lead over businessman Dave Cuddy, his chief competition. In the same July 30-31 survey, which polled 219 Republicans about the primary, Stevens scored 59 percent and Cuddy had 19 percent with about 20 percent undecided.

Not only does it increasingly look like the case that Stevens is, if not unelectable, at least a long-shot for reelection, it also appears that he is on the inside track to renomination. In other words, Alaska Republicans appear content choosing as their Senate nominee someone who simply has a terrible shot at winning in November.

So now is not the time to let up -- it's time to turn up the heat. Head over to the MyDD Road to 60 Act Blue page and contribute to the campaign of presumptive Democratic nominee Mark Begich, the popular mayor of Anchorage, to help Alaska join the ranks of states like Virginia and New Mexico where the Republicans are all but writing off their chances of holding onto a Senate seat that they have long held.

Tags: AK-Sen, Alaska, Road to 60, Senate 2008 (all tags)



But McSame is standing by his man

at yesterday's presser he insisted Stevens is a good guy.

by Al Rodgers 2008-08-02 09:35AM | 0 recs
Re: AK-Sen: Post-Indictment Polling Shows Stevens

Jonathan, sorry to insist on this, but the GOP wants Stevens to win the nomination. It is the only chance they have to replace him on the ballot with someone who has a chance of winning.

If Cuddy or Vickers are the nominee, Begich wins. If Stevens wins the primary and does NOT drop out, Begich wins. But the GOP wants Stevens to win AND THEN withdraw.

by LeftistAddiction 2008-08-02 10:11AM | 0 recs
Poor Stevens

It couldn't have happened to a nicer guy.

by thatpurplestuff 2008-08-02 10:23AM | 0 recs
Great news

especially since it appears we're going to need every seat we can get in order to stifle President McCain.

Looks like Hillary was right, again. Obama can't stand the heat and can't close the deal.

by Jim J 2008-08-02 10:33AM | 0 recs
Re: Great news


by thatpurplestuff 2008-08-02 10:45AM | 0 recs
Re: AK-Sen: Post-Indictment Polling Shows Stevens

Let's celebrate the idiot from Alaska losing.  Meanwhile, our god damn presidential candidate's campaign is playing patty-cake.

Obama either needs to start hammering McCain RIGHT NOW or figure out how to make his senate office more comfy.

by 08AMA 2008-08-02 10:39AM | 0 recs
Re: AK-Sen: Post-Indictment Polling Shows Stevens

Reminds me of last fall when Hillary was way up in the polls and Obama supporters were saying "He's got to attack!" Attack, attack!

Obama knows how to fight and keep his hands clean at the same time:

http://www.politico.com/blogs/bensmith/0 608/Obama_brings_a_gun_to_a_knife_fight. html

by newms 2008-08-02 10:54AM | 0 recs
Hey 08ama - - don't you dare !

You wanted him, you got him, now work your ass off for him!  It's too late for buyer's remorse!

by kosnomore 2008-08-02 12:27PM | 0 recs
Re: AK-Sen: Post-Indictment Polling

Couldn't happen to a nicer crook.

by Bush Bites 2008-08-02 11:22AM | 0 recs
Let's hope they don't get Stevens to quit !

I like a damaged opponent!

by kosnomore 2008-08-02 12:25PM | 0 recs
Re: senator stevens

Shoot Stevens, but we don't need another idiot like Harry Reid or Nancy Pelosi !!

by tater58 2008-08-03 09:54AM | 0 recs


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