CO-Sen: Second Straight Poll Puts Udall Up 9 Points
by Jonathan Singer, Tue Jun 24, 2008 at 07:47:11 PM EDT
Though the Senate fundraising efforts on this site are focused on the Road to 60 ActBlue list, which includes the races that will take the Democrats right up to the threshold of a 60-vote filibuster-proof supermajority in the chamber (yes, this is a plug for the list -- go make a contribution today, even of $5, $10 or $25), that doesn't mean we won't be paying attention to all of the other races.
In Colorado, for instance, nonpartisan polling released last week showed Democratic Congressman Mark Udall leading former Republican Congressman Bob Schaffer by a 9-point margin. Today the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee released its own polling on the race that found the exact same spread:
After months of defending his links to big oil companies and battling scandals over ties to jailed lobbyist Jack Abramoff and convicted felon Bill Orr, Colorado Republican Senate candidate Bob Schaffer has fallen nine points behind Democratic Congressman Mark Udall, according to a new poll taken for the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee. Udall leads Schaffer 46% to 37% in the new poll, which was conducted by Garin-Hart-Yang Research group.
The poll also shows Udall with more intense support than Schaffer, with 57% of his voters saying they strongly support him, as opposed to only 43% of Schaffer voters who strongly back him. Sixteen percent of respondents to the poll said the country was headed in the right direction, as opposed to 72 percent who said it was moving on the wrong track. The poll of 807 likely voters was taken June 15 to 17 and has a 3.5% margin of error.
There appears to be quite a bit of movement in this race as of late -- and none of it looks good for Schaffer. Take a gander, for example, at the trend found over at Pollster.com. According to the site's estimate, Udall now leads Schaffer by a 47.6 percent to 39.1 percent margin. Only a few months ago the two were at near parity in the state; the trend since the spring, however, has shown Udall steadily climbing while Schaffer steadily descends. The fact that this race is only the Democrats' fourth best pick-up opportunity in the Senate at this juncture speaks volumes about the state of the race -- and the Democrats' real shot at winning big enough to get a sufficiently sizable majority in the chamber to get a whole lot done in the 111th Congress.